
The article highlights that both Remitly (RELY) and Adyen have fallen over 50% from prior highs, framing them as long-term fintech buying opportunities despite the drawdowns. Remitly reported last quarter send volume up 37% YoY to $16.2B and net income of $49.1M (11% margin), while Adyen processed $1.69T in payment volume over the last 12 months and grew net revenue 20% YoY in constant currency last quarter. Valuation is the core catalyst: Remitly trades at ~49x P/E with 2026 revenue expected just under $2B (implying forward P/E ~23), and Adyen trades at ~25x P/E with expanding profit margins.
The market is likely still treating both names as “good businesses, bad charts,” which creates a different opportunity than a classic re-rating. For RELY, the real mechanism is not just revenue growth but operating leverage in a cross-border flow business: once fraud, compliance, and funding costs are covered, incremental volume should drop through at a high rate. That makes the next 1-3 quarters more important than the headline multiple; if send volume stays >30% and margin holds, the stock can re-rate even without a new product story.
The competitive read-through is more interesting on the legacy rails. WU is the obvious structural loser if digital remittance keeps taking share, but the second-order effect is on any payments platform that monetizes cross-border or high-friction transactions through take rates rather than software-like economics. For ADYEY, the winner is not simply “payments growth,” but merchant consolidation toward fewer global processors; that should pressure smaller/acquirer-heavy incumbents such as GPN over 6-18 months if Adyen continues to prove lower-friction, higher-uptime infrastructure.
Contrarianly, the consensus may be overconfident that “cheap vs highs” is enough. These are quality-growth names, not turnaround specials: if volumes decelerate even modestly or if pricing competition compresses take rates, the multiple can stay pinned despite solid fundamentals. The key falsifiers are earnings revisions and margin cadence, not the article’s valuation math: for RELY, a drop in send-volume growth into the low-20s or margin stalling below current levels; for ADYEY, constant-currency growth slipping materially below the high-teens and EBITDA-margin expansion missing the path to 55%.
Near term, I’d expect limited immediate upside unless the next print confirms the operating leverage story; the better window is post-earnings or on sector-wide pullbacks. Over 6-18 months, both can compound, but the cleaner trade is to own the secular share gainers against the slower rails rather than bet on absolute rerating alone.
AI-powered research, real-time alerts, and portfolio analytics for institutional investors.
Request DemoOverall Sentiment
mildly positive
Sentiment Score
0.25
Ticker Sentiment