The Economy Just Shed 92,000 Jobs as Oil Prices Surge and Inflation Creeps Up. History Says the Stock Market Will Do This Next.

Every major oil shock since 1970 has triggered or worsened a bear market in the S&P 500, and the current Iran conflict could mark the sixth such event. That elevates the risk of a broad market downturn, higher oil and commodity prices, and increased volatility—supporting risk-off positioning and heightened caution for equity portfolios.

Analysis

Every major oil shock since 1970 has triggered or worsened a bear market in the S&P 500, and the current Iran conflict could mark the sixth such event. That elevates the risk of a broad market downturn, higher oil and commodity prices, and increased volatility—supporting risk-off positioning and heightened caution for equity portfolios.