Back to News
Market Impact: 0.35

The Outlook for a Bumper Brazil Coffee Crop Hammers Prices

Commodities & Raw MaterialsCommodity FuturesFutures & OptionsAnalyst InsightsEmerging MarketsMarket Technicals & FlowsInvestor Sentiment & Positioning

Marex projects a record 2026/27 Brazil coffee crop of 75.9 million bags, driving May arabica down 2.15% (-6.80) and May ICE robusta down 0.08% (-3). The larger-than-expected Brazil supply outlook is pressuring coffee futures and weighing on short-term prices, producing a modest sector-wide bearish move.

Analysis

Marex projects a record 2026/27 Brazil coffee crop of 75.9 million bags, driving May arabica down 2.15% (-6.80) and May ICE robusta down 0.08% (-3). The larger-than-expected Brazil supply outlook is pressuring coffee futures and weighing on short-term prices, producing a modest sector-wide bearish move.

AllMind AI Terminal

AI-powered research, real-time alerts, and portfolio analytics for institutional investors.

Request a Demo

Market Sentiment

Overall Sentiment

mildly negative

Sentiment Score

-0.25