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Minutes Show Fed Officials See Differing Risks From Iran War

Monetary PolicyInterest Rates & YieldsInflationGeopolitics & WarEconomic Data

FOMC minutes from the March 17-18 meeting show officials split: many feared the war could weaken the labor market and support lower rates, while several others stressed inflation risks that could require rate increases. The minutes increase uncertainty around the Fed’s rate path and imply markets should price both dovish downside and hawkish upside risks to policy.

Analysis

FOMC minutes from the March 17-18 meeting show officials split: many feared the war could weaken the labor market and support lower rates, while several others stressed inflation risks that could require rate increases. The minutes increase uncertainty around the Fed’s rate path and imply markets should price both dovish downside and hawkish upside risks to policy.

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