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Natural Gas and Oil Forecast: Hormuz Risks Support Crude as U.S. Gas Supply Stays Ample

Geopolitics & WarEnergy Markets & PricesCommodities & Raw MaterialsInflation
Natural Gas and Oil Forecast: Hormuz Risks Support Crude as U.S. Gas Supply Stays Ample

Hormuz shipping risks are still elevated even as WTI and Brent extend their recovery. In contrast, record U.S. natural gas production and ample storage are weighing on gas prices, keeping the energy tape split. Net: downside risk from logistics/geopolitics for oil, but supply/draw dynamics supportive for gas, limiting broad stabilization.

Analysis

Hormuz shipping risks are still elevated even as WTI and Brent extend their recovery. In contrast, record U.S. natural gas production and ample storage are weighing on gas prices, keeping the energy tape split. Net: downside risk from logistics/geopolitics for oil, but supply/draw dynamics supportive for gas, limiting broad stabilization.

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