Bitdeer Technologies Group (BTDR) Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates: Should You Buy?

Bitdeer Technologies Group (BTDR) is anticipated to beat consensus earnings estimates for the quarter ending September 2025, with analysts projecting a loss of $0.22 per share and revenues of $161.14 million, marking a 159.8% year-over-year increase. This positive outlook is supported by a 40% upward revision in EPS estimates over the last 30 days and a Zacks Earnings ESP of +27.27% combined with a Zacks Rank #3, despite the company having missed EPS estimates in three of the past four quarters. Investors should consider these factors as the company prepares to report results on November 10.

Analysis

Bitdeer Technologies Group (BTDR) is projected to report a quarterly loss of $0.22 per share for the quarter ending September 2025, representing a 37.1% year-over-year improvement. Revenue is anticipated to reach $161.14 million, a substantial 159.8% increase from the prior year. These figures indicate strong top-line growth and a narrowing of losses, reflecting an optimistic market consensus for the upcoming November 10 earnings release.

Analyst sentiment has notably improved, with the consensus EPS estimate revised 40% higher over the last 30 days. Furthermore, BTDR holds a Zacks Earnings ESP of +27.27% and a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), a combination historically predictive of an earnings beat nearly 70% of the time. This suggests a high probability that the company will surpass the current consensus EPS estimate.

Despite the positive near-term indicators, BTDR's past performance shows a mixed record, having missed consensus EPS estimates in three of the last four quarters, including a significant -300.00% surprise in the most recently reported quarter. While the current ESP and Rank suggest an earnings beat, investors should weigh this against the company's historical inconsistency in meeting expectations.

Key Decisions for Investors

• Given the strong revenue growth expectations and the high probability of an EPS beat, investors should closely monitor management's commentary on business conditions during the earnings call for insights into the sustainability of this positive trend.
• While current indicators suggest an earnings beat, investors should carefully consider BTDR's history of missing EPS estimates in three of the last four quarters, implying potential volatility despite positive short-term signals.
• Beyond the immediate earnings surprise potential, institutional investors should conduct deeper due diligence on BTDR's long-term business fundamentals, competitive landscape, and capital allocation strategies to justify any sustained position.