Redeveloping the former Coliseum site into housing

This is less about a single parcel and more about a multi-year re-pricing of municipal land use. Converting an underutilized event footprint into housing would, if executed, add incremental supply in a constrained Canadian city, which should modestly pressure nearby multifamily rents while improving the development thesis for builders with land-consolidation expertise. The bigger second-order effect is competitive: event venue economics become harder to justify when land can be monetized through residential density, so adjacent districts with clearer zoning paths may attract capital first.

The key risk is not demand, it is process. These projects usually move on a 12-36 month horizon and can be derailed by political turnover, community resistance, servicing costs, and disputes over who bears infrastructure upgrades. If the city signals that housing is the preferred use, the value migrates from “event recovery” to “entitlement optionality,” which benefits developers and engineers more than operators dependent on large-footfall traffic.

From a contrarian standpoint, the market may be underestimating how little immediate supply this creates. Even if approved, demolition, remediation, and utility work can push actual unit deliveries several years out, so any near-term excitement around local housing affordability is likely premature. The better trade is not to chase the headline, but to look for beneficiaries of zoning certainty and public-infrastructure spend while fading any expectation that lost event activity will be quickly replaced elsewhere.

For the infrastructure angle, this kind of site conversion often increases the need for civil works, servicing, and transit connectivity, creating a small but real tailwind for contractors and engineering firms exposed to municipal capex. The downside for nearby commercial and entertainment operators is slower, more fragmented foot traffic rather than an abrupt collapse, which means the earnings impact should show up gradually over multiple budget cycles rather than in one quarter.