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Oil Holds Near Highest Since 2022 as Trump Threats Escalate

Geopolitics & WarEnergy Markets & PricesCommodities & Raw MaterialsTrade Policy & Supply ChainCommodity Futures

Oil experienced its largest one-day surge in four years as the US-Israeli war with Iran effectively closed the Strait of Hormuz, triggering a global crude supply shock. The disruption should drive higher oil prices and benefit upstream energy producers while creating inflationary pressure and downside growth risks for oil-importing economies and transport-dependent sectors.

Analysis

Oil experienced its largest one-day surge in four years as the US-Israeli war with Iran effectively closed the Strait of Hormuz, triggering a global crude supply shock. The disruption should drive higher oil prices and benefit upstream energy producers while creating inflationary pressure and downside growth risks for oil-importing economies and transport-dependent sectors.

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