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UBS lifts Amazon price target ahead of e-commerce giant’s earnings

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UBS lifts Amazon price target ahead of e-commerce giant’s earnings

UBS maintained its 'buy' rating on Amazon, raising its 12-month price target to $279, implying a 23% upside ahead of the company's Q3 earnings report. Analyst Stephen Ju anticipates strong performance driven by increased e-commerce inventory and improving unit economics leading to margin expansion, potential high-margin revenue from Prime Video ads, and accelerating AWS growth as headwinds subside. UBS views Amazon's relative underperformance this year as a compelling buying opportunity, expecting significant operating profit and free cash flow revisions as investments across its diverse segments, including Kuiper, materialize.

Analysis

UBS has reiterated its "buy" rating on Amazon (AMZN), raising its 12-month price target to $279 from $271, implying a 23% upside. Analyst Stephen Ju anticipates strong Q3 performance driven by higher third-party seller inventory and improving e-commerce unit economics, leading to margin expansion. Key catalysts include expected high-margin revenue from Prime Video with ads and accelerating Amazon Web Services (AWS) growth as capacity constraints ease. Expanded one- and same-day Prime delivery services are also projected to boost Gross Merchandise Value and market share. Despite a modest 3% year-to-date gain, Amazon's shares have underperformed peers, which UBS views as a compelling buying opportunity. Significant upward revisions to operating profit and free cash flow are anticipated as investments across all segments, including Kuiper, fully materialize. This bullish sentiment aligns with broader market consensus, with 71 of 72 analysts rating AMZN a "buy" or "strong buy." The current valuation is attractive given the company's diverse growth avenues and impending realization of investment benefits.

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