Let’s Look at Who Owns Nvidia Stock (NVDA) Ahead of Q1 Earnings

Nvidia (NVDA) is scheduled to release its fiscal first-quarter results for 2026 on May 28, with analysts projecting EPS of $0.91 on revenue of $43.3 billion amid a 28% stock increase over the past month. TipRanks data indicates that public companies and individual investors own the largest portion of NVDA at 43.25%, followed by ETFs at 21.37% and mutual funds at 19.76%, with Vanguard holding the largest stake at 8.00%. Wall Street analysts have a Strong Buy consensus rating on NVDA with an average price target of $164.51, suggesting a 25.30% upside, although concerns remain regarding chip export restrictions and AI competition.

Analysis

Nvidia (NVDA) is slated to report its fiscal first-quarter 2026 results on May 28, with Wall Street analysts forecasting earnings per share (EPS) of $0.91 on revenue of $43.3 billion. The company's stock has experienced a significant 28% appreciation over the past month, a rally attributed to positive sentiment surrounding potential easing of tariff tensions and recent strategic deals in the UAE and Saudi Arabia. Despite this optimism and a 'Strong Buy' consensus rating from analysts (34 Buys, five Holds, one Sell) with an average price target of $164.51 implying a 25.30% upside, persistent concerns regarding chip export restrictions and intensifying competition in the artificial intelligence sector present notable challenges. TipRanks' data on ownership structure reveals that public companies and individual investors constitute the largest shareholder bloc at 43.25%, followed by ETFs (21.37%) and mutual funds (19.76%). Vanguard is the single largest shareholder with an 8.00% stake, and its Vanguard Index Funds also hold a significant 6.78%. Key ETF holdings include the Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI) with 3.05% and the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO) with 2.84%.

Key Decisions for Investors

• Investors should closely monitor Nvidia's upcoming Q1 FY26 earnings release on May 28, as the results and forward guidance will be critical in validating the recent 28% stock rally and substantiating current analyst projections.
• Evaluate the potential 25.30% upside indicated by the average analyst price target against the backdrop of ongoing risks, specifically chip export restrictions and heightened competition in the AI market, before making new investment decisions or adjusting existing positions.
• Consider the implications of Nvidia's ownership structure, where a substantial 43.25% is held by public companies and individual investors, which, along with significant institutional presence like Vanguard's 8.00% stake, could influence stock volatility and trading dynamics around the earnings announcement.