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Marathon Petroleum (MPC) Rises Yet Lags Behind Market: Some Facts Worth Knowing

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Corporate EarningsCompany FundamentalsAnalyst EstimatesAnalyst InsightsEnergy Markets & PricesMarket Technicals & Flows

Marathon Petroleum (MPC) closed up 1.36% at $183.35, outperforming its sector over the past month despite lagging the broader market. The company is slated to report earnings on November 4, 2025, with consensus estimates projecting a 53.48% year-over-year EPS increase to $2.87 on $30.82 billion in revenue, a 12.88% decline. Analyst optimism is reflected in a 20.03% increase in the consensus EPS projection over the last 30 days, contributing to its current Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). MPC trades at a premium with a Forward P/E of 20.03 and a PEG ratio of 3.04, both above industry averages, within the top-ranked Oil and Gas - Refining and Marketing industry.

Analysis

Marathon Petroleum (MPC) recently gained 1.36% to $183.35, underperforming the S&P 500's 1.56% daily rise. Over the past month, MPC's 0.34% gain surpassed the Oils-Energy sector's 2.93% loss but trailed the S&P 500's 0.41% increase. The company is set to report earnings on November 4, 2025, a key near-term catalyst. Consensus estimates project Q4 2025 EPS at $2.87, a significant 53.48% year-over-year increase, despite an anticipated 12.88% revenue decline to $30.82 billion. For the full year, EPS is expected to decrease by 5.05% to $9.03, with revenue down 10.99% to $124.98 billion. Notably, the consensus EPS projection has risen 20.03% over the last 30 days, indicating growing analyst optimism. MPC currently holds a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy), reflecting these positive estimate revisions. However, the stock trades at a premium valuation, with a Forward P/E of 20.03 compared to its industry average of 15.46, and a PEG ratio of 3.04 versus the industry's 1.52. The Oil and Gas - Refining and Marketing industry itself is highly ranked at 21, placing it in the top 9% of all industries.

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