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Market Impact: 0.85

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Geopolitics & WarEnergy Markets & PricesCommodities & Raw MaterialsSanctions & Export ControlsTrade Policy & Supply ChainInfrastructure & Defense

The Iran war has produced an energy supply shock roughly 2x the size of the 1973 oil crisis. The disruption is likely to outlast any peace deal as Iran retains leverage, suggesting sustained upward pressure on oil and energy prices, elevated inflation risk, and a broad market risk-off environment.

Analysis

The Iran war has produced an energy supply shock roughly 2x the size of the 1973 oil crisis. The disruption is likely to outlast any peace deal as Iran retains leverage, suggesting sustained upward pressure on oil and energy prices, elevated inflation risk, and a broad market risk-off environment.

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Market Sentiment

Overall Sentiment

strongly negative

Sentiment Score

-0.75