Here's the exact oil price that would tip the U.S. into a recession — and we're getting closer as the Iran conflict drags on

The U.S. economy has grown for five straight years since 2020, but soaring oil prices tied to the Iran war have emerged as a potential trigger for recession. The geopolitically-driven spike in energy costs raises inflation and growth risks, warranting a cautious, risk-off posture for portfolios until oil prices and regional tensions ease.

Analysis

The U.S. economy has grown for five straight years since 2020, but soaring oil prices tied to the Iran war have emerged as a potential trigger for recession. The geopolitically-driven spike in energy costs raises inflation and growth risks, warranting a cautious, risk-off posture for portfolios until oil prices and regional tensions ease.