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Market Impact: 0.38

Stocks making the biggest moves after hours: Lululemon Athletica, ServiceTitan, Argan and more

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Stocks making the biggest moves after hours: Lululemon Athletica, ServiceTitan, Argan and more

After-hours trading was driven by a mixed earnings slate: Lululemon fell 10% after cutting full-year EPS and revenue guidance, while Docusign slipped 4% and Rubrik was down 2% on weaker-than-expected outlook/billings. Offsetting that, Cooper Companies rose 1% on an EPS beat of $1.21 vs. $1.10 and revenue of $1.08B vs. $1.05B, Argan gained 10% on Q1 EPS of $3.24 vs. $2.31 expected, and ServiceTitan jumped 12% after raising full-year adjusted income from operations guidance to $142M-$147M.

Analysis

The tape is separating into two distinct regimes: guidance credibility is being punished far more than headline beats are being rewarded. That is a tell for a market that still wants duration and margin durability, but is becoming less tolerant of businesses where growth is merely being defended rather than re-accelerated. The clearest second-order implication is that “quality software” is no longer trading as one factor bucket; names with any sign of billings or margin slippage are likely to de-rate further over the next 1-2 quarters as investors compress terminal multiples.

The bigger opportunity is in the relative winners, not the absolute movers. Industrial and healthcare beats with clean execution can attract incremental capital from crowded software positions, especially if guidance momentum is improving while valuation remains less demanding. In particular, contractor-exposed software and data-security vendors may see a more skeptical multiple backdrop, while adjacent spend categories like medical devices and engineering/capex beneficiaries could get a rotation bid as managers de-risk from elevated software beta.

For the losers, the market is signaling that near-term catalyst path matters more than long-term category promise. A single quarter of softer billings or margin compression can trigger multiple quarters of sentiment repair because the sell-side will lower forward numbers before the next print, creating a negative revision loop. The key reversal condition is not just a beat, but evidence that the next quarter’s growth re-acceleration is already embedded in bookings and operating leverage.

The contrarian setup is that the selloff in the higher-quality franchises may be overdone if the guidance issue is timing rather than demand destruction. But the burden of proof is now high: any long here needs either a sharper-than-feared reset or visible improvement in pipeline conversion over the next 30-60 days. Otherwise, the path of least resistance is continued multiple compression in the names where the market senses deceleration before it sees it in reported revenue.