Will Honeywell International (HON) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?

Honeywell International (HON) is anticipated to extend its streak of earnings beats in its upcoming report on July 24, 2025. The company boasts a historical average earnings surprise of 10.25% over the past two quarters, alongside a positive Zacks Earnings ESP of +0.56% and a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). This combination, which has historically predicted positive surprises nearly 70% of the time, suggests a strong likelihood of HON exceeding analyst expectations again.

Analysis

Honeywell International (HON) is being highlighted for a potential upcoming earnings beat, with its next report anticipated on July 24, 2025. The basis for this outlook is a proprietary quantitative model indicating a positive Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) of +0.56% combined with a Zacks Rank of #3 (Hold), a pairing historically claimed to precede an earnings beat nearly 70% of the time. This suggests that analysts have recently revised their estimates upwards. However, the supporting historical data presented in the article is inconsistent. While it claims an average two-quarter earnings surprise of 10.25%, the calculation for the most recent quarter is flawed; a reported EPS of $2.21 versus an expected $2.51 constitutes a miss, not the 13.57% positive surprise cited. The prior quarter's performance was a legitimate beat of 6.93% ($2.47 actual vs. $2.31 estimate). This discrepancy in the historical analysis warrants significant caution, even as the forward-looking ESP metric points towards bullish sentiment among revising analysts.

Key Decisions for Investors

• Consider the positive Earnings ESP of +0.56% as a short-term bullish signal, as it indicates recent upward revisions in analyst estimates ahead of the earnings call.
• Investors should exercise caution and perform independent verification of Honeywell's recent performance, given the article's conflicting data regarding its most recent earnings surprise.
• The Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) suggests that while an earnings beat is possible, the stock may not have strong upward momentum, warranting a neutral-to-cautiously-optimistic stance rather than a strong conviction buy.
• Focus on fundamental analysis beyond this single predictive metric, as the contradictory historical data undermines the reliability of the provided report.