Drone attack in Sudan threatens Khartoum airport’s reopening: Reports

Drone attacks near Khartoum International Airport on Tuesday are jeopardizing its planned reopening on Wednesday, following its closure since April 2023 due to conflict between the Sudanese army and the Rapid Support Forces (RSF). These strikes, part of persistent drone activity targeting critical infrastructure, underscore the ongoing instability in Sudan, posing significant risks to civilian operations, hindering economic recovery, and exacerbating the country's severe humanitarian crisis.

Analysis

Drone attacks near Khartoum International Airport on Tuesday, attributed to the Rapid Support Forces (RSF), threaten its planned reopening on Wednesday, following its closure since April 2023. Witnesses reported multiple explosions between 4am and 6am, with Sudan's military reportedly intercepting some "suicide drones." This incident marks the third drone attack in the capital within a week, underscoring persistent security challenges.

The continued drone activity, which has also targeted military installations and caused widespread blackouts, severely impedes Sudan's post-conflict reconstruction efforts and economic recovery. Despite the army regaining control of Khartoum and initiating a reconstruction campaign, the targeting of critical infrastructure like the airport poses significant risks to civilian operations and investor confidence. The Sudan Civil Aviation Authority's Monday announcement of gradual domestic flight resumption now faces immediate jeopardy.

This escalation occurs amidst a severe humanitarian crisis, with tens of thousands killed and nearly 12 million displaced, and ongoing conflict in western Sudan, particularly around el-Fasher, where the UN warns of potential atrocities. While army chief al-Burhan has expressed willingness for peace talks under international pressure, his firm stance against any future role for the RSF suggests a protracted conflict, limiting prospects for a stable resolution.

Key Decisions for Investors

• Investors should maintain extreme caution regarding any direct or indirect exposure to the Sudanese economy given the severe and escalating security risks, particularly concerning critical infrastructure
• Closely monitor the frequency and targets of drone attacks as a key indicator of operational viability and humanitarian access
• Acknowledge the high probability of a protracted conflict, as indicated by leadership statements, which will likely continue to hinder broad economic recovery and stability