Traders cool on Tesla-SpaceX merger as Polymarket odds slide

Polymarket traders have sharply reduced bets that a Tesla–SpaceX merger would be announced this year, signaling weakening deal probability. Despite the pullback in market-implied odds, Wall Street analysts are still discussing the potential for a tie-up, keeping expectations somewhat mixed for investors.

Analysis

Polymarket traders have sharply reduced bets that a Tesla–SpaceX merger would be announced this year, signaling weakening deal probability. Despite the pullback in market-implied odds, Wall Street analysts are still discussing the potential for a tie-up, keeping expectations somewhat mixed for investors.