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Market Impact: 0.85

Trump to Seek War Off-Ramp In Address to Nation

Geopolitics & WarElections & Domestic PoliticsEnergy Markets & PricesCommodities & Raw MaterialsTrade Policy & Supply ChainInvestor Sentiment & PositioningMarket Technicals & Flows

The key event: the Strait of Hormuz remains largely closed, and President Trump is set to deliver a rare primetime address Wednesday. The closure is triggering market turmoil and a risk-off environment as oil flows are disrupted, threatening higher energy prices and jeopardizing global economic growth. Expect broad market volatility and downside pressure on growth-sensitive assets and emerging markets while energy and safe-haven assets attract flows.

Analysis

The key event: the Strait of Hormuz remains largely closed, and President Trump is set to deliver a rare primetime address Wednesday. The closure is triggering market turmoil and a risk-off environment as oil flows are disrupted, threatening higher energy prices and jeopardizing global economic growth. Expect broad market volatility and downside pressure on growth-sensitive assets and emerging markets while energy and safe-haven assets attract flows.

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Market Sentiment

Overall Sentiment

strongly negative

Sentiment Score

-0.80