Pentagon preparing targeted ground operations in Iran while the Strait of Hormuz remains blocked, sending energy prices sharply higher and raising the risk of broader Middle East conflict. The disruption threatens global oil flows, increases recession risk via higher energy costs, and should drive greater market volatility, safe-haven flows, and downside pressure on cyclical equities and emerging markets.
Pentagon preparing targeted ground operations in Iran while the Strait of Hormuz remains blocked, sending energy prices sharply higher and raising the risk of broader Middle East conflict. The disruption threatens global oil flows, increases recession risk via higher energy costs, and should drive greater market volatility, safe-haven flows, and downside pressure on cyclical equities and emerging markets.
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strongly negative
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