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Market Impact: 0.75

May CPI Preview: Lower Oil, Stickier Inflation

InflationEconomic DataMonetary PolicyInterest Rates & YieldsAnalyst Insights

Q2 headline CPI forecasts jumped sharply from 2.7% to 6.0% annualized, with PPI running ahead of CPI, signaling hotter-than-expected inflation. While the speaker still expects the Fed may avoid a hike this year, the inflation backdrop is increasingly challenging that view. The combination of stronger price data and a more hawkish policy outlook has market-wide implications for rates and risk assets.

Analysis

Q2 headline CPI forecasts jumped sharply from 2.7% to 6.0% annualized, with PPI running ahead of CPI, signaling hotter-than-expected inflation. While the speaker still expects the Fed may avoid a hike this year, the inflation backdrop is increasingly challenging that view. The combination of stronger price data and a more hawkish policy outlook has market-wide implications for rates and risk assets.

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moderately negative

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