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Morgan Stanley Cuts Oil Forecasts as Hormuz Deal Revives Supply

Energy Markets & PricesCommodities & Raw MaterialsGeopolitics & WarAnalyst Estimates

Morgan Stanley sharply cut its oil-price forecasts for the coming quarters after an interim US-Iran deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz raised the risk of higher regional supply. The move implies a more bearish outlook for crude prices as revived output and boosted exports could ease tightness in the market. The revision is likely to pressure energy markets and related equities, with broader implications for global inflation expectations.

Analysis

Morgan Stanley sharply cut its oil-price forecasts for the coming quarters after an interim US-Iran deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz raised the risk of higher regional supply. The move implies a more bearish outlook for crude prices as revived output and boosted exports could ease tightness in the market. The revision is likely to pressure energy markets and related equities, with broader implications for global inflation expectations.

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