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Market Impact: 0.78

Zandi Says US Is ‘Uncomfortably Close' to Recession

Geopolitics & WarEnergy Markets & PricesConsumer Demand & RetailEconomic Data

Mark Zandi warned that the war with Iran needs to end immediately because another jump in oil and gasoline prices could cause consumers to "pack it in" and push the fragile U.S. economy into contraction. He said recession would become more likely than not if energy costs rise further. The warning points to a market-wide macro risk tied to geopolitics, energy inflation, and weakening consumer demand.

Analysis

Mark Zandi warned that the war with Iran needs to end immediately because another jump in oil and gasoline prices could cause consumers to "pack it in" and push the fragile U.S. economy into contraction. He said recession would become more likely than not if energy costs rise further. The warning points to a market-wide macro risk tied to geopolitics, energy inflation, and weakening consumer demand.

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Market Sentiment

Overall Sentiment

strongly negative

Sentiment Score

-0.72

Ticker Sentiment

MCO-0.05