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Why And When I Stopped Following Ray Dalio's All-Weather Portfolio

Interest Rates & YieldsMonetary PolicyCredit & Bond MarketsInvestor Sentiment & PositioningMarket Technicals & Flows

The author stopped following Ray Dalio's All-Weather Portfolio in 2020 due to concerns about its heavy Treasury allocations. They contend current market conditions — particularly interest-rate/yield dynamics — are materially different from the environment in which the AWP was designed, implying Treasury-centric allocations may no longer be appropriate for portfolio construction.

Analysis

The author stopped following Ray Dalio's All-Weather Portfolio in 2020 due to concerns about its heavy Treasury allocations. They contend current market conditions — particularly interest-rate/yield dynamics — are materially different from the environment in which the AWP was designed, implying Treasury-centric allocations may no longer be appropriate for portfolio construction.

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