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Market Impact: 0.15

My S&P 500 Forecast For 2026

Market Technicals & FlowsInvestor Sentiment & PositioningCompany FundamentalsAnalyst Insights

US large-cap stocks are up about 250% over the last 10 years, versus 70% for the FTSE 100 and 35% for the FTSE 250. Over the past 40 years, the S&P 500 has risen an average of 9% per year, outpacing earnings or dividend growth by 2-3 percentage points annually, underscoring valuation expansion and strong market performance rather than a near-term catalyst.

Analysis

US large-cap stocks are up about 250% over the last 10 years, versus 70% for the FTSE 100 and 35% for the FTSE 250. Over the past 40 years, the S&P 500 has risen an average of 9% per year, outpacing earnings or dividend growth by 2-3 percentage points annually, underscoring valuation expansion and strong market performance rather than a near-term catalyst.

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