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Market Impact: 0.8

US Drafts 15-Point Plan to End Iran War as Trump Pushes Talks

Geopolitics & WarInfrastructure & DefenseEnergy Markets & PricesInvestor Sentiment & PositioningEmerging Markets

Iran launched overnight missile and drone attacks on Israeli cities (Eilat, Dimona, Tel Aviv) and struck US bases in the Middle East; wreckage of an Iranian missile was inspected in the West Bank. Expect immediate risk-off flows with upward pressure on oil and safe-haven assets (gold, U.S. Treasuries), heightened regional volatility that could benefit defense sector equities, and increased tail-risk for supply-chain and energy disruptions until escalation risk recedes.

Analysis

Iran launched overnight missile and drone attacks on Israeli cities (Eilat, Dimona, Tel Aviv) and struck US bases in the Middle East; wreckage of an Iranian missile was inspected in the West Bank. Expect immediate risk-off flows with upward pressure on oil and safe-haven assets (gold, U.S. Treasuries), heightened regional volatility that could benefit defense sector equities, and increased tail-risk for supply-chain and energy disruptions until escalation risk recedes.

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Market Sentiment

Overall Sentiment

strongly negative

Sentiment Score

-0.80