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Market Impact: 0.35

5 Under the Radar AI Chip Stocks Powering the Data Center Boom

AERA
ALAB
AMZN
ARM
CBRS
GOOGL
META
MRVL
+4
Artificial IntelligenceTechnology & InnovationCompany FundamentalsAnalyst InsightsInvestor Sentiment & Positioning

The article argues the AI datacenter buildout is shifting beyond GPUs into RF/optical interconnects, custom silicon, licensed CPU cores, PCIe fabrics, and wafer-scale inference—highlighting sustained revenue acceleration across the “plumbing” stack. Examples include MACOM’s Q2 FY2026 revenue of $288.95M (+22.5% YoY) and 58.5% adjusted gross margin, Marvell’s Q1 FY2027 revenue of $2.418B (+27.6% YoY) with data center at $1.83B (+27%), Arm’s Q4 FY2026 revenue of $1.49B (+20.1% YoY) with licensing revenue up 29%, Astera’s Q1 2026 revenue of $308.36M (+93.4% YoY) and EPS $0.61 vs $0.54 expected, and Cerebras’ IPO/contract backdrop including a $20B+ OpenAI inference deal and $6.4B IPO proceeds. While valuations appear stretched (e.g., Arm at 137x forward earnings) and Cerebras shares are down ~30.9% from the IPO peak, the overall tone is that the group’s demand and guidance are strengthening and sell-side targets are catching up.

Analysis

The market is still pricing AI as a GPU-only story, but the higher-probability upside is in the bill of materials around the compute node. That matters because connectivity and control silicon usually scale with rack density and port speed even when headline accelerator unit growth moderates, so names like MTSI, ALAB, and MRVL can compound off a broader installed base with less direct exposure to the next model-cycle wobble. ARM remains the cleanest royalty toll-booth, but it is also the most crowded expression of the theme and the most vulnerable to multiple compression if expected design wins slip.

The near-term catalyst path is earnings and backlog over the next 1-2 quarters: any evidence that 1.6T optics, CPO, PCIe/CXL, or custom CPU ramps are translating into sustained guide raises should keep the group bid. The main reversal risk is a capex pause driven by power constraints, procurement delays, or ROI scrutiny; that would hit the smaller, more execution-sensitive names first and likely compress the highest-beta valuations before it shows up in end-demand. Over 6-18 months, the winners should be the vendors with the highest attach-rate per rack and the cleanest path to recurring revenue, not necessarily the fastest top-line growers today.

Contrarian view: the consensus is treating all AI plumbing as additive, but some of it is substitution within the stack rather than net-new spend. That means the cheapest apparent growth may actually deserve the highest multiple if it is attached to durable design wins, while the highest-growth names can still underperform if gross margin, customer concentration, or financing terms deteriorate. CBRS is the clearest example: the equity story depends on a small number of hyperscale relationships and the market will punish any slippage in deployment timing far faster than it rewards the headline contract size.