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Market Impact: 0.6

Kalshi Now Places the Odds of a Recession in 2026 at 28%. 2 ETFs to Buy to Hedge Your Downside.

Monetary PolicyInterest Rates & YieldsEconomic DataInvestor Sentiment & Positioning

Since the Federal Reserve began raising interest rates in 2022, market participants have grown increasingly concerned the economy could tip into a recession. That lingering recession risk raises downside pressure on growth-sensitive assets and warrants more defensive portfolio positioning until clearer economic data or Fed guidance reduces uncertainty.

Analysis

Since the Federal Reserve began raising interest rates in 2022, market participants have grown increasingly concerned the economy could tip into a recession. That lingering recession risk raises downside pressure on growth-sensitive assets and warrants more defensive portfolio positioning until clearer economic data or Fed guidance reduces uncertainty.

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Market Sentiment

Overall Sentiment

mildly negative

Sentiment Score

-0.25