US stocks jumped in early trading while oil prices swung sharply after President Trump signaled a possible end to the war in Iran; however the Strait of Hormuz remained closed and Tehran attacked Israel's largest oil refinery, increasing supply disruption risk. These developments raise market-wide volatility and upside risk to energy prices, creating elevated sector and regional risk premia until shipping routes and hostilities normalize.
US stocks jumped in early trading while oil prices swung sharply after President Trump signaled a possible end to the war in Iran; however the Strait of Hormuz remained closed and Tehran attacked Israel's largest oil refinery, increasing supply disruption risk. These developments raise market-wide volatility and upside risk to energy prices, creating elevated sector and regional risk premia until shipping routes and hostilities normalize.
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