India’s stronger-than-expected June inflation print increases policy uncertainty as risks stack up: renewed tensions around the Strait of Hormuz could lift oil prices, while developing El Niño raises the probability of higher food costs. The combined inflation and energy/food upside risks likely constrain policymakers’ room to ease, keeping rates/pricing pressure in focus.
India’s stronger-than-expected June inflation print increases policy uncertainty as risks stack up: renewed tensions around the Strait of Hormuz could lift oil prices, while developing El Niño raises the probability of higher food costs. The combined inflation and energy/food upside risks likely constrain policymakers’ room to ease, keeping rates/pricing pressure in focus.
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