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More Traders Predict a Fed Hike. Don't Bet On It

Monetary PolicyEconomic DataInterest Rates & YieldsArtificial IntelligenceAnalyst Insights
More Traders Predict a Fed Hike. Don't Bet On It

The ADP jobs report came in soft, but hawkish commentary (Kashkari “goes full hawk”) keeps rate-hike expectations supported as the FedWatch Tool still leans toward a hike. The piece also flags ongoing AI support from multiple analysts (“3 analysts backing up the truck on AI”), though the dominant near-term driver for markets appears to be rate-path uncertainty into what Warsh might signal.

Analysis

The ADP jobs report came in soft, but hawkish commentary (Kashkari “goes full hawk”) keeps rate-hike expectations supported as the FedWatch Tool still leans toward a hike. The piece also flags ongoing AI support from multiple analysts (“3 analysts backing up the truck on AI”), though the dominant near-term driver for markets appears to be rate-path uncertainty into what Warsh might signal.

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