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From gas to groceries, has Trump kept his promise to tackle rising prices?

InflationElections & Domestic PoliticsEconomic DataFiscal Policy & BudgetTax & TariffsEnergy Markets & PricesCommodities & Raw MaterialsConsumer Demand & Retail
From gas to groceries, has Trump kept his promise to tackle rising prices?

Despite campaign pledges to reduce costs, President Trump's administration has overseen price increases across several key consumer categories. Grocery prices rose 2.7% in the 12 months to September 2025, with significant jumps in coffee and ground beef attributed partly to tariffs and immigration policies. Electricity rates increased from 15.94 cents/kWh to 17.62 cents/kWh, driven by AI demand and policy changes, while new car prices topped $50,000, also influenced by tariffs. Although gasoline prices saw a slight decrease, they remain significantly above the $2 per gallon pledge, indicating persistent inflationary pressures.

Analysis

Despite campaign pledges to curb inflation, key consumer prices have largely increased under the current administration. Grocery prices rose 2.7% in the 12 months to September 2025, with notable spikes such as coffee at 18.9% and ground beef at 12.9%. Similarly, average residential electricity rates climbed from 15.94 cents/kWh in January 2025 to 17.62 cents/kWh by August 2025, while new car prices surpassed $50,000 for the first time in September. Experts attribute these inflationary pressures significantly to policy decisions, including tariffs like the 50% duty on Brazilian coffee and broader tariffs impacting the automotive and steel industries. Immigration policies are also cited for potentially increasing labor costs in sectors like agriculture. These policy-driven costs are exacerbating existing market dynamics. Beyond policy, demand-side factors, particularly the surge in electricity consumption from data centers and AI, are driving energy price increases. Global commodity issues, such as adverse weather affecting coffee harvests, further contribute to price volatility. While gasoline prices saw a modest decline from $3.125 to $3.079 per gallon, they remain substantially above the $2 campaign promise.

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