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Market Impact: 0.8

It was unthinkable a couple of weeks ago, but could the next move by the Fed be a rate hike?

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Soaring fuel prices since the start of the war with Iran have raised the possibility that the Fed's next move could be an interest-rate hike, reversing recent expectations of continued pause. Higher energy costs add upside pressure to inflation and could force policy tightening, increasing market volatility and downside risk for growth-sensitive assets.

Analysis

Soaring fuel prices since the start of the war with Iran have raised the possibility that the Fed's next move could be an interest-rate hike, reversing recent expectations of continued pause. Higher energy costs add upside pressure to inflation and could force policy tightening, increasing market volatility and downside risk for growth-sensitive assets.

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Market Sentiment

Overall Sentiment

mildly negative

Sentiment Score

-0.25