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Fesharaki: US in 'Strong Position' to Wait Out Iran

Geopolitics & WarEnergy Markets & PricesSanctions & Export Controls

Iran’s income is being curtailed by the Strait of Hormuz conflict, with FGE NexantECA estimating the country can survive only “a few more months.” The commentary also suggests the US could potentially “wait out the regime” for a better deal, implying prolonged uncertainty around Iran-related supply risks. This raises downside risk for oil/pass-through energy pricing tied to Hormuz disruptions.

Analysis

Iran’s income is being curtailed by the Strait of Hormuz conflict, with FGE NexantECA estimating the country can survive only “a few more months.” The commentary also suggests the US could potentially “wait out the regime” for a better deal, implying prolonged uncertainty around Iran-related supply risks. This raises downside risk for oil/pass-through energy pricing tied to Hormuz disruptions.

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