Iran publicly denies any talks with the U.S. while G7 foreign ministers are convening to discuss de-escalation, creating conflicting signals. The mix increases geopolitical uncertainty and may lift volatility in oil, emerging-market assets and safe-haven flows, with potential single-digit percentage intraday moves in sensitive instruments. Monitor oil prices, EM FX and sovereign spreads for near-term market reactions.
Iran publicly denies any talks with the U.S. while G7 foreign ministers are convening to discuss de-escalation, creating conflicting signals. The mix increases geopolitical uncertainty and may lift volatility in oil, emerging-market assets and safe-haven flows, with potential single-digit percentage intraday moves in sensitive instruments. Monitor oil prices, EM FX and sovereign spreads for near-term market reactions.
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