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Market Impact: 0.55

Market Brief: The Most Crowded Fear Trade Since 2022

Investor Sentiment & PositioningDerivatives & VolatilityFutures & OptionsMarket Technicals & Flows

The CNN Fear & Greed Index plunged to 8 on Mar 31 (its lowest since November), placing markets in 'Extreme Fear' territory. Implied volatility is running nearly 2x realized volatility, creating one of the widest gaps between fear and fundamentals in years and increasing downside/volatility risk that may widen option skews and strain liquidity.

Analysis

The CNN Fear & Greed Index plunged to 8 on Mar 31 (its lowest since November), placing markets in 'Extreme Fear' territory. Implied volatility is running nearly 2x realized volatility, creating one of the widest gaps between fear and fundamentals in years and increasing downside/volatility risk that may widen option skews and strain liquidity.

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Market Sentiment

Overall Sentiment

mildly negative

Sentiment Score

-0.35