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Market Impact: 0.45

Russian Oil Flows Hit New High But Slumping Prices Crush Income

Energy Markets & PricesCommodities & Raw MaterialsGeopolitics & WarSovereign Debt & Ratings

Russia shipped 4.22 million barrels per day of crude in the four weeks to July 5, but tumbling crude prices are cutting the value of exports and slashing inflows that fund the Ukraine war. The reported volume is stable, yet lower pricing implies weaker revenue capture for the Kremlin, creating a negative fiscal/war-chest signal.

Analysis

Russia shipped 4.22 million barrels per day of crude in the four weeks to July 5, but tumbling crude prices are cutting the value of exports and slashing inflows that fund the Ukraine war. The reported volume is stable, yet lower pricing implies weaker revenue capture for the Kremlin, creating a negative fiscal/war-chest signal.

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Market Sentiment

Overall Sentiment

mildly negative

Sentiment Score

-0.35

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