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Brazil Election: Lula Seen as Frontrunner Over Flávio Bolsonaro

Elections & Domestic PoliticsGeopolitics & War

A year after Lula’s popularity hit career lows, he is now a reelection favorite. The article attributes the turnaround to support from two right-wing rivals—Donald Trump and Jair Bolsonaro—rather than to new economic or policy data. Likely limited near-term market impact, but notable for political risk/perception.

Analysis

A year after Lula’s popularity hit career lows, he is now a reelection favorite. The article attributes the turnaround to support from two right-wing rivals—Donald Trump and Jair Bolsonaro—rather than to new economic or policy data. Likely limited near-term market impact, but notable for political risk/perception.

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