Will Blackstone Inc. (BX) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?

Blackstone Inc. (BX) shows potential for another earnings beat, driven by a positive Zacks Earnings ESP of +0.50% and a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), a combination historically predicting positive surprises nearly 70% of the time. While the firm recorded a 4.81% negative surprise in its most recent quarter ($1.04 reported vs. $1.09 expected), it has a strong track record of surpassing estimates, averaging a 9.50% beat over the last two quarters, including a 14.19% beat in the prior period. This positive forward indicator suggests renewed bullish analyst sentiment ahead of its next earnings report, anticipated on July 24, 2025.

Analysis

Blackstone Inc. (BX) presents a bullish quantitative setup ahead of its next earnings report, despite a recent miss. The company's Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) is currently positive at +0.50%, which, when combined with its Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), suggests a high probability of an earnings beat based on the firm's back-testing, which indicates this combination leads to a positive surprise nearly 70% of the time. This forward-looking signal, driven by recent upward revisions from analysts, is notable given the company's recent performance. In its last report, Blackstone posted EPS of $1.04, missing the consensus estimate of $1.09. This miss contrasts with a strong beat in the prior quarter, where it surpassed estimates by 14.19%. The current positive ESP suggests that despite the recent shortfall, analyst sentiment is improving leading into the next announcement scheduled for July 24, 2025.

Key Decisions for Investors

• Investors should weigh the conflicting data points for Blackstone: a recent earnings miss is followed by a strong, historically reliable quantitative signal suggesting a future beat.
• For those with a short-term, event-driven strategy, the positive Earnings ESP of +0.50% combined with a #3 (Hold) rank could be viewed as a basis for positioning for a potential upside surprise around the July 24, 2025 earnings release.
• It is critical to monitor for any downward revisions to the Earnings ESP or a downgrade in the Zacks Rank, as these metrics are the primary drivers of the bullish outlook presented.
• Long-term investors should place this short-term earnings prediction in the context of broader fundamental analysis, as a single earnings event is not the sole determinant of sustained stock performance.