Q1 2026 Tenaris SA Earnings Call

May 7, 2026

Operator: Good day, thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Q1 Tenaris SA Earnings Conference Call. I would now like to hand the conference over to the investor relations officer, Giovanni Sardagna. Please go ahead.

Speaker #1: After the presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session. To ask a question during the session, you will need to press star 11 on your telephone.

Speaker #1: You will then hear a message advising your hand is raised. To withdraw your question, please press star 11 again. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded.

Speaker #1: I would now like to hand the conference over to the Investor Relations Officer, Giovanni Sardagna. Please go ahead.

Speaker #2: Thank you, Carmen, and welcome to TENARIS 2026 first quarter conference call. Before we start, I would like to remind you that we will be discussing forward-looking information during the call and that our actual results may vary from those expressed or implied in this call.

Giovanni Sardagna: Thank you, Carmen, and welcome to Tenaris 2026 Q1 Conference Call. Before we start, I would like to remind you that we will be discussing forward-looking information during the call and that our actual results may vary from those expressed or implied in this call. With me on the call today are Gabriel Podskubka, our newly appointed Chief Executive Officer, Carlos Gómez Álzaga, our Chief Financial Officer, and Guillermo Moreno, President of our US operations. Before passing over the call to Gabriel for his opening remarks, I would like to briefly comment our quarterly results. Our Q1 sales reached $3.1 billion, up 6% year-on-year and 4% sequentially, despite the disruption in the Middle East caused by the conflict and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz.

Speaker #2: We meet on the call today are Gabriel Podgórska, our newly appointed Chief Executive Officer; Carlos Gómez Alzaga, our Chief Financial Officer; and Guillermo Moreno, President of our US operations.

Speaker #2: Before passing over the call to Gabriel for his opening remarks, I would like to briefly comment our quarterly results. Our first quarter sales reached $3.1 billion, up 6% year on year, and 4% sequentially, despite the disruption in the Middle East caused by the conflict and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz.

Giovanni Sardagna: Our sales benefited from seasonally higher activity in Canada, a limited recovery of activity in Mexico, higher offshore sales in Brazil, some stock building in North Africa, and an advance of shipment in Saudi Arabia. Average selling prices in our tubes operating segment increased 5% compared to the corresponding quarter of 2025 and 1% sequentially. Our quarterly EBITDA rose 3% sequentially to $735 million, while our net income increased 22% to $564 million due to better results below the operating line. Our EBITDA margin remained at 24% as higher costs for maintenance shutdowns were offset by lower tariff costs. With operating cash flow of $618 million and capital expenditure of $114 million, our free cash flow for the quarter was $503 million.

Speaker #2: As sales benefited from seasonally higher activity in Canada, a limited recovery of activity in Mexico, higher offshore sales in Brazil, some stock building in North Africa, and an advance of shipments in Saudi Arabia.

Speaker #2: Average selling prices in our Tubes operating segment increased 5% compared to the corresponding quarter of 2025, and 1% sequentially. Our EBITDA rose 3% sequentially to $735 million, while our net income increased 22% to $564 million, due to better results below the operating line.

Speaker #2: Our ABDA margin remained at 24%, as higher costs for maintenance shutdowns were offset by lower tariff costs. With operating cash flow of $618 million and capital expenditure of $114 million, our free cash flow for the quarter was $503 million.

Speaker #2: Following share buybacks of $90 million during the quarter, our net cash position at the end of the quarter increased to $3.8 billion. Now, I will ask Gabriel to say a few words before we open the call to questions.

Giovanni Sardagna: Following share buybacks of $90 million during the quarter, our net cash position at the end of the quarter increased to $3.8 billion. Now I will ask Gabriel to say a few words before we open the call to questions.

Speaker #3: Thank you, Giovanni, and I would like to extend a warm welcome to all of you. Before we go to our results, I would like to express that I am deeply honored by the trust that Paolo Rocca and the TENARIS Board of Directors have placed in me, and with it, the enormous responsibility of leading this company in the next phase of growth.

Gabriel Podskubka: Thank you, Giovanni. I would like to extend a warm welcome to all of you. Before we go to our results, I would like to express that I'm deeply honored by the trust that Paolo Rocca and the Tenaris board of directors have placed in me, and with it, the enormous responsibility of leading this company in the next phase of growth. At the same time, I'm very pleased that we will be able to count on the continuing support and leadership of Paolo as chairman of the board. When I joined the company as a graduate engineer in 1995, I never imagined how Tenaris would grow so quickly and come to play the leading role in serving the world's energy industry that it does today.

Speaker #3: At the same time, I am very pleased that we will be able to count on the continued support and leadership of Paolo as Chairman of the Board.

Speaker #3: When I joined the company as a graduate engineer in 1995, I never imagined how TENARIS would grow so quickly and come to play the leading role in serving the world's energy industry that it does today.

Speaker #3: During all these years, Paolo has been the architect of the growth and the transformation of TENARIS. And a constant presence and inspiration to all of us.

Gabriel Podskubka: During all these years, Paolo has been the architect of the growth and the transformation of Tenaris, and a constant presence and inspiration to all of us. The journey has been truly extraordinary, and it has been a privilege to experience it from the inside, and to have had so many opportunities for professional growth. I look forward to building on his remarkable achievements. Now let's move on to our first quarter results and the panorama that we have ahead. This quarter reminding us that the geopolitical risk and uncertainty is ever present in the oil and gas industry. As is well known, the conflict in the Middle East has led to the closure of Hormuz, through which 20% of the world's oil and LNG normally passes. During this time, our first priority has been the safety of our 1,000 employees in the region.

Speaker #3: The journey has been truly extraordinary, and it has been a privilege to experience it from the inside, and to have had so many opportunities for professional growth.

Speaker #3: I look forward to building on his remarkable achievements. Now, let's move on to our first quarter results and the panorama that we have ahead.

Speaker #3: This quarter reminded us that geopolitical risk and uncertainty is ever present in the oil and gas industry. As is well known, the conflict in the Middle East has led to the closure of Hormuz, through which 20% of the world's oil and energy normally passes.

Speaker #3: During this time, our first priority has been the safety of our 1,000 employees in the region. I would like to give a special thanks to them for their unwavering commitment to serving our customers through this turbulent period.

Gabriel Podskubka: I would like to give a special thanks to them for their unwavering commitment to serving our customers through this turbulent period. In Saudi Arabia and the UAE, our customers have continued their operations, and we continue to support them. However, customers in Kuwait, Qatar, and Iraq have had to shut in most of their operations. We expect our sales in the region to be affected in Q2 in around $140 million. We are also seeing higher logistic costs as we seek alternative routes to the region and also from the global increase in fuel prices. Amidst the regional turmoil, we continue to differentiate our service in the region. ADNOC Offshore recognized our reliable service and HSE performance with a Supplier of the Year award.

Speaker #3: In Saudi Arabia and the UAE, our customers have continued their operations and we continue to support them. However, customers in Kuwait, Qatar, and Iraq have had to shut in most of their operations.

Speaker #3: We expect our sales in the region to be affected in the second quarter in around 140 million. We are also seeing higher logistic costs as we seek alternative routes to the region, and also from the global increase in fuel prices.

Speaker #3: Amidst the regional turmoil, we continue to differentiate our service in the region. Adnoc Offshore recognized our reliable service and HSC performance with a supplier of the year award.

Speaker #3: In Kuwait, we have been awarded a five-year contract for the supply of casing products and accessories to be used in the development of a complex new field.

Gabriel Podskubka: In Kuwait, we have been awarded a 5-year contract for the supply of casing products and accessories to be used in the development of a complex new field. As an immediate consequence of the supply disruption in the Middle East, oil and gas companies and consuming countries are looking at diversifying supply. Investment in short-cycle shale plays in the Americas are likely to benefit, and some Rig Direct customers in the United States and Argentina are already confirming that they are adding rigs. The fleet of high-spec rigs operating in Vaca Muerta is expected to increase by 15% by the year end as new rigs and hydraulic fracturing sets are brought into the country. Tenaris will start to operate its third set of hydraulic fracturing equipment towards the end of the year.

Gabriel Podskubka: In Kuwait, we have been awarded a five-year contract for the supply of casing products and accessories to be used in the development of a complex new field. As an immediate consequence of the supply disruption in the Middle East, oil and gas companies and consuming countries are looking at diversifying supply. Investment in short-cycle shale plays in the Americas are likely to benefit, and some Rig Direct customers in the United States and Argentina are already confirming that they are adding rigs. The fleet of high-spec rigs operating in Vaca Muerta is expected to increase by 15% by the year end as new rigs and hydraulic fracturing sets are brought into the country. Tenaris will start to operate its third set of hydraulic fracturing equipment towards the end of the year.

Speaker #3: As an immediate consequence of the supply disruption in the Middle East, oil and gas companies and consuming countries are looking at diversifying supply. Investment in short-cycle shale plates in the Americas is likely to benefit and some rig direct customers in the United States, and Argentina, are already confirming that they are adding rigs.

Speaker #3: The fleet of high-spec rigs operating in Vaca Muerta is expected to increase by 15% by the end as new rigs and hydraulic fracturing sets are brought into the country.

Speaker #3: TENARIS will start to operate its third set of hydraulic fracturing equipment towards the end of the year. We are preparing for an increase of activity in the United States in the second half of the year, while in Canada, industry and government are working to increase LNG and pipeline takeaway capacity, which will allow activity growth in the years ahead.

Gabriel Podskubka: We are preparing for an increase of activity in the United States in the second half of the year. In Canada, industry and government are working to increase LNG and pipeline takeaway capacity, which will allow activity growth in the years ahead. We are also strengthening our Rig Direct service through the integration of AllTorque's hardware and software for torque drum monitoring operations. We recently acquired this specialized technology and know-how that now forms part of our well integrity service and will add further value to our customers. The outlook for deep water drilling, offshore pipeline construction, and further exploration activity during the next 3 years is promising. There is a significant number of deep water projects in Africa, Asia, and the Mediterranean, which are nearing final investment decisions. In the United States, Brazil, and the Guyana-Suriname Basin, developments are also moving forward.

Speaker #3: We are also strengthening our rig direct service through the integration of all torques hardware and software for torque term monitoring operations. We recently acquired this specialized technology and know-how that now forms part of our well-integrity service and will add further value to our customers.

Speaker #3: The outlook for deep water drilling offshore pipeline construction and further exploration activity during the next three years is promising. There is a significant number of deep water projects in Africa, Asia, and the Mediterranean which are nearing final investment decisions, while in the United States, Brazil, and the Guyana, Surinam basin, developments are also moving forward.

Speaker #3: Operators are looking to shorten time from discovery to first production. And TENARIS is supporting them by fast-tracking the integrated supply of OCDG, line pipe, coating, and accessories.

Gabriel Podskubka: Operators are looking to shorten time from discovery to first production. Tenaris is supporting them by fast-tracking the integrated supply of OCTG, line pipe, coating, and accessories. As we look into the eventual reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, Tenaris, with its extensive presence, flexible supply options around the world, its differentiated service and technology for shale and deep water operations, and the strength of its financial position, is well-placed to serve our customers as they respond to the need to replenish oil and gas inventories and increase drilling activity. I would now open the floor for questions.

Speaker #3: As we look into the eventual reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, TENARIS, with its extensive presence, flexible supply options around the world, is differentiated service and technology for shale and deep water operations.

Speaker #3: And the strength of its financial position is well placed to serve our customers as they respond to the need to replenish oil and gas inventories and increase drilling activity.

Speaker #3: I would now open the floor for questions.

Speaker #2: Thank you. And as a reminder to ask a question, simply press star 11 on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced.

Operator: Giving us a reminder to ask a question, simply press star one one on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. To remove yourself, press star one one again. One moment for our first question. It comes from Sebastian Erskine with Rothschild & Co. Please go ahead.

Speaker #2: To remove yourself, press star 11 again. One moment for our first question. It comes from Sebastian Erskine with Rothschild & Company, please go ahead.

Sebastian Erskine: Hi. Good morning, gentlemen, and Gabriel, best wishes to you on the new chapter here as CEO. My first question actually on the Q2 kind of guide. You indicated $440 million impact from kind of lower revenue and then the higher kind of cost impact. Could you maybe eventually give a sense of what that looks like in terms of absolute EBITDA impact from the higher cost? I presume, if I assume decremental sort of 50%, and then obviously the logistics cost in absolute terms. Any color on what that might look like to EBITDA, and then should we expect you to operate at sort of lower end of that 20% to 25% sort of medium term target?

Speaker #4: Hi, good morning. Gentlemen and Gabriel, best wishes to you on the new chapter here as CEO. My first question actually on the 2Q kind of guide, you indicated 440 million impact from kind of low revenue and then the higher kind of cost impact.

Speaker #4: Could you maybe venture and give a sense of what that looks like in terms of absolute EBITDA impact from the higher cost, I presume, if I assume decrementals at sort of 50% and then obviously the logistics cost in absolute terms.

Speaker #4: But any color on what that might look like to EBITDA and then should we expect you to operate at sort of lower end of that 20 to 25 percent sort of medium-term target?

Speaker #3: Very good. Thank you, Sebastian, for the question and for the kind remarks. Regarding the second quarter, as I was anticipating, due to the situation in the Middle East, we expect in the second quarter a lower revenues probably mid to high single digits is the range that we would like to guide today.

Gabriel Podskubka: Very good. Thank you, Sebastian, for the question and for the kind remarks. Regarding Q2, as I was anticipating, due to the situation in the Middle East, we expect in Q2 lower revenues, probably mid to high single digits is the range that we would like to guide today. There's still uncertainty. This is mainly driven by the Middle East conflict. This $140 million that we had earmarked for invoicing in Q2. $40 million of that was anticipated in Q1. The balance, due to the difficulties to get into the region, are probably gonna go into the Q3 delay. This is on the revenue side. You're talking about EBITDA margin. There we expect the EBITDA margin to contract a couple of points.

Speaker #3: There's still uncertainty. And this is mainly driven by the Middle East conflict this 140 million that we had earmarked for invoicing in the second quarter.

Speaker #3: 40 million of that was anticipated in the first quarter. And the balance due to the difficulties to get into the region are probably going to go into the third quarter delay.

Speaker #3: This is on the revenue side. Then you're talking about EBITDA margin. There we expect the EBITDA margin to contract, a couple of points. This is going to be one-third related to the logistic cost that I will comment in a minute.

Gabriel Podskubka: This is gonna be one third related to the logistic cost, that I will comment in a minute, and two thirds related to a lower absorption of fixed cost, semi-fixed cost, related to the lower volumes that we expect this quarter. Logistic is an important component. We expect about $32 million of higher logistic cost in this Q2 due to the conflict. Here we need to separate two effects. One, the difficulty in arriving to our customers through the Strait of Hormuz. We have additional costs on vessels that are waiting for berth in ports that are either in Fujairah or Khor Fakkan, in the outer part of Hormuz on the Emirates or Oman as well, some ports in Oman that we're using, or even Jeddah in the Red Sea to access to Saudi.

Speaker #3: And two-thirds related to the lower absorption of fixed cost, semi-fixed cost related to the lower volumes that we expect this quarter. Logistic is an important component.

Speaker #3: We expect about 32 million dollars of higher logistic cost in this second quarter. Due to the conflict and here we need to separate two effects.

Speaker #3: One, the difficulty in arriving to our customers through the Strait of Hormuz. We have additional cost on vessels that are waiting for berth in ports that are either in Fujairah or Korfakan in the outer part of Hormuz on the Emirates.

Speaker #3: Or Oman as well, some ports in Oman that we are using. Or even Jeddah in the Red Sea to access to Saudi. So waiting times and loading and a second leg, a second leg, an inland transportation that is additional to the cost that we would normally have if the Strait would be open.

Gabriel Podskubka: Waiting times, unloading and a second leg, an inland transportation that is additional to the cost that we would normally have, if the strait would be open. This accounts to around $8 million of estimate additional cost in the quarter. In addition to that, and related to the price of oil, fuel prices are going up all over the world. This creates an additional cost of logistics, mainly in trucking, to some extent also in maritime and freights, and railroads. This is around, in our estimate, $24 million of higher freight costs related to the increase in fuel in the different parts of the world. Clearly a higher impact in North America, given the amount of intensity and service that we have, especially in US and Canada.

Speaker #3: These accounts to around 8 million dollars of estimate additional cost in the quarter. In addition to that, and related to the price of oil, fuel prices, are going out, are going up all over the world.

Speaker #3: This creates an additional cost of logistics. Mainly in tracking, to some extent also in maritime freights. And also railroads. This is around in our estimate 24 million dollars of higher freight costs related to the increase in fuel in the different parts of the world.

Speaker #3: Clearly higher impact in North America given the amount of intensity and service that we have especially in US and Canada. So this effects are temporary in this quarter contracting the EBITDA margin.

Gabriel Podskubka: These effects are, temporary in this quarter, contracting the EBITDA margin.

Speaker #4: That's very helpful. Thank you, Gabriel. And then my second question is on the North American business. Obviously performing very well and now at a higher commodity price environment likely to see a ramp-up in spending at some point from ENPs.

Sebastian Erskine: That's very helpful. Thank you, Gabriel. Now my second question is on the North American business, obviously performing very well. Now at a higher commodity price environment, likely to see a ramp up in spending at some point from EMPs. If I look at the business, do you expect the growth predominantly to be led by pricing? We're seeing obviously Pipe Logix is now beginning to step up or by volume. Is there really that much more kind of share gain to take given your position already? So I'm just thinking about that. Is it pricing led or volume led in North America going forward? Thank you.

Speaker #4: But if I look at the business, do you expect the growth predominantly to be led by pricing? And we're seeing obviously Pipelogics is now beginning to step up.

Speaker #4: Or by volumes? Is there really that much more kind of share gain to take given your position already? So I'm just thinking about that.

Speaker #4: Is it pricing-led or volume-led in North America going forward? Thank you.

Speaker #3: Yeah. Sebastian, on this point, I think the short answer is both volume and pricing. But I will let Guillermo give you a bit on color about what we expect on North America on the second half of the year where we're seeing activity increase and possible price increases and this will be is part of the improved outlook towards the second half of the year for TENARIS.

Gabriel Podskubka: Yeah. Sebastian on this point, I think the short answer is, both volume and pricing, but I will let Guillermo give you a bit of color about what we expect on North America on the H2, where we're seeing activity increase and possible price increases, and this is part of the improved outlook towards the H2 for Tenaris.

Speaker #5: Thank you, Gabriel. And good afternoon, Sebastian. As you said, we are expecting upside in both in terms of activity and sales. And in prices.

Guillermo Moreno: Thank you, Gabriel, and good afternoon, Sebastian. As you said, we are expecting upside in both in terms of activity and sales and in prices moving forward. By talking with our clients, we are starting them to say that they will be adding rigs, particularly led by the small private operators, but also some medium and large size independents are planning to add rigs. Putting all together, our expectation is that activity by the end of the year, in terms of rig count, will increase around 50 rigs. In other words, around 10% of activity. And we expect that we will go with, we will grow with our clients in line with this.

Speaker #5: Moving forward. By talking with our clients, we are starting them to say that they will be adding risks particularly led by the small private operators, but also some medium and large size independents are planning to add risks.

Speaker #5: Putting all together, our expectation is that activity by the end of the year in terms of recount will increase around 50 risks in other words, around 10% of activity.

Speaker #5: And we expect that we will go with we will grow with our clients in line with this. In terms of prices, Pipelogics has increased 4% in the last two months.

Guillermo Moreno: In terms of prices, Pipe Logix has increased 4% in the last 2 months, and we expect this trend to continue in the following months. Mainly pushed by the increase of raw material and logistic costs, but also because of the expectation of increase of demand.

Speaker #5: And we expect this trend to continue in the following months. So mainly pushed by the increase of raw material and logistic costs. But also because of the expectation of decrease of demand.

Speaker #4: Very helpful. Thanks very much. I will turn it back now. Thank you.

Sebastian Erskine: Very helpful. Thanks very much. I will turn it back now. Thank you.

Speaker #6: Thank you. Our next question. One moment, please. Comes from Mark Bianchi with TD Cowan. Please proceed.

Operator: Thank you. Our next question, one moment please, comes from Marc Bianchi with TD Cowen. Please proceed.

Marc Bianchi: Thank you very much. Giovanni, I didn't hear you introduce Paolo, I'm sure he's listening. I wanna congratulate him on everything that the company has accomplished under his leadership. Gabriel, welcome into the role.

Speaker #7: Thank you very much. Giovanni, I didn't hear you introduce Paolo, but I'm sure he's listening I want to congratulate him on everything that the company has accomplished under his leadership.

Speaker #7: And Gabriel, welcome into the role.

Speaker #3: Thank you very much, Mark. For your comment. And probably later today or tomorrow I'll talk to Paolo and pass along the message. If he's not listening, which he probably is, but anyway.

Gabriel Podskubka: Thank you very much, Marc, for your comment. Probably later today or tomorrow, talk to Paolo and pass along the message. If he's not listening, which he probably is, but anyway.

Marc Bianchi: Yeah. Yep. Great. Well, I guess maybe continuing the conversation of how the business is progressing here. Q2, you've outlined pretty clearly, but the comment in the press release was that, you know, H2 recovers, assuming the Strait opens shortly. Can you talk about, you know, how quickly that happens? Is the expectation that maybe Q3 can go back to be where Q1 was? Maybe unpack that a little bit for us, if you could.

Speaker #7: Yeah. Great. Well, I guess maybe continuing the conversation of how the business is progressing here. So second quarter, you've outlined pretty clearly. But the comment in the press release was that second half recovers assuming the Strait opens shortly.

Speaker #7: But can you talk about how quickly that happens? Is the expectation that maybe third quarter can impact to be where first quarter was? And maybe unpack that a little bit for us if you could.

Speaker #3: Sure. Indeed, we are seeing volumes recovering. In the third and fourth quarter at this point, I would say probably towards a higher fourth quarter than the third.

Gabriel Podskubka: Sure. Indeed, we are seeing volumes recovering in Q3 and Q4. At this point, I would say probably towards a higher Q4 than Q3. It's reasonable to assume that we will get very close to Q1 levels during H2. This is our best estimation today. We have, as we anticipated, the trajectory on price increases that will offset the cost increases that we're having. Besides the logistics that we talk about, there is an impact starting in Q2. We have had higher raw materials on the metallic side, scrap, ferroalloys, hot rolled coils.

Speaker #3: But it's reasonable to assume that we will get very close to the first quarter levels during the second half. This is our best estimation today.

Speaker #3: And then we have as we anticipated the trajectory on price increases. That will offset the cost increases that we're having because besides the logistics that we talk about that is an impact starting in the second quarter, we have had higher raw materials.

Speaker #3: On the metallic side, scrap, ferroalloys, hot oil coils, and the full impact of these cost increases over the last few months, we will start to see, to a large extent, the full impact of that in the third quarter.

Gabriel Podskubka: The full impact on these cost increases over the last few months, we will start to see, to a large extent, the full impact on that on Q3. The pricing trajectory with a better North America, with a better offshore as well in the H2, will support, together with the volume, an increase on the pricing, returning to EBITDA margin levels close to Q1.

Speaker #3: So the pricing trajectory with a better North America with a better offshore as well in the second half will support together with the volume an increase on the pricing returning to EBITDA margin levels close to the first quarter.

Marc Bianchi: Just specifically related to that, does the Pipe Logix price need to improve beyond what we've seen so far to get to that? Or is it just, you know, what we've seen through April, that gets you to where you just talked about by Q4, or do we need additional Pipe Logix improvement?

Speaker #7: And just specifically related to that, does the Pipelogics price need to improve beyond what we've seen so far to get to that? Or is it just what we've seen through April, that gets you to where you just talked about by 4Q?

Speaker #7: Or do we need additional Pipelogics improvement?

Gabriel Podskubka: I think we need some more steam on the Pipe Logix, but I will let Guillermo comment on which are our basic premises that are typically conservative on Pipe Logix increase.

Speaker #3: I think we need some more steam on the Pipelogics, but I will let Guillermo comment on which are our basic premises that are typically conservative on Pipelogic increase.

Gabriel Podskubka: I think we need some more steam on the Pipe Logix, but I will let Guillermo comment on which are our basic premises that are typically conservative on Pipe Logix increase.

Speaker #5: Yes. We need some additional increases, but our expectation is that Pipelogics will increase at least to allow us to offset those cost increases.

Guillermo Moreno: Yes. We need some additional increases, but our expectation is that Pipe Logix will increase at least to allow us to offset those cost increases.

Speaker #7: Yeah. Okay. Very good. Thank you. And then the other question I had was just on back on the Middle East and the opportunity for perhaps some more pipeline work to try to reduce the risk of all of the volume going through the Strait.

Marc Bianchi: Yeah. Okay. Very good. Thank you. The other question I had was just on, back on the Middle East and the opportunity for perhaps some more pipeline work to try to reduce the risk of all of the volume going through the Strait. There's been talk of expanding the East-West Pipeline within Saudi Arabia. I'm curious what your opportunity is for that or any other similar type of investments in the region.

Speaker #7: There's been talk of expanding the east-west pipeline within Saudi Arabia, so I'm curious what your opportunity is for that, or any other similar type of investments in the region.

Speaker #3: Yeah. In that regard, indeed, the East-West pipeline in Saudi Arabia and the pipeline going to Fujairah in the Emirates have been redundancy contingency until now.

Gabriel Podskubka: Yeah. In that regard, indeed, the East-West pipeline in Saudi Arabia and the pipeline going to Fujairah in the Emirates have been redundancy contingency until now are strategically important. I think it's rational to assume that this study might be continued and expanded. There is no clear indication announcement that these projects are going ahead, it's very rational to assume that they will add a lot of value. From that point of view, we see how and if this will occur, probably for this type of pipelines, you're talking about a year in under a fast track scenario. This is not something that can be produced and built over a few months.

Speaker #3: But now our strategically important. So I think it's a rational to assume that this is a strategy that might be continued and expanded. There is no clear indication announcement that these projects are going ahead, but it's very rational to assume that they will add a lot of value.

Speaker #3: From that point of view, we see how and if this will occur. Probably for this type of pipelines, you're talking about a year to a year in under a fast track scenario.

Speaker #3: So this is not something that can be produced and built over a few months. In any case, we have a large diameter facility in Jubail GPC in Saudi Arabia.

Gabriel Podskubka: In any case, we have a large diameter facility in Jubail, TenarisGPC in Saudi Arabia, so we will be ideally positioned if this project goes ahead. We have a capacity of around 450,000 tons in our facility in Saudi. This, depending on the diameter, wall thickness, and the trajectory of this pipeline, these pipelines could demand hundreds of thousands of tons to be built. I think we will see how this develops over time, but we are ideally positioned to capture that from the pipeline point of view. If there is a pipeline capacity, there's gonna be drilling behind. Both in Saudi Arabia and UAE, we also have a distinctive OCTG position, so we will also benefit from that down the line.

Speaker #3: So, we will be ideally positioned if this project goes ahead. We have a capacity of around 450,000 tons in our facility in Saudi. And, depending on the diameter, wall thickness, and the trajectory of this pipeline, this pipeline could demand hundreds of thousands of tons to be built.

Speaker #3: So I think we will see how this develops. Over time, but we are ideally positioned to capture that from the pipeline point of view.

Speaker #3: And if there is a pipeline capacity, there’s going to be drilling behind. So both in Saudi Arabia and UAE, we also have a distinctive OCDG position.

Speaker #3: So we will also benefit from that down the line. So too early to tell, but important upside opportunity for TENARIS is this develops.

Gabriel Podskubka: Too early to tell, important upside opportunity for Tenaris if this develops.

Speaker #7: Thank you very much.

Marc Bianchi: Thank you very much.

Speaker #8: Thank you. Our next question comes from Matt Smith with Bank of America. Please proceed.

Operator: Thank you. Our next question comes from Matthew Smith with Bank of America. Please proceed.

Speaker #9: Hi there. Good morning. Good afternoon. Congrats from myself as well, Gabriel, and best wishes to Paolo too. Could the first question, could I focus on tariffs?

Matthew Smith: Hi there. Good morning, good afternoon. Congrats from myself as well, Gabriel, and best wishes to Paolo too. For the first question, could I focus on tariffs? The first part of that would be to ask what the current run rate you're seeing for Section 232 costs within your financials at the moment post the mitigation efforts that you've been carrying out, and whether and how you expect that cost line to evolve in the coming quarters. Then perhaps, would you mind if I add on to that? Are you able to add any comments on Canadian anti-dumping headlines that we've seen in recent weeks? Thank you.

Speaker #9: And the first part of that would be to ask what the current run rate you're seeing for Section 232 costs within your financials at the moment, post the mitigation efforts that you've been carrying out.

Speaker #9: And whether—how you expect that cost line to evolve in the coming quarters. And then, perhaps, would you mind if I add on to that?

Speaker #9: Are you able to add any comments on Canadian anti-dumping headlines that we've seen in recent weeks? Thank you.

Speaker #3: Thank you, Matt, for the congrats. Regarding the first point on tariffs, we have arrived to a level of tariffs impacting our first quarter results of 110, 120 million dollars.

Gabriel Podskubka: Thank you, Matt, for the congrats. Regarding the first point on tariffs, we have arrived to a level of tariffs impacting our Q1 results of $110 million, $120 million. We believe that we arrived to that steady state, and we will take this towards same level towards the end of the year. This is what to expect. We know that there is a USMCA that's starting to be discussed. This will take probably all the second semester. No variations, I think that we have in our forecast in the short term for further mitigation. As you said, this number used to be much higher than that, in the range of $140 million, $150 million, I believe at the peak.

Speaker #3: And we believe that we arrived to that steady state. And we will take this towards the same level towards the end of the year.

Speaker #3: So this is what to expect. We know that there is a USMCA that's starting to be discussed, but this will take probably all the second semester.

Speaker #3: So, no variations, I think, that we have in our forecast in the short term for further mitigation. But as you said, this number used to be much higher than that—in the range of 140, 150, I believe, at the peak.

Speaker #3: And we are maximizing steel production and pipe manufacturing in the US to mitigate this tariff numbers. Regarding your second point of anti-dumping, against Mexico, in Canada, this is something that, yes, was announced early last month.

Gabriel Podskubka: We are maximizing steel production and pipe manufacturing in the US to mitigate these tariff numbers. Regarding your second point of antidumping against Mexico in Canada, this is something that, yes, was announced early last month. Let me tell you first that in Canada, like in many important bases in the world, we have a strategy of mainly domestic manufacturing and sourcing. Today, in Canada, 80% of our sales of OCTG come from domestic manufacturing, but still we import from our different mills around the world to complement this local manufacturing. The impact of this antidumping, I believe, is quite limited going forward. We expect 7% of our supply in Canada to be sourced from Tamsa going forward, in line with the pricing indication of this result.

Speaker #3: Let me tell you first that in Canada, like in many important bases in the world, we have a strategy of mainly domestic manufacturing and sourcing.

Speaker #3: So today, in Canada, 80% of our sales of OCDG come from domestic manufacturing. But still, we import from our different mills around the world to complement this local manufacturing.

Speaker #3: The impact of this anti-dumping, I believe, is quite limited. Going forward, we expect 7% of our supply in Canada to be sourced from TAMSA going forward in line with the pricing indication of this result.

Speaker #3: And this is particular products, specialized products, but that, by the way, are not manufactured by the local petitioners of the case. So we believe it's we have ability to continue to serving our customers in Canada with mainly domestic base, which has been all along our strategy.

Gabriel Podskubka: This is particular products, specialized products, but that, by the way, are not manufactured by the local petitioners of the case. We believe is we have ability to continue to serving our customers in Canada with a mainly domestic base, which has been all along our strategies of something. This is something that we are factoring in our supply. It had an impact on Q1, which was $14 million, and this is something that we expect not to have later on throughout the year.

Speaker #3: So this is something that we are factoring in our supply. It had an impact on the first quarter. Which was 14 million dollars. And this is something that we expect not to have later on throughout the year.

Matthew Smith: Perfect. Thank you for that. Perhaps could I switch tones for a second question towards the buyback? I think last quarter I asked Paolo whether the philosophy had changed at all, how you viewed the buyback. Could I ask you the same question in this volatile environment? Does your philosophy in terms of how you implement that, how you size that, does that change at all? Should we look to the AGM next week to hear news on it, please? Thank you.

Speaker #9: for that. And then perhaps could I switch tones for a second question towards the buyback? I think last quarter I asked Paolo whether the philosophy had changed at all, how you viewed the buyback.

Speaker #9: Could I ask you the same question in this volatile environment? Does your philosophy in terms of how you implement that, how you size that, does that change at all?

Speaker #9: And should we look to the AGM next week to hear news on it, please? Thank you.

Speaker #3: Yeah, yeah. Thank you. On that point, as you know, this is a decision that is to be taken by the shareholder meeting first. And then by the board.

Gabriel Podskubka: Yeah, yeah. Thank you. On that point, as you know, this is a decision that is to be taken by the shareholder meeting first, and then by the board. Next week, we will see on 12 May, the company shareholder meeting will consider, among other topics, the renewal of the authorization of a repurchase of shares. Afterwards, it will be up to the board to decide on that. I cannot offer more color on that at this point.

Speaker #3: So next week, we will see on May 12, the company shareholder meeting will consider, among other topics, the renewal of the authorization of a repurchase of shares.

Speaker #3: Afterwards, it will be up to the board to decide on that. So I cannot offer more color on that. At this point.

Speaker #9: Okay. Well, thank you very much. Happy to pass it on.

Matthew Smith: Okay. Well, thank you very much. Happy to pass it on.

Speaker #3: Thank you.

Gabriel Podskubka: Thank you.

Speaker #8: Thank you, Aaron. Our next question comes from Paul Redman with BNP Paribas. Please proceed.

Operator: Thank you. Our next question comes from Paul Redman with BNP Paribas. Please proceed.

Speaker #10: Hi, guys. And thank you very much for your time. Yeah, Gabriel, congratulations on the new role. I just wanted to ask, you've been COO for a number of years.

Paul Redman: Hi, guys, thank you very much for your time. Yeah, Gabriel, congratulations on the new role. I just wanted to ask, you've been COO for a number of years. I wanted to ask where you see the greatest opportunities for Tenaris as you step into the role. Secondly, just on the Middle East, can you provide a bit more detail by country in terms of where you're seeing the greatest issues around logistics costs, delivery to customer? Just a bit more detail than Middle East in general. Thank you.

Speaker #10: I wanted to ask where you see the greatest opportunities for TENARIS as you step into the role. And then secondly, just on the Middle East, can you provide a bit more detail by country in terms of where you're seeing the greatest issues around logistics, costs, delivery to customer?

Speaker #10: Just a bit more detail than Middle East in general. Thank you.

Speaker #3: Yep. Thank you very much for the congrats. Again, maybe I start for the second part related to the logistic cuts into the Middle East.

Gabriel Podskubka: Yep. Thank you very much for the congrats again. Maybe I start from the second part related to the logistic costs into the Middle East. Clearly, Saudi and UAE, due to this pipeline capacity that we talked before, they have continued their drilling operations. Okay. It has been remarkable that the majority of the rigs have been operating under the challenging conditions that we had in the months of March and April. It has been very important for us to serve them every day with our local manufacturing, our local service centers, and bringing material into these two countries to replenish our inventories and support them. We had 0 rig stoppages, we have been able to serve them under this condition as in normal times.

Speaker #3: Clearly, Saudi and UAE, due to this pipeline capacity that we talked before, they have continued their drilling operations. Okay? It has been remarkable that the majority of the rigs have been operating under the challenging conditions that we had in the month of March and April.

Speaker #3: So it has been very important for us to serve them every day with our local manufacturing, our local service centers. And bringing material into these two countries to replenish our inventories and support them.

Speaker #3: And we had zero rig stoppages. So we have been able to serve them under these conditions as in normal times. So this is an important part of the effort.

Gabriel Podskubka: This is an important part of the effort, but again, going through logistics outside through Hormuz with longer transit times and higher costs. When you go to the upper part of the Gulf, it's much more difficult to reach, much more costly to reach. In Qatar, which is mainly producing LNG for export, and in Kuwait and in Iraq, the capabilities of export alternative routes is much limited. Drilling activity there has reduced much more. There was less of a need for the customers to receive new material, and there was more of a difficulty for us to reach those locations, upper part of the Gulf. Okay? This is a way. We will see how this unfolds in the next few weeks, in the next few months.

Speaker #3: But again, going through logistics outside through Ormuz with longer transit times and higher costs. When you go to the upper part of the Gulf, it's much more difficult to reach, much more costly to reach.

Speaker #3: And in Qatar, which is mainly producing LNG for export, and in Kuwait and in Iraq, the capabilities of export alternative routes are much limited.

Speaker #3: So drilling activity there has reduced much more. So there was less of a need for the customers to receive new material, and there was more of a difficulty for us to reach those locations—upper part of the Gulf.

Speaker #3: Okay? So this is a way we will see how this unfolds in the next few weeks in the next few months. Our base scenario continues to be that this is a resolution that will come in the short term.

Gabriel Podskubka: Our base scenario continues to be that this is a resolution that will come in the short term, and we hope for that. But this is what we see today. The majority of the big delays have been in the northern part of the Gulf. While Saudi and UAE, we are finding alternative routes because the material is really needed. The rigs are working. Regarding the first question, maybe you remind me again on the first point.

Speaker #3: And we hope for that. But this is what we see today. So the majority of the big delays have been in the northern part of the Gulf, while Saudi and UAE, we are finding alternative routes because the material is really needed.

Speaker #3: The rigs are working. Regarding the first question, maybe you remind me again on the first point.

Speaker #10: It was just as you step into the CEO role, where do you see the growth? Yeah.

Paul Redman: It was just as you step into the CEO role, where do you see the growth opportunities?

Gabriel Podskubka: Oh, potential for growth.

Paul Redman: Yeah.

Speaker #3: Yeah. Well, I think there are a lot of opportunities for growth in TENARIS. This situation in the Middle East creates a strengthens the importance of energy security.

Gabriel Podskubka: Yeah. Well, you know, I think there are a lot of opportunities for growth in Tenaris. This situation in the Middle East creates and strengthens the importance of energy security, diversification of supply. I believe that, as we were saying in the opening remarks, we're gonna see actions by customers increasing drilling in different parts of the world. Guillermo mentioned about the US, but I think this creates and strengthen conditions for growth in Canada. Certainly, Venezuela was starting, but makes Venezuela even more interesting into the future. We have Vaca Muerta, which is our world-class play that is also strengthened by the outlook on this situation. The offshore, which has and will continue to have a steep. We are seeing FIDs being even anticipated due to these conditions.

Speaker #3: Diversification of supply. So I believe that as we were saying in the opening remarks, we are going to see actions by customers increasing drilling in different parts of the world.

Speaker #3: Guillermo mentioned about the US, but I think this creates and strengthens conditions for growth in Canada, certainly Venezuela was starting, but makes Venezuela even more interested into the future.

Speaker #3: We have Vaca Muerta, which is our class play that is also strengthened by the outlook on this situation. And the offshore, which has and will continue to have a steam, we are seeing FIDs being even anticipated due to these conditions.

Speaker #3: So we believe that we are already entering an expansion cycle in the offshore, in the deep water. And this is something that we will carry into the balance of '26, '27, and '28.

Gabriel Podskubka: We believe that we're already entering an expansion cycle in the offshore in the deep water, and this is something that we will carry into the balance of 2026, 2027, and 2028. We are seeing projects that are already with FID and schedules, even with 2, 3-year visibility. I believe that in this different area and parts of the world, Tenaris has a lot of opportunity to increase its business.

Speaker #3: We are seeing projects that are already with FID and schedules even with two, three-year visibility. different areas and parts of the world, TENARIS has a lot of opportunity to increase its business.

Speaker #9: Right. Thank you very much. And best of luck in the new role.

Paul Redman: Great. Thank you very much, and best of luck in the new role.

Speaker #3: Thank you very much.

Gabriel Podskubka: Thank you very much.

Speaker #8: Thank you. Our next question comes from Jamie Franklin with Jefferies. Please proceed.

Operator: Thank you. Our next question comes from Jamie Franklin with Jefferies. Please proceed.

Speaker #11: Hi there. Thanks for taking my questions. Congratulations, Gabriel, and best wishes to Paolo. So, firstly, I just wanted to ask about the international business.

Jamie Franklin: Hi there. Thanks for taking my questions. Congratulations, Gabriel, and best wishes to Paolo. Firstly, I just wanted to ask on the international business. Last quarter, you spoke to generally seeing some stability in pricing with balanced demand and supply. Can you just give us a sense of recent price moves in the different regions, given the current geopolitical situation and a kind of best estimate as to how you see that evolving as we move forwards through the year? Secondly, you already partially touched on this, but could you give us an update on how your offshore backlog is shaping up? You previously talked to an expectation of H1 2026 revenues offshore being higher than H2 2025, and that H2 2026 would likely be at least as positive as H1.

Speaker #11: So last quarter, you spoke to generally seeing some stability in pricing and supply. Can you just give us a sense of recent price moves in the different regions given the current geopolitical situation and a kind of best estimate as to how you see that evolving as we move forwards through the year?

Speaker #11: And then secondly, you already partially touched on this, but could you give us an update on how your offshore backlog is shaping up? You previously talked to an expectation of 1H26 revenues offshore.

Speaker #11: Being higher than 2H25. And that 2H26 would likely be at least as positive as the first half. So just wondering if you can give us a sense of how things have evolved since your last set of results?

Jamie Franklin: Just wondering if you can give us a sense of how things have evolved since your last set of results. Thank you.

Speaker #11: Thank you.

Speaker #3: Yes. Jamie, thank you for the congrats. On the second point, in the offshore, I confirmed what we said in the previous call. We are even seeing anticipation on some of the backlog of first half into the second half of '26.

Gabriel Podskubka: Jamie, thank you for the congrats. On the second point in the offshore, I confirmed what we said in the previous call. We are even seeing anticipation on some of the backlog of H1 into H2 of 2026. Where I'm sitting today, we are seeing an increase in revenue for the offshore in H2 of 2026 versus what we are having in H1 of 2026, in the range of 10%. This backlog for offshore is very important and continues to build up and even anticipate a bit. I'm ready to be a bit even more optimistic than I was in the previous call.

Speaker #3: So where I'm sitting today, we are seeing an increase in revenue for the offshore in the second half of '26 versus what we are having in the first half of '26.

Speaker #3: In the range of 10%. Okay? So this backlog for offshore is very important and continues to build up and even anticipate a bit. So I'm ready to be a bit even more optimistic than I was in the previous call.

Speaker #3: Regarding pricing, in the international markets, probably we need to divide Europe from the international markets. In Europe, as you know, CBAM has started. Since the beginning of this year.

Gabriel Podskubka: Regarding pricing in the international market, probably we need to divide Europe from the international markets. In Europe, as you know, CBAM has started since the beginning of this year, the new safeguard in Europe will be implemented 1 July. This is a safeguard that is much more stringent than the previous one. The quotas are gonna be reduced by half of what they were. Volumes in excess of the quota that today are paying a tariff of 25% to get it into Europe, this will go to 50%. This will protect and strengthen steelmaking and steel pipe making in Europe, which I think is positive for Tenaris as we supply our European customer mainly with European production.

Speaker #3: And the new safeguard in Europe will be implemented July 1st. This is a safeguard that is much more stringent than the previous one. The quotas are going to be reduced by half of what they were.

Speaker #3: And volumes in excess of the quota that today are paying a tariff of 25% to get it into Europe will go to 50%. So this will protect and strengthen still making and still pipe-making in Europe, which I think is positive for TENARIS as we supply our European customers mainly with European production.

Speaker #3: So we see a trend in pricing that already started, and we're seeing in the second quarter of this year and probably continuing moving upwards in Europe.

Gabriel Podskubka: We see a trend in pricing that already started, and we are seeing in Q2 of this year, and probably continuing, moving upwards in Europe. When we go to the international pricing, as I was saying in the last quarter, there's certain stability between supply and demand. With the situation of the war in the Middle East, there is a pressure on costs. We believe that this pressure of cost will be translated into the international pricing. The majority of our work in international markets are contracts that have formulas in place from the different components. There's typically a legacy on 2 to 3 quarters for this to be seen in the invoicing of pricing.

Speaker #3: Then when we go to the international pricing, as I was saying in the last quarter, there's certain stability between supply and demand. With the situation of the war in the Middle East, there is a pressure on costs.

Speaker #3: Okay? And we believe that this pressure of cost will be translated into the international pricing. The majority of our work in the international markets are contracts that have formulas in place.

Speaker #3: From the different components, there's typically a legacy on two to three quarters for this to be seen. In the invoicing or pricing. So I would believe that the in our pricing, pricing in international business will go accompanying of setting the increasing cost over time.

Gabriel Podskubka: I would believe that in our pricing, international business will go accompanying offsetting the increasing cost over time.

Speaker #11: Very helpful. Thank you.

Jamie Franklin: Very helpful. Thank you.

Speaker #3: You're welcome.

Gabriel Podskubka: You're welcome.

Speaker #8: Thank you. Thank you. And as a reminder to ask a question, simply press star 11 to get in the queue. Our next question comes from Arun Yara Ram with JPMorgan Securities.

Operator: Thank you. As a reminder, to ask a question, simply press star one one to get in the queue. Our next question comes from Arun Jayaram with J.P. Morgan Securities. Please proceed.

Speaker #8: Please proceed.

Speaker #11: Yeah. Good morning. Gabriel and Paulo, congratulations on your new roles. Great to see Gabriel. TENARIS mentioned an increased focus on security and the diversification of supply in your release.

Arun Jayaram: Good morning, Gabriel and Paolo. Congratulations on your new roles. Great to see, Gabriel. Tenaris mentioned an increased focus on security and the diversification of supply in your release. You know, one of the things that, in an era of more energy security, there's been thoughts that key players in the Middle East, the NOCs may be focused on having more redundancy in terms of evacuation options via pipelines, so they're less reliant on the Strait of Hormuz. I was wondering if you could talk about how Tenaris could be levered to this dynamic. I know there's been news about a Gulf Super Express Pipeline that would take flows to the Red Sea and Mediterranean, I just wanted to talk about and see if you could elaborate on this dynamic.

Speaker #11: One of the things that in an era of more energy security there's been thoughts that key players in the Middle East, the NOCs, may be focused on having more redundancy in terms of evacuation options via pipelines so they're less reliant on the Strait of Hormuz.

Speaker #11: So I was wondering if you could talk about how TENARIS could be leveraged to this dynamic? I know there's been news about a Gulf super-express pipeline that would take flows to the Red Sea and Mediterranean.

Speaker #11: But I just wanted to talk about see if you could elaborate on this dynamic.

Speaker #3: Yeah. Thank you, Arun, for the best wishes. And yeah, let me tell you, I think a similar question came up earlier in the call, but still, I would tell you that this possibility or potential of additional pipeline capacity in Saudi and UAE is something that I would look very rational today.

Gabriel Podskubka: Yeah, thank you, Arun, for the best wishes. Yeah, let me tell you, I think a similar question came up earlier in the call, still, I will tell you that this possibility or potential of additional pipeline capacity in Saudi and UAE is something that would look very rational today and a big business opportunity. I was saying before that this will probably take a year or two, under a fast track scenario, to be built. It's something that we cannot take out of equation. On the contrary, no announcements, media reports, this is something that we don't have anything to comment yet. If that opportunity would materialize, Tenaris with its TenarisGPC larger diameter facility in Jubail, we would be able to take an important part of this pipeline capacity going forward.

Gabriel Podskubka: Yeah, thank you, Arun, for the best wishes. Yeah, let me tell you, I think a similar question came up earlier in the call, still, I will tell you that this possibilitym or potential of additional pipeline capacity in Saudi and UAE is something that would look very rational today and a big business opportunity. I was saying before that this will probably take a year or two, under a fast track scenario, to be built. It's something that we cannot take out of equation. On the contrary, no announcements, media reports, this is something that we don't have anything to comment yet. If that opportunity would materialize, Tenaris with its TenarisGPC larger diameter facility in Jubail, we would be able to take an important part of this pipeline capacity going forward.

Speaker #3: And a big business opportunity. I was saying before that this will probably take a year or two under a fast-track scenario to be built.

Speaker #3: But it's something that we cannot take out of the equation, on the contrary. No announcements, media reports, so this is something that we don't have anything to comment yet.

Speaker #3: But if that opportunity would materialize, Tenaris, with its GPC, large-diameter facility in Jubail, we would be able to take an important part of this pipeline capacity going forward.

Speaker #3: This facility where we just last year expanded into the second line and we have ability even to de-bottleneck with limited investment to take this capacity even higher.

Gabriel Podskubka: This facility where we just last year expanded into the second line, and we have an ability even to de-bottleneck with limited investment to take this capacity even higher. These pipelines would entail hundreds of thousands of tons of demand of tubulars. One way or the other, I believe that Tenaris would be well-positioned to capitalize on that, and all the drilling of OCTG that we can behind to make this pipeline capacity full. We'll see. A bit early to tell, but certainly a potential maybe eventually into a 2027 type of scenario.

Speaker #3: So these pipelines would entail hundreds of thousands of tons of demand of tubulars. So one way or the other, I believe that TENARIS would be well positioned to capitalize on that.

Speaker #3: And all the drilling of OCDG that we can behind to make this pipeline capacity full. So we'll see a bit early to tell. But certainly a potential maybe eventually into a 2027 type of scenario.

Speaker #11: Great. Thank you. Thank you for that. And I did join the call because I had another call. So I apologize on the late question.

Arun Jayaram: Great. Thank you. Thank you for that. I did join the call because I had another call, so apologize on the late question.

Speaker #3: No worries. No worries. Thank you for joining anyway.

Gabriel Podskubka: No worries. No worries.

Arun Jayaram: Yeah.

Gabriel Podskubka: Thank you for joining anyway.

Arun Jayaram: My follow-up here is I did hear your comments on outlook. I know the stock is maybe reacting to the near-term impacts in Q2 relative to some of the Middle East impacts. I just want to see if you could maybe clarify your comments on the H2. What we heard is your expectations that H2 EBITDA could be close to Q1, which is in that $735 range, which would be a little bit above the street. Just wondering if you could comment on that outlook.

Speaker #11: And then my follow-up here is I did you hear your comments on Outlook. I know the stock is maybe reacting to the near-term impacts in 2Q relative to some of the Middle East impacts.

Speaker #11: But I just wanted to see if you could maybe clarify your comments on the second half, what we heard is your expectations that second half EBITDA could be close to 1Q, which is in that 735 range, which would be a little bit above the street.

Speaker #11: So just wondering if you could comment on that outlook.

Speaker #3: Yeah. I would say that this is going to be a good estimate give and take. It's a bit early. There is a lot of uncertainty.

Gabriel Podskubka: Yeah. I would say that this would be a good estimate. Give and take, it's a bit early. There is a lot of uncertainty. The Strait is not open yet. To be precise in Q3 and Q4, to be honest, is kind of challenging. From where we see, and based on this assumption of a relatively short-term resolution of the conflict and the positive dynamics on volume in the offshore in North America and pricing trajectory, I think this is where we are seeing our results heading into H2.

Speaker #3: The straight is not open yet. So to be precise in the third and fourth quarter, to be honest, it's kind of challenging. But from where we see, and based on this assumption of a relatively short-term resolution of the conflict, and the positive dynamics on volume in the offshore in North America, and pricing trajectory, I think this is where we are seeing our results heading into the second half.

Speaker #11: Great. Thank you very much.

Arun Jayaram: Great. Thank you very much.

Speaker #3: Thank you, Arun.

Gabriel Podskubka: Thank you, Arun.

Speaker #8: Thank you. As a reminder, if you do have a question, simply press star 11 to get in the queue. One moment for our next question.

Operator: Thank you. As a reminder, if you do have a question, simply press star one one to get in the queue. One moment for our next question. It comes from Guillaume Delaby with Bernstein. Please proceed.

Speaker #8: It comes from Delavi with Bernstein. Please proceed.

Speaker #9: Yes. Good afternoon and congrats for the new role. One question. Globally, when I look at the structure of the industry in terms of competition, the past four or five years have seen that probably reduced competition for companies like yours.

Guillaume Delaby: Yes. Good afternoon, and congrats for the new role. One question. Globally, when I look at the structure of the industry in terms of competition, the past 4 or 5 years have seen that probably reduced competition for companies like yours. My question is, given the strengthening outlook for the next 3 to 5 years, is it reasonable to expect that at some stage, of course, it is much too early to worry about, but at some stage, you may face increasing competition by the end of the decade, for example, in North America with the recent combination of U.S. Steel and Nippon Steel. Maybe I would like to have your view on the competitive landscape, very strong today, likely to remain, but how do you see it evolving over the next 3 to 5 years? Thank you very much.

Speaker #9: My question is, given the strengthening outlook for the next three to five years, is it reasonable to expect that at some stage, of course, it is much too early to worry about, but at some stage, you may face increasing competition by the end of the decade?

Speaker #9: For example, in North America, with the recent combination of US steel and Nippon steel. So maybe I would like to have your view on the competitive landscape very, very strong today, likely to remain but how do you see it evolving over the next three to five years?

Speaker #9: Thank you very much.

Speaker #3: Thank you, Guillem, for the congrats on the new role. Look, I think your question is very important. I would say that it's difficult for me at this position to illustrate if in the next five years the competitive landscape will improve or deteriorate.

Gabriel Podskubka: Thank you, Guillaume, for the congrats on the new role. Look, I think your question is very important. I would say that it's difficult for me at this position to illustrate if in the next 5 years, the competitive landscape will improve or deteriorate. I would say that we are competing every day. Tenaris is built on being the best and bringing the best value proposition to our customers. In different parts of the world. We are catering those segment customers countries where we can find a differentiation, where we can be different, we can be a partner of choice, differentiating on technology, service, local capacity. These are some of the values that we bring, and we are building on these capabilities over time.

Speaker #3: I would say that we are competing every day. TENARIS is built on being the best and bringing the best value proposition to our customers.

Speaker #3: In different parts of the world, we are catering those segment customers, countries where we can find differentiation. Where we can be different, we can be a partner of choice, differentiating on technology, service, local capacity.

Speaker #3: So these are the some of the values that we bring and we have building on this capabilities over time. So I believe that there is a common thread for our industry that has been still pipe manufacturing from China.

Gabriel Podskubka: I believe that there is a common threat for our industry. There has been steel pipe manufacturing from China. This has been what we consider, in general, in the majority of the international markets, unfairly traded imports. This is a threat that we had, that we confronted with the technology, with services, and in certain areas of the world, also with anti-dumping and protective measures according what the different parts of the world where we operate consider that these were unfairly traded imports. Difficult to see how this will progress into the future. We have been and will continue to be in a competitive world.

Speaker #3: This has been what we consider in general, in the majority of the international markets, unfairly traded imports. So this is a thread that we had that we confronted with the technology, with services.

Speaker #3: And in certain areas of the world, also with anti-dumping and protective measures according to what the different parts of the world where we operate consider that these were unfairly traded imports.

Speaker #3: Difficult to see how this will progress into the future. So we have been and will continue to be in a competitive world. We don't take our customer trust.

Gabriel Podskubka: We don't take our customer trust, we don't take our differentiated EBITDA margins, for granted. We work every day to remain competitive and to become the best option. Difficult to project this into the future, but this is what we are all focusing every day. We'll see.

Speaker #3: We don't take our differentiated EBITDA margins for granted. And we work every day to remain competitive and to become the best option. So difficult to project this into the future, but this is what we are all focusing on every day.

Speaker #3: We'll see.

Guillaume Delaby: Thank you very much for this answer. What I like is humility. I think it has been probably the main characteristic of Tenaris over the past few years. Very happy that it continues. Thank you.

Speaker #9: Thank you very much for this answer. What I like is the humility so I think it has been probably the main characteristic of TENARIS over the past few years.

Speaker #9: So very happy that it continues. Thank you.

Speaker #3: Thank you, Guillem. And there is clearly a message of continuity in TENARIS and with my new appointment and the support of Paulo. I have been he has been planning this transition for the last three years.

Gabriel Podskubka: Thank you, Guillaume. There is clearly a message of continuity in Tenaris and with my new appointment and the support of Paolo. He has been planning this transition for the last 3 years as I have the role of COO. We traveled together, we worked together. When I say on a daily basis, it's not a metaphor. It was on a daily basis. I think the part of the message of the new role today is the continuity on the support on Paolo.

Speaker #3: As I have the role of COO, we travel together, we work together. And when I say on a daily basis, it's not a metaphor.

Speaker #3: It was on a daily basis. So I think the part of the message of the new role today is that the continuity on the support on Paolo and the 25,000 employees that make Tenaris.

Guillaume Delaby: Thank-

Gabriel Podskubka: The 25,000 employees that make Tenaris. That life, that approach is all the secrets of the strength of this company.

Speaker #3: And that lies that probably is one of the secrets of the strength of this company.

Speaker #9: Thank you very much. I turn it over.

Guillaume Delaby: Thank you very much. I turn it over.

Speaker #3: Welcome.

Gabriel Podskubka: Welcome.

Speaker #8: Thank you. And we have a question from Paul Redman with BNP Paribas. Please proceed.

Operator: Thank you. We have a question from Paul Redmond with BNP Paribas. Please proceed.

Speaker #3: Yeah. Thank you very much for a third question. I want to touch on Venezuela. There has been a production increase over the past few months.

Paul Redmond: Yeah, thank you very much for a first question. I wanted to touch on Venezuela. There has been a production increase over the past few months. I wanted to ask how involved you are in terms of sales in that market. When you think about Venezuela, where do you think production could go to and the opportunity that makes for Tenaris? Thank you.

Paul Redman: Yeah, thank you very much for a first question. I wanted to touch on Venezuela. There has been a production increase over the past few months. I wanted to ask how involved you are in terms of sales in that market. When you think about Venezuela, where do you think production could go to and the opportunity that makes for Tenaris? Thank you.

Speaker #3: I wanted to ask how involved you are in terms of sales in that market. And when you think about Venezuela, where do you think production could go to and the opportunity that makes for TENARIS?

Speaker #3: Thank you.

Speaker #10: Thank you, Paul. On Venezuela, we continue to have a favorable look and outlook. After the legal framework that we had in the previous quarter, there have been licenses granted to some of the companies.

Gabriel Podskubka: Thank you, Paul. On Venezuela, we continue to have a favorable look and outlook. After the legal framework that we had in the previous quarter, there have been licenses granted to some of the companies. Some of the company, even of the majors that are starting to operate, have made some announcement of additional areas. We see things progressing in the right direction, obviously from a small size. Tenaris has never left Venezuela. We have always remained closed and waiting for this opportunity to return. We are mobilizing more resources, and we have plenty of Venezuelan colleagues in different parts of the world. We are stepping up our presence in the country from the commercial, the technical, and the service sides.

Speaker #10: Some of the companies even of the majors that are starting to operate. Have made some announcement of additional areas. So we see things progressive in the right direction.

Speaker #10: Obviously, from a small size. TENARIS has never left Venezuela. We have always remained close and waiting for this opportunity to return. We are mobilizing more resources and we have plenty of Venezuelan colleagues in different parts of the world.

Speaker #10: So we are stepping up our presence in the country. From the commercial, the technical, and the service sides. We will start redirect services in Venezuela in the Orinoco area starting in July.

Gabriel Podskubka: We will start Rig Direct services in Venezuela, in the Orinoco area starting in July. We are certainly a first mover, we are the front runner as Venezuela recovers. Today, the business is important. Gave a figure of around $50 million for this 2026 in the last call. I think we are gonna be in that range still. We see rigs going up from the different operators that are early positioning in Venezuela. This will be a country that for us, it will increase substantially from this level into 2027. We're quite positive about the opportunity in Venezuela. The range of production increase varies, and it's still a bit uncertain.

Speaker #10: We are certainly a first mover and we are the front runner as Venezuela recovers. Today, the business is important. Gave a figure of around 50 million dollars for this 2026.

Speaker #10: In the last call, I think we are going to be in that range still. And we see Riggs going up from the different operators that are early positioning in Venezuela.

Speaker #10: So it will be this will be a country that for us, it will increase substantially from this level into 2027. So we're quite positive about the opportunity of Venezuela.

Speaker #10: The range of production increase varies and it's still a bit uncertain, but with the outlook that we described before, of the need of diversifying supply of oil, I think Venezuela becomes even more attractive and important to the global matrix than it was before the conflict.

Gabriel Podskubka: With the outlook that we described before of the need of diversifying supply of oil, I think Venezuela becomes even more attractive and important to the global matrix than it was before the conflict. We see that this is gonna increase, and Tenaris will be an important part of that.

Speaker #10: So we see that this is going to increase and TENARIS will be an important part of that.

Speaker #8: Thank you, ladies and gentlemen. This concludes our Q&A session. And I will turn the call back to Giovanni Sardagna for closing comments.

Operator: Thank you, ladies and gentlemen. This concludes our Q&A session, and I will turn the call back to Giovanni Sardagna for closing comments.

Speaker #3: Thank you, Carmen. And well, thank you, all of you, for joining us during the call. Thanks.

Giovanni Sardagna: Thank you, Carmen. Well, thank you all of you for joining us during the call. Thanks.

Operator: This concludes our conference. Thank you for participating, and you may now disconnect.