Full Year 2026 Aurizon Holdings Ltd Earnings Call
Speaker #1: Good morning, and welcome to Aurizon's FY2026 results presentation. Aurizon delivered strong execution across the business, with earnings per share increasing by 29%. Underlying EBITDA was above the midpoint of guidance, supporting full-year dividends of 23 cents per share, alongside the completion of the $250 million on-market buyback.
Andrew Harding: Good morning, and welcome to Aurizon's FY 2026 results presentation. Aurizon delivered strong execution across the business, with earnings per share increasing by 29%. Underlying EBITDA was above the midpoint of guidance, supporting full-year dividends of AUD 0.23 per share alongside the completion of the AUD 250 million on-market buyback. I will focus on three themes today. Strong financial performance, positive contributions from Network Coal and Bulk, together with a clear pathway for Containerised Freight to achieve EBITDA break even in FY 2027.
Andrew Harding: Good morning, and welcome to Aurizon's FY 2026 Results Presentation. Aurizon delivered strong execution across the business, with earnings per share increasing by 29%. Underlying EBITDA was above the midpoint of guidance, supporting full-year dividends of AUD 0.23 per share alongside the completion of the AUD 250 million on-market buyback. I will focus on three themes today. Strong financial performance, positive contributions from Network Coal and Bulk, together with a clear pathway for Containerised Freight to achieve EBITDA break-even in FY 2027.
Speaker #1: I'll focus on three themes today: strong financial performance; positive contributions from Network, Coal, and Bulk; together with a clear pathway for Containerized Freight to achieve EBITDA break-even in FY2027.
Speaker #1: And progress on our strategic priorities, including UT5+, coal recontracting, bulk growth, and expansion into vehicle logistics. We're in Brisbane today; therefore, I acknowledge the traditional custodians of this land, the Turrbal and Yugara people, and pay my respects to the elders past, present, and future, for they hold the memories, the traditions, the culture, and hopes of Aboriginal Australia.
Andrew Harding: Progress on our strategic priorities, including UT5+, coal recontracting, Bulk growth, and expansion into vehicle logistics. We are in Brisbane today, therefore, I acknowledge the traditional custodians of this land, the Turrbal and Jagera people, and pay my respects to the elders past, present, and future, for they hold the memories, the traditions, the culture, and hopes of Aboriginal Australia.
Andrew Harding: Progress on our strategic priorities, including UT5+, coal recontracting, Bulk growth, and expansion into vehicle logistics. We are in Brisbane today, therefore, I acknowledge the traditional custodians of this land, the Turrbal and Jagera people, and pay my respects to the elders past, present, and future, for they hold the memories, the traditions, the culture, and hopes of Aboriginal Australia.
Speaker #1: We must always remember that under the ballast, sleepers, rail systems, and office buildings where Aurizon does business was, and always will be, traditional Aboriginal land.
Andrew Harding: We must always remember that under the ballast, sleepers, rail systems, and office buildings where Aurizon does business was and always will be traditional Aboriginal land. I am joined on the call by the Group Executive team, including Ian Wells, who commenced as CFO in April. Turning now to safety. Our focus at Aurizon is protecting our employees, customers, and the communities in which we operate. While the reduction in serious injury frequencies is encouraging, the increase in total recordable injuries is not where we want performance to be.
Andrew Harding: We must always remember that under the ballast, sleepers, rail systems, and office buildings where Aurizon does business was and always will be traditional Aboriginal land. I am joined on the call by the Group Executive team, including Ian Wells, who commenced as CFO in April. Turning now to safety. Our focus at Aurizon is protecting our employees, customers, and the communities in which we operate. While the reduction in serious injury frequencies is encouraging, the increase in total recordable injuries is not where we want performance to be.
Speaker #1: I'm joined on the call by the Group Executive Team, including Ian Wells, who commenced as CFO in April. Turning now to safety: our focus at Aurizon is protecting our employees, customers, and the communities in which we operate.
Speaker #1: While the reduction in serious injury frequencies is encouraging, the increase in total recordable injuries is not where we want performance to be. It was pleasing, however, that the second half had a much lower injury rate than the first half.
Andrew Harding: It was pleasing, however, that the H2 had a much lower injury rate than the H1. I am pleased to announce that in FY 2026, we completed our TrainGuard rollout in CQCN, deploying the technology across 2,000 kilometers of network and more than 100 electric locomotives.
Andrew Harding: It was pleasing, however, that the H2 had a much lower injury rate than the H1. I am pleased to announce that in FY 2026, we completed our TrainGuard rollout in CQCN, deploying the technology across 2,000 kilometers of network and more than 100 electric locomotives.
Speaker #1: I'm pleased to announce that in FY2026, we completed our TrainGuard rollout in CQCN, deploying the technology across 2,000 kilometers of network and more than 100 electric locomotives.
Speaker #1: As a result, one-third of our national coal fleet now operates with supervisory braking protection, helping prevent signals passed at danger and uncontrolled train movements.
Andrew Harding: As a result, one-third of our national coal fleet now operates with supervisory braking protection, helping prevent signals passed at danger and uncontrolled train movements. Level crossings continue to be a safety issue for the rail industry, and we have updated our community engagement program, reframing the importance of waiting at a level crossing as an act of responsibility for the people that matter most. Billboards have been rolled out at target locations and used across social media.
Andrew Harding: As a result, one-third of our national coal fleet now operates with supervisory braking protection, helping prevent signals passed at danger and uncontrolled train movements. Level crossings continue to be a safety issue for the rail industry, and we have updated our community engagement program, reframing the importance of waiting at a level crossing as an act of responsibility for the people that matter most. Billboards have been rolled out at target locations and used across social media.
Speaker #1: Level crossings continue to be a safety issue for the rail industry, and we've updated our community engagement program, reframing the importance of waiting at a level crossing as an act of responsibility for the people who matter most.
Speaker #1: Billboards have been rolled out at target locations and used across social media. Our focus continues to be on improving safety performance through stronger frontline safety disciplines, enhanced intervention activity, and continued targeted engagement with employees, contractors, and the community.
Andrew Harding: Our focus continues to be on improving safety performance through stronger frontline safety disciplines, enhanced intervention activity, and continuing targeted engagement with employees, contractors, and community. Before discussing the year in detail, I want to summarize why Aurizon remains a compelling long-term infrastructure investment. We own and operate strategically significant rail assets, including approximately 5,000 kilometers of rail infrastructure, and have Australia's largest rail fleet.
Andrew Harding: Our focus continues to be on improving safety performance through stronger frontline safety disciplines, enhanced intervention activity, and continuing targeted engagement with employees, contractors, and community. Before discussing the year in detail, I want to summarize why Aurizon remains a compelling long-term infrastructure investment. We own and operate strategically significant rail assets, including approximately 5,000 kilometers of rail infrastructure, and have Australia's largest rail fleet.
Speaker #1: Before discussing the year in detail, I want to summarize why Aurizon remains a compelling long-term infrastructure investment. We own and operate strategically significant rail assets, including approximately 5,000 kilometers of rail infrastructure, and have Australia's largest rail fleet.
Speaker #1: These assets connect key commodity basins and exhibit the characteristics of what have been described as halo assets: heavy assets with low obsolescence risk and high barriers to replication.
Andrew Harding: These assets connect key commodity basins and exhibit the characteristics of what has been described as halo assets, heavy assets with low obsolescence risk and high barriers to replication. We are also drawing volume away from road, as demonstrated in our Bulk and Containerised Freight business units.
Andrew Harding: These assets connect key commodity basins and exhibit the characteristics of what has been described as halo assets, heavy assets with low obsolescence risk and high barriers to replication. We are also drawing volume away from road, as demonstrated in our Bulk and Containerised Freight business units.
Speaker #1: We're also drawing volume away from road, as demonstrated in our Bulk and Containerized Freight business units. Our earnings are supported by contractual and regulatory frameworks.
Andrew Harding: Our earnings are supported by contractual and regulatory frameworks. Our haulage contracts generally include indexation mechanisms and fuel and energy cost passthroughs, supporting resilience through inflationary cycles. Together, these attributes provide investors with exposure to high-quality infrastructure assets, resilient cash flows, a diversified commodity portfolio, and disciplined capital returns.
Andrew Harding: Our earnings are supported by contractual and regulatory frameworks. Our haulage contracts generally include indexation mechanisms and fuel and energy cost passthroughs, supporting resilience through inflationary cycles. Together, these attributes provide investors with exposure to high-quality infrastructure assets, resilient cash flows, a diversified commodity portfolio, and disciplined capital returns.
Speaker #1: Our haulage contracts generally include indexation mechanisms, and fuel and energy cost pass-throughs, supporting resilience through inflationary cycles. Together, these attributes provide investors with exposure to high-quality infrastructure assets, resilient cash flows, a diversified commodity portfolio, and disciplined capital returns.
Speaker #1: Finally, our capital allocation framework has delivered more than $1.8 billion to shareholders over the past four years through dividends and buybacks. Turning now to the full-year results.
Andrew Harding: Finally, our capital allocation framework has delivered more than AUD 1.8 billion to shareholders over the past four years through dividends and buybacks. Turning now to the full-year results. FY 2026 was a strong financial result, with underlying EBITDA up 9%, NPAT up 24%, and importantly, earnings per share increased by 29%.
Andrew Harding: Finally, our capital allocation framework has delivered more than AUD 1.8 billion to shareholders over the past four years through dividends and buybacks. Turning now to the full-year results. FY 2026 was a strong financial result, with underlying EBITDA up 9%, NPAT up 24%, and importantly, earnings per share increased by 29%.
Speaker #1: FY2026 was a strong financial result, with underlying EBITDA up 9%. NPAT up 24%, and importantly, earnings per share increased by 29%. Underlying free cash flow was up 11%, and the Board has declared a final dividend of 10.5 cents per share, franked at 90%.
Andrew Harding: Underlying free cash flow was up 11%, and the board has declared a final dividend of AUD 0.105 per share, franked at 90%. This once again represents a 90% payout ratio of underlying NPAT. At AUD 0.23 per share, full-year dividends are up almost 50% compared to last year.
Andrew Harding: Underlying free cash flow was up 11%, and the board has declared a final dividend of AUD 0.105 per share, franked at 90%. This once again represents a 90% payout ratio of underlying NPAT. At AUD 0.23 per share, full-year dividends are up almost 50% compared to last year.
Speaker #1: This once again represents a 90% payout ratio of underlying NPAT. At 23 cents per share, full-year dividends are up almost 50% compared to last year.
Speaker #1: A reminder that we also completed the $250 million on-market buyback at an average price of $3.72. This is a strong result for shareholders: high earnings, strong cash generation, a materially high dividend, and additional returns through our completed capital management program.
Andrew Harding: A reminder that we also completed the AUD 250 million on-market buyback at an average price of AUD 3.72. This is a strong result for shareholders. High earnings, strong cash generation, a materially higher dividend, and additional returns through our completed capital management program. Turning now to the business units.
Andrew Harding: A reminder that we also completed the AUD 250 million on-market buyback at an average price of AUD 3.72. This is a strong result for shareholders. High earnings, strong cash generation, a materially higher dividend, and additional returns through our completed capital management program. Turning now to the business units.
Speaker #1: Turning now to the business units. Network underlying EBITDA increased 8%, driven by higher regulatory revenue, partly offset by increased operating costs. Importantly, UT5+ was submitted to the QCA in December 2025, and the QCA draft decision supports material components of the proposal.
Andrew Harding: Network underlying EBITDA increased 8%, driven by higher regulatory revenue, partly offset by increased operating costs. Importantly, UT5+ was submitted to the QCA in December 2025, and the QCA draft decision supports material components of the proposal. Coal underlying EBITDA increased 2% with revenue yield and disciplined cost management driving this result.
Andrew Harding: Network underlying EBITDA increased 8%, driven by higher regulatory revenue, partly offset by increased operating costs. Importantly, UT5+ was submitted to the QCA in December 2025, and the QCA draft decision supports material components of the proposal. Coal underlying EBITDA increased 2% with revenue yield and disciplined cost management driving this result.
Speaker #1: Coal underlying EBITDA increased 2%, with revenue yield and disciplined cost management driving this result. Since July 2025, over 60 million tonnes of annual volume has been recontracted. This includes today's announcement that major Central Queensland customers, BMA and Whitehaven, have been recontracted in their competitive market.
Andrew Harding: Since July 2025, over 60 million tons of annual volume has been recontracted. This includes today's announcement that major Central Queensland customers, BMA and Whitehaven, have been recontracted in a competitive market. Bulk delivered a very strong result, with underlying EBITDA up 38%, driven by customer growth and the non-recurrence of doubtful debt provisions from prior year. The successful start of the BHP South Australia logistics contract during the year is a good proof point for our bulk strategy.
Andrew Harding: Since July 2025, over 60 million tons of annual volume has been recontracted. This includes today's announcement that major Central Queensland customers, BMA and Whitehaven, have been recontracted in a competitive market. Bulk delivered a very strong result, with underlying EBITDA up 38%, driven by customer growth and the non-recurrence of doubtful debt provisions from prior year. The successful start of the BHP South Australia logistics contract during the year is a good proof point for our bulk strategy.
Speaker #1: Bulk delivered a very strong result, with underlying EBITDA up 38%, driven by customer growth and the non-recurrence of doubtful debt provisions from the prior year.
Speaker #1: The successful start of BHP's South Australia logistics contract during the year is a good proof point for our bulk strategy. Containerized freight continued to build momentum, with national interstate TEUs up 25% against the prior year.
Andrew Harding: Containerized freight continued to build momentum, with national interstate TEUs up 25% against the prior year, including a significant uplift in non-foundation customer TEUs. We have reached an important inflection point with EBITDA breakeven expected in FY 2027, driven by continued customer growth. Importantly, we have made our entry into vehicle logistics with major new contracts as part of a landbridging strategy, which I will cover shortly. Turning to Network.
Andrew Harding: Containerized freight continued to build momentum, with national interstate TEUs up 25% against the prior year, including a significant uplift in non-foundation customer TEUs. We have reached an important inflection point with EBITDA breakeven expected in FY 2027, driven by continued customer growth. Importantly, we have made our entry into vehicle logistics with major new contracts as part of a landbridging strategy, which I will cover shortly. Turning to Network.
Speaker #1: Including a significant uplift in non-foundation customer TEUs, we have reached an important inflection point, with EBITDA break-even expected in FY2027. This is driven by continued customer growth.
Speaker #1: Importantly, we've made our entry into vehicle logistics with major new contracts as part of a land-bridging strategy, which I will cover shortly. Turning to network.
Speaker #1: In December 2025, we submitted UT5+, a proposed 10-year access undertaking, to the Queensland Competition Authority. The proposal was lodged with customer support approximately 18 months before its scheduled commencement, providing the potential for greater long-term regulatory certainty in the network business.
Andrew Harding: In December 2025, we submitted UT5+, a proposed 10-year access undertaking to the Queensland Competition Authority. The proposal was lodged with customer support approximately 18 months before its scheduled commencement, providing the potential for greater long-term regulatory certainty in the Network business. In June, the QCA published its draft decision. In material respects, it supported key elements of the proposal, including the WACC methodology, accelerated depreciation profile, and the throughput payment.
Andrew Harding: In December 2025, we submitted UT5+, a proposed 10-year access undertaking to the Queensland Competition Authority. The proposal was lodged with customer support approximately 18 months before its scheduled commencement, providing the potential for greater long-term regulatory certainty in the Network business. In June, the QCA published its draft decision. In material respects, it supported key elements of the proposal, including the WACC methodology, accelerated depreciation profile, and the throughput payment.
Speaker #1: In June, the QCA published its draft decision. In material respects, it supported key elements of the proposal, including the WACC methodology, accelerated depreciation profile, and the throughput payment.
Speaker #1: The draft decision also establishes a pathway towards final approval, with submissions currently invited. The slide shows regulatory revenue under UT5+ increasing by almost $200 million in the fifth year of the undertaking.
Andrew Harding: The draft decision also establishes a pathway towards final approval, with submissions currently invited. The slide shows regulatory revenue under UT5+ increasing by almost AUD 200 million in the fifth year of the undertaking. These figures are based on our December submission, which included a placeholder WACC of 7.79%. This indicative figure is now approximately 8.3%, but the final WACC will be determined using prevailing market parameters in 2027.
Andrew Harding: The draft decision also establishes a pathway towards final approval, with submissions currently invited. The slide shows regulatory revenue under UT5+ increasing by almost AUD 200 million in the fifth year of the undertaking. These figures are based on our December submission, which included a placeholder WACC of 7.79%. This indicative figure is now approximately 8.3%, but the final WACC will be determined using prevailing market parameters in 2027.
Speaker #1: These figures are based on our December submission, which included a placeholder WACC of 7.79%. This indicative figure is now approximately 8.3%, but the final WACC will be determined using prevailing market parameters in 2027.
Speaker #1: As a rule of thumb, a 25 basis point increase in the risk-free rate would increase network revenue by approximately $15 million per annum.
Andrew Harding: As a rule of thumb, a 25-basis point increase in the risk-free rate would increase Network revenue by approximately AUD 15 million per annum. The undertaking is subject to QCA's usual process, and we expect to see progress through the calendar year. Turning to the Coal contract book. It has been a significant year for Coal recontracting, with more than a quarter of the portfolio recontracted since July 2025, and with these contracts now expiring in the mid to late 2030s. This includes major Central Queensland customers, BMA and Whitehaven.
Andrew Harding: As a rule of thumb, a 25-basis point increase in the risk-free rate would increase Network revenue by approximately AUD 15 million per annum. The undertaking is subject to QCA's usual process, and we expect to see progress through the calendar year. Turning to the Coal contract book. It has been a significant year for Coal recontracting, with more than a quarter of the portfolio recontracted since July 2025, and with these contracts now expiring in the mid to late 2030s. This includes major Central Queensland customers, BMA and Whitehaven.
Speaker #1: The undertaking is subject to QCA's usual process, and we expect to see progress through the calendar year. Turning to the coal contract book.
Speaker #1: It has been a significant year for coal recontracting, with more than a quarter of the portfolio recontracted since July 2025, and with these contracts now expiring in the mid to late 2030s.
Speaker #1: This includes major Central Queensland customers, BMA and Whitehaven. The BMA contract represents 100% of the tonnes tendered for recontracting and services their five coking coal mines in the Bowen Basin.
Andrew Harding: The BMA contract represents 100% of the tons tendered for recontracting and services, their five coking coal mines in the Bowen Basin. The contract is effective from 1 July 2028 for a period of up to 12 years. The Whitehaven Coal contract is a new 10-year contract for the haulage of coal from their Central Queensland mines, Blackwater and Daunia.
Andrew Harding: The BMA contract represents 100% of the tons tendered for recontracting and services, their five coking coal mines in the Bowen Basin. The contract is effective from 1 July 2028 for a period of up to 12 years. The Whitehaven Coal contract is a new 10-year contract for the haulage of coal from their Central Queensland mines, Blackwater and Daunia.
Speaker #1: The contract is effective from 1 July 2028 for a period of up to 12 years. The Whitehaven Coal contract is a new 10-year contract for the haulage of coal from their central Queensland mines, Blackwater and Dornea.
Speaker #1: Aurizon will continue to be the exclusive rail provider for Whitehaven's Central Queensland coal portfolio. The contract began on 1 July 2026. Although the 60 million tonnes of recontracting have been undertaken in a competitive environment, we have not seen a material change in the haulage rates.
Andrew Harding: Aurizon will continue to be the exclusive rail provider for Whitehaven's Central Queensland coal portfolio. The contract began on 1 July 2026. Although the 60 million tons of recontracting has been undertaken in a competitive environment, we have not seen a material change in the haulage rates. As shown on this chart, and when looking out to FY 2028, the task is not yet complete, and recontracting discussions are taking place with around 10 counterparties at the moment. Before turning to vehicle logistics, I want to provide some context on coal markets.
Andrew Harding: Aurizon will continue to be the exclusive rail provider for Whitehaven's Central Queensland coal portfolio. The contract began on 1 July 2026. Although the 60 million tons of recontracting has been undertaken in a competitive environment, we have not seen a material change in the haulage rates. As shown on this chart, and when looking out to FY 2028, the task is not yet complete, and recontracting discussions are taking place with around 10 counterparties at the moment. Before turning to vehicle logistics, I want to provide some context on coal markets.
Speaker #1: As shown on this chart, and when looking out to FY2028, the task is not yet complete, and recontracting discussions are taking place with around 10 counterparties at the moment.
Speaker #1: Before turning to vehicle logistics, I want to provide some context on coal markets. The relevant consideration for Horizon is not simply the outlook for total global coal consumption, but the outlook for seaborne traded markets, and Australia's position within them.
Andrew Harding: The relevant consideration for Aurizon is not simply the outlook for total global coal consumption, but the outlook for seaborne traded markets and Australia's position within them. The key point is that demand for Australian coal is not simply a function of global coal consumption.
Andrew Harding: The relevant consideration for Aurizon is not simply the outlook for total global coal consumption, but the outlook for seaborne traded markets and Australia's position within them. The key point is that demand for Australian coal is not simply a function of global coal consumption.
Speaker #1: The key point is that demand for Australian coal is not simply a function of global coal consumption. It is more specifically linked to seaborne traded markets, which are increasingly concentrated in Asia.
Andrew Harding: It is more specifically linked to seaborne traded markets, which are increasingly concentrated in Asia. For steel-producing coking coal, India is expected to be the largest driver of seaborne coking coal demand over the coming decades. India has a deficiency of high-quality domestic coking coal and sources over 90% of supply from the seaborne market. India is already the largest destination for Australian coking coal exports, accounting for more than a quarter of export volumes. For thermal coal, global import volumes are around record levels at over 1.2 billion tons per annum.
Andrew Harding: It is more specifically linked to seaborne traded markets, which are increasingly concentrated in Asia. For steel-producing coking coal, India is expected to be the largest driver of seaborne coking coal demand over the coming decades. India has a deficiency of high-quality domestic coking coal and sources over 90% of supply from the seaborne market. India is already the largest destination for Australian coking coal exports, accounting for more than a quarter of export volumes. For thermal coal, global import volumes are around record levels at over 1.2 billion tons per annum.
Speaker #1: For steel-producing coking coal, India is expected to be the largest driver of seaborne coking coal demand over the coming decades. India has a deficiency of high-quality domestic coking coal and sources over 90% of supply from the seaborne market.
Speaker #1: India is already the largest destination for Australian coking coal exports, accounting for more than a quarter of export volumes. For thermal coal, global import volumes are around record levels at over 1.2 billion tonnes per annum.
Speaker #1: The share of Asian demand has increased from 35% of the import market to almost 90% last year. When we look at the average age of coal-fired electricity assets in Asia, it is just 15 years, compared with an expected retirement age of 40 years. Over 99% of Australian thermal coal is destined for Asia.
Andrew Harding: The share of Asian demand has increased from 35% of the import market to almost 90% last year. When we look at the average age of coal-fired electricity assets in Asia, it is just 15 years, compared with an expected retirement age of 40 years. Over 99% of Australian thermal coal is destined for Asia.
Andrew Harding: The share of Asian demand has increased from 35% of the import market to almost 90% last year. When we look at the average age of coal-fired electricity assets in Asia, it is just 15 years, compared with an expected retirement age of 40 years. Over 99% of Australian thermal coal is destined for Asia.
Speaker #1: As demonstrated on this slide, the demand for Australian coal remains strong, but there is no doubt opportunity is being lost to competing supply nations like Russia and Indonesia.
Andrew Harding: As demonstrated on this slide, the demand for Australian coal remains strong, but there is no doubt opportunity is being lost to competing supply nations like Russia and Indonesia. Despite significant reserves of premium coking coal and thermal coal, Australian supply is not keeping up with demand, which is flowing through to diminished export volume and in turn, our above rail contract book. There are a number of factors contributing to this, including Queensland's coal royalty regime. Finally, I want to turn to vehicle logistics, which is an important development for containerized freight and landbridging. Following our earlier engagement with major vehicle logistics providers, Aurizon has customer contracts to transport vehicles using our containerized freight network and a land bridge through the Port of Darwin. The first is a long-term partnership with CEVA, operator of the largest national vehicle logistics network.
Andrew Harding: As demonstrated on this slide, the demand for Australian coal remains strong, but there is no doubt opportunity is being lost to competing supply nations like Russia and Indonesia. Despite significant reserves of premium coking coal and thermal coal, Australian supply is not keeping up with demand, which is flowing through to diminished export volume and in turn, our above rail contract book. There are a number of factors contributing to this, including Queensland's coal royalty regime.
Speaker #1: Despite significant reserves of premium coking coal and thermal coal, Australian supply is not keeping up with demand, which is flowing through to diminished export volume and, in turn, our above rail contract book.
Speaker #1: There are a number of factors contributing to this, including Queensland's coal royalty regime. Finally, I want to turn to vehicle logistics, which is an important development for containerized freight and land bridging.
Andrew Harding: Finally, I want to turn to vehicle logistics, which is an important development for containerized freight and landbridging. Following our earlier engagement with major vehicle logistics providers, Aurizon has customer contracts to transport vehicles using our containerized freight network and a land bridge through the Port of Darwin. The first is a long-term partnership with CEVA, operator of the largest national vehicle logistics network.
Speaker #1: Following our earlier engagement with major vehicle logistics providers, Horizon has customer contracts to transport vehicles using our containerized freight network and a land bridge through the Port of Darwin.
Speaker #1: The first is a long-term partnership with SEVA, operator of the largest national vehicle logistics network. Aurizon will transport vehicles by rail for the domestic market, which is a significant road-to-rail conversion.
Andrew Harding: Aurizon will transport vehicles by rail for the domestic market, which is a significant road to rail conversion. Initially, vehicles will be carried on existing containerized freight services in CEVA-owned and Aurizon-owned car containers. The service is expected to transition to purpose-built auto wagons following their delivery in mid-FY 2028. The contract commenced in June and also includes general freight, contributing additional volume in FY 2027. The second contract provides for the initial movement of 7,000 imported vehicles per annum from the Port of Darwin for logistics partner NYK. While this initial volume is subscale, as it involves only partial vessel discharges in Darwin, the longer-term objective is to move to larger scale volumes through full vessel discharges. This has the potential to reduce port calls and improve fleet utilization for our logistics partner. A reminder that a total of 1.25 million cars are imported into Australia each year.
Andrew Harding: Aurizon will transport vehicles by rail for the domestic market, which is a significant road to rail conversion. Initially, vehicles will be carried on existing containerized freight services in CEVA-owned and Aurizon-owned car containers. The service is expected to transition to purpose-built auto wagons following their delivery in mid-FY 2028. The contract commenced in June and also includes general freight, contributing additional volume in FY 2027. The second contract provides for the initial movement of 7,000 imported vehicles per annum from the Port of Darwin for logistics partner NYK.
Speaker #1: Initially, vehicles will be carried on existing containerized freight services in SEVA-owned and Horizon-owned car containers. The services are expected to transition to purpose-built auto wagons following their delivery in mid-FY2028.
Speaker #1: A contract commenced in June and also includes general freight, contributing additional volume in FY2027. The second contract provides for the initial movement of 7,000 imported vehicles per annum from the Port of Darwin for logistics partner NYK.
Speaker #1: While this initial volume is subscale, as it involves only partial vessel discharges in Darwin, the longer-term objective is to move to larger-scale volumes through full vessel discharges.
Andrew Harding: While this initial volume is subscale, as it involves only partial vessel discharges in Darwin, the longer-term objective is to move to larger scale volumes through full vessel discharges. This has the potential to reduce port calls and improve fleet utilization for our logistics partner. A reminder that a total of 1.25 million cars are imported into Australia each year.
Speaker #1: This has the potential to reduce port calls and improve fleet utilization for our logistics partner. A reminder that a total of 1.25 million cars are imported into Australia each year.
Speaker #1: The Horizon auto wagons, under construction, are fully enclosed with a ventilated sidewall design to protect vehicles during long-haul moves. They are double-stacked and engineered to the exterior dimensions required to fit under bridges and access Melbourne and Sydney directly.
Andrew Harding: The Aurizon auto wagons under construction are fully enclosed with a ventilated sidewall design to protect vehicles during long-haul moves. They are double-stacked and engineered to the exterior dimensions required to fit under bridges and access Melbourne and Sydney directly, and the only rolling stock in the country able to do this. The initial order has been made with associated CapEx of around AUD 100 million through to FY 2028, including around AUD 20 million outlaid in FY 2026. Returns are expected to be in line with previously outlined IRR targets of low double digits. This is another example of using Aurizon's strategically significant assets to drive growth for the business, supported by customer contracts. Importantly, vehicles will be transported using Aurizon's existing containerized freight services, including the Tarcoola to Darwin rail line, driving asset utilization. On that, I will hand over to Ian to present the financial results in more detail.
Andrew Harding: The Aurizon auto wagons under construction are fully enclosed with a ventilated sidewall design to protect vehicles during long-haul moves. They are double-stacked and engineered to the exterior dimensions required to fit under bridges and access Melbourne and Sydney directly, and the only rolling stock in the country able to do this. The initial order has been made with associated CapEx of around AUD 100 million through to FY 2028, including around AUD 20 million outlaid in FY 2026. Returns are expected to be in line with previously outlined IRR targets of low double digits.
Speaker #1: And the only rolling stock in the country able to do this. The initial order has been made, with associated capex of around $100 million through to FY2028, including around $20 million outlaid in FY2026.
Speaker #1: Returns are expected to be in line with previously outlined IRR targets, in the low double digits. This is another example of using Aurizon's strategically significant assets to drive growth for the business, supported by customer contracts.
Andrew Harding: This is another example of using Aurizon's strategically significant assets to drive growth for the business, supported by customer contracts. Importantly, vehicles will be transported using Aurizon's existing containerized freight services, including the Tarcoola to Darwin rail line, driving asset utilization. On that, I will hand over to Ian to present the financial results in more detail.
Speaker #1: Importantly, vehicles will be transported using Aurizon's existing containerized freight services, including the Tarcoola to Darwin rail line, driving asset utilization. On that, I will hand over to Ian to present the financial results in more detail.
Speaker #2: Well, thanks, Andrew. It's great to be joining you today for the first time as CFO and Group Executive Strategy of Aurizon. Since joining the company, I've taken the opportunity to visit some of our strategically significant infrastructure and meet with employees, and I've got to tell you, I'm impressed with what I saw. I'm excited for the opportunities ahead for the company, and I acknowledge the quality of employees delivering against our strategic objectives.
Ian Wells: Well, thanks, Andrew. It's great to be joining you today for the first time as CFO and Group Executive Strategy of Aurizon. Since joining the company, I've taken the opportunity to visit some of our strategically significant infrastructure and meet with employees. I've got to tell you, I'm impressed with what I saw. I'm excited for the opportunities ahead for the company, and I acknowledge the quality of employees delivering against our strategic objectives. It's a privilege to be presenting today's results on behalf of the team, and it's a strong financial performance. To start, we've delivered against all major metrics, EBITDA of AUD 1.7 billion, AUD 718 million combined sustaining and growth capital, as well as FY 2026 total declared dividends of AUD 0.23, all within guidance. A couple of headlines. Group revenue of AUD 4.2 billion increased by 6%.
Ian Wells: Well, thanks, Andrew. It's great to be joining you today for the first time as CFO and Group Executive Strategy of Aurizon. Since joining the company, I've taken the opportunity to visit some of our strategically significant infrastructure and meet with employees. I've got to tell you, I'm impressed with what I saw. I'm excited for the opportunities ahead for the company, and I acknowledge the quality of employees delivering against our strategic objectives. It's a privilege to be presenting today's results on behalf of the team, and it's a strong financial performance.
Speaker #2: It's a privilege to be presenting today's results on behalf of the team, and it's a strong financial performance. To start with, we delivered against all major metrics: EBITDA of $1.7 billion, $718 million combined sustaining and growth capital, as well as FY26 total declared dividends of 23 cents, all within guidance.
Ian Wells: To start, we've delivered against all major metrics, EBITDA of AUD 1.7 billion, AUD 718 million combined sustaining and growth capital, as well as FY 2026 total declared dividends of AUD 0.23, all within guidance. A couple of headlines. Group revenue of AUD 4.2 billion increased by 6%.
Speaker #2: A couple of headlines. Group revenue of $4.2 billion increased by 6%. That was driven by higher regulatory revenue and network bulk customer growth, as well as the above-rail coal business performing consistent with 2025 levels.
Ian Wells: That was driven by higher regulatory revenue and network, bulk customer growth, as well as the above rail coal business performing consistent with 2025 levels. Underlying EBITDA increased by AUD 148 million or 9%, and importantly, we delivered a significant increase in shareholder returns. In the face of elevated fuel prices and inflationary pressures, combined with customer growth in bulk and containerized freight, total operating costs increased by 4% compared with the prior year, reflecting the focus on cost discipline and targeted savings program implemented from the start of the year. We had expected an under recovery of fuel costs of approximately AUD 10 million, but by year-end, we had fully recovered these costs at a consolidated group level. Depreciation and amortization were steady year on year. Net finance costs increased by 3%, and there was no change in the effective tax rate.
Ian Wells: That was driven by higher regulatory revenue and network, bulk customer growth, as well as the above rail coal business performing consistent with 2025 levels. Underlying EBITDA increased by AUD 148 million or 9%, and importantly, we delivered a significant increase in shareholder returns. In the face of elevated fuel prices and inflationary pressures, combined with customer growth in bulk and containerized freight, total operating costs increased by 4% compared with the prior year, reflecting the focus on cost discipline and targeted savings program implemented from the start of the year.
Speaker #2: Underlying EBITDA increased by $148 million, or 9%. Importantly, we delivered a significant increase in shareholder returns. In the face of elevated fuel prices and inflationary pressures, combined with customer growth in bulk and containerized freight, total operating costs increased by 4% compared with the prior year.
Speaker #2: Reflecting the focus on cost discipline and targeted savings program implemented from the start of the year. We had an expected we had expected, and under recovery of fuel costs of approximately 10 million dollars, but by year-end we had fully recovered these costs at a consolidated group level.
Ian Wells: We had expected an under recovery of fuel costs of approximately AUD 10 million, but by year-end, we had fully recovered these costs at a consolidated group level. Depreciation and amortization were steady year on year. Net finance costs increased by 3%, and there was no change in the effective tax rate.
Speaker #2: Depreciation and amortization were steady year-on-year. Net finance costs increased by 3%, and there was no change in the effective tax rate. That delivered an underlying net profit after tax, which increased by 24% to $433 million.
Ian Wells: That delivered an underlying net profit after tax, which increased by 24% to AUD 433 million. At a statutory level, EBITDA was AUD 1.62 billion. That's AUD 101 million lower than underlying EBITDA. Statutory net profit after tax was AUD 71 million lower at AUD 362 million. Important context for our results are the key items in the underlying earnings reconciliation, which includes the recognition of network revenue, that's a timing difference, and the exclusion of two expense items. As Aurizon indicated to the market in August 2025, we disclosed the intention to align network revenue recognition with the cost of operating and maintaining the Central Queensland Coal Network. The disclosure advised that from FY 2026, the full regulatory allowable revenue, that's including the revenue cap timing component, would be recognized in underlying earnings regardless of actual volumes hauled.
Ian Wells: That delivered an underlying net profit after tax, which increased by 24% to AUD 433 million. At a statutory level, EBITDA was AUD 1.62 billion. That's AUD 101 million lower than underlying EBITDA. Statutory net profit after tax was AUD 71 million lower at AUD 362 million. Important context for our results are the key items in the underlying earnings reconciliation, which includes the recognition of network revenue, that's a timing difference, and the exclusion of two expense items.
Speaker #2: At a statutory level, EBITDA was $1.62 billion. That's $101 million lower than underlying EBITDA. Statutory net profit after tax was $701 million, lower at $362 million.
Speaker #2: So, important context for our results are the key items in the underlying earnings reconciliation, which includes the recognition of network revenue—that's a timing difference—and the exclusion of two expense items.
Speaker #2: As Aurizon indicated to the market in August 2025, we disclosed the intention to align network revenue recognition with the cost of operating and maintaining the Central Queensland Coal Network.
Ian Wells: As Aurizon indicated to the market in August 2025, we disclosed the intention to align network revenue recognition with the cost of operating and maintaining the Central Queensland Coal Network. The disclosure advised that from FY 2026, the full regulatory allowable revenue, that's including the revenue cap timing component, would be recognized in underlying earnings regardless of actual volumes hauled.
Speaker #2: The disclosure advised that from FY26, the full regulatory allowable revenue—that's including the revenue cap timing component—would be recognized in underlying earnings regardless of actual volumes hauled.
Speaker #2: Actual volumes were lower than the regulatory assumption this year, which has resulted in $27 million being recognized in underlying earnings. So turning to the two expense items, the first one is a $54 million non-cash impairment, which was recognized against our New South Wales coal assets.
Ian Wells: Actual volumes were lower than the regulatory assumption this year, which has resulted in AUD 27 million being recognized in underlying earnings. Turning to the two expense items. The first one is a AUD 54 million non-cash impairment, which was recognized against our New South Wales coal assets, and that is after undertaking a carrying value assessment, which included the changed New South Wales contract book, intercompany transfer of locomotives, as well as operating cost changes. Just for context, this impairment represents less than 3% of the above rail coal asset base. The second item was a AUD 20 million expense for enterprise resource planning system upgrade and some redundancy costs associated with the cost out program. I would just note a full reconciliation to statutory earnings is included in the appendix of this investor pack. Moving to the next slide 14.
Ian Wells: Actual volumes were lower than the regulatory assumption this year, which has resulted in AUD 27 million being recognized in underlying earnings. Turning to the two expense items. The first one is a AUD 54 million non-cash impairment, which was recognized against our New South Wales coal assets, and that is after undertaking a carrying value assessment, which included the changed New South Wales contract book, intercompany transfer of locomotives, as well as operating cost changes. Just for context, this impairment represents less than 3% of the above rail coal asset base.
Speaker #2: And that's after undertaking a carrying value assessment, which included the changed New South Wales contract book, intercompany transfer of locomotives, as well as operating cost changes.
Speaker #2: And just for context, this impairment represents less than 3% of the above-rail coal asset base. The second item was a $20 million expense for enterprise resource planning system upgrade, and some redundancy costs associated with the cost-out program.
Ian Wells: The second item was a AUD 20 million expense for enterprise resource planning system upgrade and some redundancy costs associated with the cost out program. I would just note a full reconciliation to statutory earnings is included in the appendix of this investor pack. Moving to the next slide 14.
Speaker #2: And I'd just note a full reconciliation to statutory earnings is included in the appendix of this investor pack. So, moving to the next slide.
Speaker #2: Slide 14. One of Aurizon's key strengths is the quality and consistency of our cash generation, and the metrics on this slide demonstrate how that underpins sustainable shareholder returns.
Ian Wells: One of Aurizon's key strengths is the quality and consistency of our cash generation, and the metrics on this slide demonstrate how that underpins sustainable shareholder returns. Return on invested capital increased by 1.4 percentage points on the prior year to 9.5%, driven by higher earnings and therefore improving returns from our invested capital base. Importantly, it was another strong year of cash generation with underlying free cash flow. That is free cash flow before growth CapEx increasing by 11%. This year, we have also added free cash flow to equity. So that is the bottom line cash available to equity with no adjustments. Free cash flow to equity is equal to operating cash flow less total CapEx, less interest paid. Turning to dividends, the board has declared a final dividend of AUD 0.105 per share, 90% franked, including the interim dividend of AUD 0.125.
Ian Wells: One of Aurizon's key strengths is the quality and consistency of our cash generation, and the metrics on this slide demonstrate how that underpins sustainable shareholder returns. Return on invested capital increased by 1.4 percentage points on the prior year to 9.5%, driven by higher earnings and therefore improving returns from our invested capital base. Importantly, it was another strong year of cash generation with underlying free cash flow. That is free cash flow before growth CapEx increasing by 11%.
Speaker #2: Return on invested capital increased by 1.4 percentage points on the prior year to 9.5%, driven by higher earnings and therefore improving returns from our invested capital base.
Speaker #2: Importantly, it was another strong year of cash generation, with underlying free cash flow—that's free cash flow before growth capex—increasing by 11%. This year, we've also added free cash flow to equity, so that's the bottom-line cash available to equity, with no adjustments.
Ian Wells: This year, we have also added free cash flow to equity. So that is the bottom line cash available to equity with no adjustments. Free cash flow to equity is equal to operating cash flow less total CapEx, less interest paid. Turning to dividends, the board has declared a final dividend of AUD 0.105 per share, 90% franked, including the interim dividend of AUD 0.125.
Speaker #2: Free cash flow to equity is equal to operating cash flow, less total capex, less interest paid. Turning to dividends, the Board has declared a final dividend of 10.5 cents per share, 90% franked. Including the interim dividend of 12.5 cents, full-year declared dividends of 23 cents represent a payout ratio of 90% of underlying net profit after tax.
Ian Wells: Full year declared dividends of AUD 0.23 represents a payout ratio of 90% of underlying net profit after tax. You can see that free cash flow translates into higher shareholder returns, with FY 2026 dividends per share increasing by 46%. The successful completion of our buyback reduced shares on issue by a further 3.8% in FY 2026, on top of the 4.9% reduction in FY 2025. The reduction in the shares supports growth in earnings per share, dividends per share, and therefore enhancing shareholder returns. Turning now to our operations and the network business. Network EBITDA increased by AUD 74 million or 8% to AUD 1.03 billion. Turning to the bridge on the right on slide 15, access revenue increased by AUD 95 million, reflecting a higher allowable revenue driven by increased returns on and of capital, together with a higher maintenance cost allowance.
Ian Wells: Full year declared dividends of AUD 0.23 represents a payout ratio of 90% of underlying net profit after tax. You can see that free cash flow translates into higher shareholder returns, with FY 2026 dividends per share increasing by 46%. The successful completion of our buyback reduced shares on issue by a further 3.8% in FY 2026, on top of the 4.9% reduction in FY 2025. The reduction in the shares supports growth in earnings per share, dividends per share, and therefore enhancing shareholder returns. Turning now to our operations and the network business.
Speaker #2: So, you can see that free cash flow translates into higher shareholder returns, with FY26 dividends per share increasing by 46%. The successful completion of our buyback reduced shares on issue by a further 3.8% in FY26, on top of the 4.9% reduction in FY25.
Speaker #2: And the reduction in the shares supports growth in earnings per share, dividends per share, and therefore enhances shareholder returns. Turning now to our operations.
Speaker #2: And the Network business. Network EBITDA increased by $74 million, or 8%, to $1.03 billion. And turning to the bridge on the right on Slide 15, access revenue increased by $95 million, reflecting higher allowable revenue driven by increased returns on and of capital, together with a higher maintenance cost allowance.
Ian Wells: Network EBITDA increased by AUD 74 million or 8% to AUD 1.03 billion. Turning to the bridge on the right on slide 15, access revenue increased by AUD 95 million, reflecting a higher allowable revenue driven by increased returns on and of capital, together with a higher maintenance cost allowance.
Speaker #2: These figures are shown net of energy costs, which are passed through to network customers. Although volumes increased by 2%, the regulatory assumption of 221 million tonnes was not reached, leading to an under-recovery and future revenue cap.
Ian Wells: These figures are shown net of energy costs, which are passed through to network customers. Although volumes increased by 2%, the regulatory assumption of 221 million tons was not reached, leading to an under recovery and future revenue cap. The regulatory regime sets the per ton revenue based on a forecast of 221 million tons, when actual volumes were lower at 212.5 million tons. The regulatory mechanisms allow Aurizon Network to receive the under recovery in cash in FY 2028. This under recovery of AUD 27 million, which I mentioned earlier, is recognized in underlying revenue in FY 2026. The inclusion of this timing difference matches revenue with the cost of operating and maintaining the CQCN, providing increased transparency, consistency and predictability of the network and the consolidated Aurizon Group.
Ian Wells: These figures are shown net of energy costs, which are passed through to network customers. Although volumes increased by 2%, the regulatory assumption of 221 million tons was not reached, leading to an under recovery and future revenue cap. The regulatory regime sets the per ton revenue based on a forecast of 221 million tons, when actual volumes were lower at 212.5 million tons. The regulatory mechanisms allow Aurizon Network to receive the under recovery in cash in FY 2028.
Speaker #2: The regulatory regime sets the per-ton revenue based on a forecast of 221 million tons, whereas actual volumes were lower, at 212.5 million tons. The regulatory mechanisms allow Horizon Network to receive the under-recovery in cash in FY28, and this under-recovery of $27 million, which I mentioned earlier, is recognized in underlying revenue in FY26.
Ian Wells: This under recovery of AUD 27 million, which I mentioned earlier, is recognized in underlying revenue in FY 2026. The inclusion of this timing difference matches revenue with the cost of operating and maintaining the CQCN, providing increased transparency, consistency and predictability of the network and the consolidated Aurizon Group.
Speaker #2: The inclusion of this timing difference matches revenue with the cost of operating and maintaining the CQCN, providing increased transparency, consistency, and predictability for the network and the consolidated Horizon Group.
Speaker #2: Looking forward to FY27, in terms of the broader maximum allowed allowable revenue, we see a further uplift of around $60 million, inclusive of the FY25 revenue cap adjustment.
Ian Wells: Looking forward to FY27, in terms of the broader maximum allowable revenue, we see a further uplift of around AUD 60 million inclusive of the FY25 revenue cap adjustment. We expect approximately 60% of this to flow through to increased FY27 EBITDA, due to it being offset by an expected step up in maintenance costs and other costs. As usual, the appendix has got a full table on the maximum allowable revenue. Just to focus for a moment on UT5, Andrew provided important context for where we're at in the process. The UT5 regulatory reset takes effect from FY28, and it provides an additional 10 years of certainty on the single largest contributor to the group's earnings and cash flow. Moving to Bulk. Bulk's underlying EBITDA increased to AUD 233 million. That's an uplift of 38% year-on-year.
Ian Wells: Looking forward to FY27, in terms of the broader maximum allowable revenue, we see a further uplift of around AUD 60 million inclusive of the FY25 revenue cap adjustment. We expect approximately 60% of this to flow through to increased FY27 EBITDA, due to it being offset by an expected step up in maintenance costs and other costs. As usual, the appendix has got a full table on the maximum allowable revenue. Just to focus for a moment on UT5, Andrew provided important context for where we're at in the process.
Speaker #2: And we expect approximately 60% of this to flow through to increased FY27 EBITDA due to it being an offset due to it being offset by an expected step up in maintenance costs and other costs.
Speaker #2: As usual, the appendix has a full table on the maximum allowable revenue. Just to focus for a moment on UT5, Andrew provided important context for where we're at in the process.
Speaker #2: The UT5 regulatory reset takes effect from FY28, and it provides an additional 10 years of certainty on the single largest contributor to the group's earnings and cash flow.
Ian Wells: The UT5 regulatory reset takes effect from FY28, and it provides an additional 10 years of certainty on the single largest contributor to the group's earnings and cash flow. Moving to Bulk. Bulk's underlying EBITDA increased to AUD 233 million. That's an uplift of 38% year-on-year.
Speaker #2: Moving to Bulk. Bulk's underlying EBITDA increased to $233 million, which is an uplift of 38% year on year. The result was driven by contract and customer growth, including a 6% increase in railed volumes, and the non-recurrence of a prior year provision for doubtful debts.
Ian Wells: The result was driven by contract and customer growth, including a 6% increase in rail volumes, and the non-recurrence of a prior year provision for doubtful debts. Bulk revenue was up 10% to AUD 1.23 billion, driven by base metals grain and new iron ore customers in WA, partially offset by lower iron ore volumes in South Australia and the Northern Territory. Excluding the prior year identified doubtful debts provision, operating costs increased by 11%, including costs that are not expected to flow through to FY27. Turning your attention to the waterfall. After adjusting for the prior year provision, the increase in revenue can be seen in the first green column, and then we're showing two cost elements.
Ian Wells: The result was driven by contract and customer growth, including a 6% increase in rail volumes, and the non-recurrence of a prior year provision for doubtful debts. Bulk revenue was up 10% to AUD 1.23 billion, driven by base metals grain and new iron ore customers in WA, partially offset by lower iron ore volumes in South Australia and the Northern Territory.
Speaker #2: Bulk revenue was up 10% to $1.23 billion, driven by base metals, grain, and new iron ore customers in WA, partially offset by lower iron ore volumes in South Australia and the Northern Territory.
Speaker #2: Excluding the prior year's identified doubtful debts provision, operating costs increased by 11%, including costs that are not expected to flow through to FY27. So, turning your attention to the waterfall, after adjusting for the prior year provision, the increase in revenue can be seen in the first green column, and then we're showing two cost elements.
Ian Wells: Excluding the prior year identified doubtful debts provision, operating costs increased by 11%, including costs that are not expected to flow through to FY27. Turning your attention to the waterfall. After adjusting for the prior year provision, the increase in revenue can be seen in the first green column, and then we're showing two cost elements.
Speaker #2: The second element is $23 million of one-off margin impacts around fuel timing that is expected to recover in FY27, with the balance attributable to startup costs and a number of new contracts that commenced in FY26.
Ian Wells: The second element is AUD 23 million of one-off margin impacts around fuel timing that is expected to recover in FY27, with the balance attributable to start-up costs on a number of new contracts that commenced in FY26. On the fuel timing, some of our Bulk contracts adjust quarterly rather than monthly, so the June quarter uplift was not fully recovered within the financial year. On contract start-up costs, establishing and standing up these contracts do involve upfront investment, and that doesn't always align perfectly with revenue. We don't expect this margin impact to reoccur in FY27. Looking ahead, we expect Bulk EBITDA to grow again in FY27, supported by a higher contribution from the BHP South Australia copper contract, higher grain volumes, and the reversal of the fuel timing impact. These benefits are expected to be partially offset by lower iron ore volumes in South Australia.
Ian Wells: The second element is AUD 23 million of one-off margin impacts around fuel timing that is expected to recover in FY27, with the balance attributable to start-up costs on a number of new contracts that commenced in FY26. On the fuel timing, some of our Bulk contracts adjust quarterly rather than monthly, so the June quarter uplift was not fully recovered within the financial year. On contract start-up costs, establishing and standing up these contracts do involve upfront investment, and that doesn't always align perfectly with revenue. We don't expect this margin impact to reoccur in FY27.
Speaker #2: On the fuel timing, some of our bulk contracts adjust quarterly rather than monthly, so the June quarter uplift was not fully recovered within the financial year.
Speaker #2: On contract startup costs, establishing and standing up these contracts does involve upfront investment, and that doesn't always align perfectly with revenue. So, we don't expect this margin impact to reoccur in FY27.
Speaker #2: So, looking ahead, we expect Bulk EBITDA to grow again in FY27, supported by a higher contribution from the BHP South Australia copper contract, higher grain volumes, and a reversal of the fuel timing impact.
Ian Wells: Looking ahead, we expect Bulk EBITDA to grow again in FY27, supported by a higher contribution from the BHP South Australia copper contract, higher grain volumes, and the reversal of the fuel timing impact. These benefits are expected to be partially offset by lower iron ore volumes in South Australia.
Speaker #2: These benefits are expected to be partially offset by lower iron ore volumes in South Australia. Regarding containerized freight, while it's not reported as a separate business unit, I'd like to call out some performance indicators for the year.
Ian Wells: Regarding containerized freight, whilst it's not reported as a separate business unit, I'd like to call out some performance indicators for the year. Andrew mentioned that national interstate 20-foot equivalent units, or TEUs, were 25% higher than the corresponding period. That's representing growth from both existing and new customers. Transport revenue, as shown in the segment note, increased by 32% to AUD 150 million. As a result, containerized freight monthly EBITDA run rate has improved over the course of FY26, though not yet at a breakeven level. Two things change from here for containerized freight. Operationally, we expect continued growth from existing customers, increased utilization, and the SCT Logistics agreement is now operational. We've successfully mitigated the third-party rail network outages in Southeast Queensland that constrained us this year. On that basis, containerized freight is expected to reach breakeven in FY27. Turning to Coal.
Ian Wells: Regarding containerized freight, whilst it's not reported as a separate business unit, I'd like to call out some performance indicators for the year. Andrew mentioned that national interstate 20-foot equivalent units, or TEUs, were 25% higher than the corresponding period. That's representing growth from both existing and new customers. Transport revenue, as shown in the segment note, increased by 32% to AUD 150 million. As a result, containerized freight monthly EBITDA run rate has improved over the course of FY26, though not yet at a breakeven level.
Speaker #2: Andrew mentioned that national interstate 20-foot equivalent units, or TEUs, were 25% higher than the corresponding period. That's representing growth from both existing and new customers.
Speaker #2: And transport revenue, as shown in the segment note, increased by 32% to $150 million. As a result, the containerized freight monthly EBITDA run rate has improved over the course of FY26, though not yet at a break-even level.
Speaker #2: So, two things changed from here for containerized freight. Operationally, we expect continued growth from existing customers, increased utilization, and the SCT Logistics agreement is now operational.
Ian Wells: Two things change from here for containerized freight. Operationally, we expect continued growth from existing customers, increased utilization, and the SCT Logistics agreement is now operational. We've successfully mitigated the third-party rail network outages in Southeast Queensland that constrained us this year. On that basis, containerized freight is expected to reach breakeven in FY27. Turning to Coal.
Speaker #2: And we've successfully mitigated the third-party rail network outages in Southeast Queensland that constrained us this year. So, on that basis, containerized freight is expected to reach break-even in FY27.
Speaker #2: Now turning to coal. Coal EBITDA increased by $13 million, which is consistent with year-on-year demand, reflected in haul volumes remaining at 192 million tons.
Ian Wells: Coal EBITDA increased by AUD 13 million, which is consistent with consistent year-on-year demand reflected in hauled volumes remaining at 192 million tons. The moving parts on tonnes hauled showed higher volumes in the Blackwater, Southeast Queensland, and Goonyella corridors, and they were offset by lower railings in the weather-impacted New South Wales, Newlands, and Moura. Operating costs, that is operating costs excluding access and fuel, were flat. Importantly, controllable unit costs, which are operating costs excluding access and fuel, reduced by 1% on a net tonne per kilometer basis, reflecting the cost discipline across the business unit and matching operating costs with volumes hauled. At the start of the year, we had expected yield to be negatively impacted by customer mix, and that is exactly what happened.
Ian Wells: Coal EBITDA increased by AUD 13 million, which is consistent with consistent year-on-year demand reflected in hauled volumes remaining at 192 million tons. The moving parts on tonnes hauled showed higher volumes in the Blackwater, Southeast Queensland, and Goonyella corridors, and they were offset by lower railings in the weather-impacted New South Wales, Newlands, and Moura.
Speaker #2: The moving parts on tonnes hauled showed higher volumes in the Blackwater, Southeast Queensland, and Goonyella corridors, and they were offset by lower railings in the weather-impacted New South Wales, Newlands, and Moura.
Speaker #2: Operating costs—that's operating costs excluding access and fuel—were flat. Importantly, controllable unit costs, which are operating costs excluding access and fuel, reduced by 1% on a net ton per kilometer basis.
Ian Wells: Operating costs, that is operating costs excluding access and fuel, were flat. Importantly, controllable unit costs, which are operating costs excluding access and fuel, reduced by 1% on a net tonne per kilometer basis, reflecting the cost discipline across the business unit and matching operating costs with volumes hauled. At the start of the year, we had expected yield to be negatively impacted by customer mix, and that is exactly what happened.
Speaker #2: Reflecting the cost discipline across the business unit and matching operating costs with volumes hold. At the start of the year, we had expected yield to be negatively impacted by customer mix, and that is exactly what happened.
Speaker #2: The cost escalation prediction within our haulage contracts is reflected in a $10 million year-on-year benefit of Access, including $7 million of fuel cost recovery benefit.
Ian Wells: The cost escalation protection within our haulage contracts is reflected in a AUD 10 million year-on-year benefit of access, including AUD 7 million of fuel cost recovery benefit. Noting on a group basis, there was no impact because Coal offset Bulk. Moving to an update on the contract book as we move into FY 2027. As noted on slide 18, FY 2027 contracted volume stands at 211 million tonnes, which is a 20 million tonne reduction when compared with prior year. Half of this volume is the non-renewal of a major Hunter Valley contract announced this time last year, and the majority of the difference relates to customers right-sizing their contracted volumes to match against respective production plans. In FY 2027, we expect rail volumes to remain at a similar level to FY 2026, which against a lower contract volume, will see contract utilization lifting from around 83% to over 90%.
Ian Wells: The cost escalation protection within our haulage contracts is reflected in a AUD 10 million year-on-year benefit of access, including AUD 7 million of fuel cost recovery benefit. Noting on a group basis, there was no impact because Coal offset Bulk. Moving to an update on the contract book as we move into FY 2027. As noted on slide 18, FY 2027 contracted volume stands at 211 million tonnes, which is a 20 million tonne reduction when compared with prior year.
Speaker #2: Noting on a group basis, there was no impact because coal offset bulk. Moving to an update on the contract book as we move into FY27.
Speaker #2: As noted on slide 18, FY27 contracted volume stands at 211 million tons, which is a reduction of 20 million tons compared with the prior year.
Speaker #2: Half of this volume is the non-renewal of a major Hunter Valley contract announced this time last year, and the majority of the difference relates to customers right-sizing their contracted volumes to match against respective production plans.
Ian Wells: Half of this volume is the non-renewal of a major Hunter Valley contract announced this time last year, and the majority of the difference relates to customers right-sizing their contracted volumes to match against respective production plans. In FY 2027, we expect rail volumes to remain at a similar level to FY 2026, which against a lower contract volume, will see contract utilization lifting from around 83% to over 90%.
Speaker #2: In FY27, we expect rail volumes to remain at a similar level to FY26, which, against a lower contract volume, will see contract utilization lifting from around 83% to over 90%.
Speaker #2: While there’s a cost that arises in holding capacity to match contracted volumes, the direct operating cost is relatively low, and the fixed revenue generated therefore carries a higher margin.
Ian Wells: Whilst there is a cost to Aurizon in holding capacity to match contracted volumes, the direct operating cost is relatively low, and the fixed revenue coming out therefore carries a higher margin. The impact is that coal earnings reduce, even though the haulage task does not change. In response, and to mitigate the earnings impact, we have a three-year coal transformation program targeting AUD 30 million in annualized savings. The program includes deployment and rolling stock optimization, overhead reduction, and consideration of TrainGuard or single driver only services across the diesel fleet in Queensland. At the same time, we remain focused on the contract pipeline to maximize renewals, improve asset utilization and repricing approach, progress cost to serve initiatives, and further redeployment of New South Wales capacity.
Ian Wells: Whilst there is a cost to Aurizon in holding capacity to match contracted volumes, the direct operating cost is relatively low, and the fixed revenue coming out therefore carries a higher margin. The impact is that coal earnings reduce, even though the haulage task does not change. In response, and to mitigate the earnings impact, we have a three-year coal transformation program targeting AUD 30 million in annualized savings.
Speaker #2: The impact is that coal earnings reduce, even though the haulage task doesn't change. So in response, and to mitigate the earnings impact, we have a three-year coal transformation program targeting $30 million in annualized savings.
Speaker #2: And the program includes deployment and rolling stock optimization, overhead reduction, and consideration of train guard or single-driver-only services across the diesel fleet in Queensland.
Ian Wells: The program includes deployment and rolling stock optimization, overhead reduction, and consideration of TrainGuard or single driver only services across the diesel fleet in Queensland. At the same time, we remain focused on the contract pipeline to maximize renewals, improve asset utilization and repricing approach, progress cost to serve initiatives, and further redeployment of New South Wales capacity. Our focus is on the areas within our control, including disciplined management of controllable unit costs and aligning our cost base with contracted volumes.
Speaker #2: At the same time, we remain focused on the contract pipeline to maximize renewals, improve asset utilization, and our repricing approach. Progressing cost-to-serve initiatives and further redeployment of New South Wales capacity are focuses on the areas within our control, including disciplined management of controllable unit costs and aligning our cost base with contracted volumes.
Ian Wells: Our focus is on the areas within our control, including disciplined management of controllable unit costs and aligning our cost base with contracted volumes. Finally, a tighter contract utilization does come with greater opportunity for surge and spot volumes, where customers are seeking to push more volume into the market and may be hitting the contractual volume ceiling. In closing on operations, the FY 2026 results and future outlook highlights Aurizon's portfolio with the network and coal businesses underwriting shareholder returns while continuing to support investment and growth. I will just switch gears now and move to the balance sheet, gearing, and capital allocation. Having reviewed our funding and balance sheet, one of the things that stood out to me is both the diversity of Aurizon's funding sources and the strong support we receive from globally diversified lenders and debt investors.
Speaker #2: Finally, a tighter contract utilization does come with greater opportunity for surge and spot volumes, where customers are seeking to push more volume into the market and may be hitting the contractual volume ceiling.
Ian Wells: Finally, a tighter contract utilization does come with greater opportunity for surge and spot volumes, where customers are seeking to push more volume into the market and may be hitting the contractual volume ceiling. In closing on operations, the FY 2026 results and future outlook highlights Aurizon's portfolio with the network and coal businesses underwriting shareholder returns while continuing to support investment and growth. I will just switch gears now and move to the balance sheet, gearing, and capital allocation.
Speaker #2: In closing on operations, the FY26 results and future outlook highlight a rising portfolio, with the Network and Coal businesses underwriting shareholder returns while continuing to support investment in growth.
Speaker #2: So I'll just switch gears now and move to the balance sheet, gearing, and capital allocation. Having reviewed our funding and balance sheet, one of the things that stood out to me is both the diversity of Aurizon's funding sources and the strong support we received from globally diversified lenders and debt investors.
Ian Wells: Having reviewed our funding and balance sheet, one of the things that stood out to me is both the diversity of Aurizon's funding sources and the strong support we receive from globally diversified lenders and debt investors.
Ian Wells: This reflects the quality of our asset base and resultant investment-grade credit profile. Our funding strategy remains the same. At a group level, available liquidity comprising cash and undrawn facilities at 30 June was AUD 1.1 billion. Net debt of AUD 5.2 billion is unchanged. Interest costs are hedged to 95% and group gearing, that is the book value of net debt over net debt plus equity, is 57%. Importantly, a key component of our capital allocation framework is our commitment to maintain strong investment-grade credit ratings. Aurizon Operations and Aurizon Network's credit ratings are both BBB+ from S&P and the equivalent Baa1 from Moody's, and this commitment is supported by group net debt to EBITDA of 3 times. Turning to capital allocation. Slide 20. Strong free cash flow generation combined with lower capital expenditures continue to support higher shareholder returns through both dividends and share buybacks during the year.
Ian Wells: This reflects the quality of our asset base and resultant investment-grade credit profile. Our funding strategy remains the same. At a group level, available liquidity comprising cash and undrawn facilities at 30 June was AUD 1.1 billion. Net debt of AUD 5.2 billion is unchanged. Interest costs are hedged to 95% and group gearing, that is the book value of net debt over net debt plus equity, is 57%. Importantly, a key component of our capital allocation framework is our commitment to maintain strong investment-grade credit ratings.
Speaker #2: This reflects the quality of our asset base and resultant investment-grade credit profile. Our funding strategy remains the same. At a group level, available liquidity, comprising cash and undrawn facilities as at 30 June, was $1.1 billion. Net debt of $5.2 billion is unchanged.
Speaker #2: Interest costs are hedged to 95%, and group gearing—that's the book value of net debt over net debt plus equity—is 57%. Importantly, a key component of our capital allocation framework is our commitment to maintain strong investment grade credit ratings.
Speaker #2: Aurizon Operations and Aurizon Network credit ratings are both BBB+ from S&P, and the equivalent Baa1 from Moody's. And this commitment is supported by group net debt to EBITDA of three times.
Ian Wells: Aurizon Operations and Aurizon Network's credit ratings are both BBB+ from S&P and the equivalent Baa1 from Moody's, and this commitment is supported by group net debt to EBITDA of 3 times. Turning to capital allocation. Slide 20. Strong free cash flow generation combined with lower capital expenditures continue to support higher shareholder returns through both dividends and share buybacks during the year.
Speaker #2: Turning to capital allocation, slide 20. Strong free cash flow generation, combined with lower capital expenditure, has continued to support higher shareholder returns through both dividends and share buybacks during the year.
Speaker #2: This has been reflected in total shareholder returns for FY26, which was 45%, including reinvested dividends. Having spent time understanding the business, another observation is Aurizon's capital allocation framework strikes a good balance between maintaining a BBB+ credit rating, funding reinvestment capital back into the business, returning capital to shareholders, while also allowing the flexibility to invest in growth options.
Ian Wells: This has been reflected in total shareholder returns for FY26, which was 45%, including reinvested dividends. Having spent time understanding the business, another observation is Aurizon's capital allocation framework strikes a good balance between maintaining a BBB+ credit rating, funding reinvestment capital back into the business, returning capital to shareholders, while also allowing the flexibility to invest in growth options. The overriding objective, of course, is to optimize each individual part of the framework to maximize returns to shareholders. I would like to make one point on durability. A 90% of underlying NPAT payout is supported not by a single year of low capital expenditure, but by the structural improvement in free cash flow that follows the completion of our elevated investment phase.
Ian Wells: This has been reflected in total shareholder returns for FY26, which was 45%, including reinvested dividends. Having spent time understanding the business, another observation is Aurizon's capital allocation framework strikes a good balance between maintaining a BBB+ credit rating, funding reinvestment capital back into the business, returning capital to shareholders, while also allowing the flexibility to invest in growth options.
Speaker #2: The overriding objective, of course, is to optimize each individual part of the framework to maximize returns to shareholders. And I'd like to make one point on durability.
Ian Wells: The overriding objective, of course, is to optimize each individual part of the framework to maximize returns to shareholders. I would like to make one point on durability. A 90% of underlying NPAT payout is supported not by a single year of low capital expenditure, but by the structural improvement in free cash flow that follows the completion of our elevated investment phase.
Speaker #2: A 90% payout of underlying NPAT is supported not by a single year of low capital expenditure, but by the structural improvement in free cash flow that follows the completion of our elevated investment phase.
Speaker #2: As capital expenditure normalizes to the levels we will come to shortly, we expect dividends to remain at the upper end of the policy to target 70% to 100% of underlying NPAT.
Ian Wells: As capital expenditure normalizes to the levels I will come to shortly, we expect dividends to remain in the upper end of the policy to target 90%, 70% to 100% of underlying NPAT. We also remain disciplined in our approach to capital expenditure, as shown in the chart. Over the past 4 years, we have moved through a period of elevated investment and now seeing the benefits with lower capital expenditure and the growth in earnings from those investments contributing to cash flow generation. As a result, the proportion to shareholders has increased in FY25 and 2026, noting that share buybacks were funded principally with debt, not operating cash flow. Looking ahead, we believe the framework continues to position us well to optimize shareholder returns, reinvestment and growth CapEx, as well as maintain balance sheet strength.
Ian Wells: As capital expenditure normalizes to the levels I will come to shortly, we expect dividends to remain in the upper end of the policy to target 90%, 70% to 100% of underlying NPAT. We also remain disciplined in our approach to capital expenditure, as shown in the chart. Over the past 4 years, we have moved through a period of elevated investment and now seeing the benefits with lower capital expenditure and the growth in earnings from those investments contributing to cash flow generation.
Speaker #2: We also remain disciplined in our approach to capital expenditure. As shown in the chart, over the past four years we've moved through a period of elevated investment and are now seeing the benefits, with lower capital expenditure and the growth in earnings from those investments contributing to cash flow generation.
Speaker #2: As a result, the proportion to shareholders has increased in FY25 and FY26, noting that share buybacks were funded principally with debt, not operating cash flow.
Ian Wells: As a result, the proportion to shareholders has increased in FY25 and 2026, noting that share buybacks were funded principally with debt, not operating cash flow. Looking ahead, we believe the framework continues to position us well to optimize shareholder returns, reinvestment and growth CapEx, as well as maintain balance sheet strength.
Speaker #2: Looking ahead, we believe the framework continues to position us well to optimize shareholder returns, reinvestment, and growth CAPEX, as well as maintain balance sheet strength.
Speaker #2: Based on the dividend guidance that Andrew will speak to shortly, we expect similar proportions allocated to shareholder returns in FY27. So, in closing, Aurizon has the privileged position to operate critical national infrastructure and deliver returns to our shareholders and other stakeholders across Australia.
Ian Wells: Based on the dividend guidance that Andrew will speak to shortly, we expect similar proportions allocated to shareholder returns in FY27. So in closing, Aurizon has the privileged position to operate critical national infrastructure and deliver returns to our shareholders and other stakeholders across Australia. Aurizon has a disciplined capital allocation framework and cash generation that is both consistent and predictable. That combination is what converts the quality of this asset base into returns for shareholders, and that is what we will be focused on protecting and improving. We will continue to focus on the things that we can control, which includes safety, volumes and costs, to deliver long-term shareholder returns. Thank you, and I will now hand back to Andrew.
Ian Wells: Based on the dividend guidance that Andrew will speak to shortly, we expect similar proportions allocated to shareholder returns in FY27. So in closing, Aurizon has the privileged position to operate critical national infrastructure and deliver returns to our shareholders and other stakeholders across Australia.
Speaker #2: Aurizon has a disciplined capital allocation framework and cash generation that is both consistent and predictable. That combination is what converts the quality of this asset base into returns for shareholders, and that is what we will be focused on protecting and improving.
Ian Wells: Aurizon has a disciplined capital allocation framework and cash generation that is both consistent and predictable. That combination is what converts the quality of this asset base into returns for shareholders, and that is what we will be focused on protecting and improving. We will continue to focus on the things that we can control, which includes safety, volumes and costs, to deliver long-term shareholder returns. Thank you, and I will now hand back to Andrew.
Speaker #2: We'll continue to focus on the things that we can control, which include safety, volumes, and costs, to deliver long-term shareholder returns. Thank you, and I'll now hand back to Andrew.
Speaker #1: Thanks, Ian. FY2027 Group underlying EBITDA is expected to be between $1.725 billion and $1.775 billion, with full-year dividends of 23 to 24 cents per share.
Andrew Harding: Thanks, Ian. FY 2027 group underlying EBITDA is expected to be between AUD 1.725 billion and AUD 1.775 billion, with full-year dividends of AUD 0.23 to AUD 0.24 per share. Non-growth CapEx is expected to be between AUD 590 million and AUD 660 million, including AUD 25 million of transformation capital. Growth CapEx is expected to be between AUD 70 million and AUD 120 million. Network earnings are expected to be higher than FY 2026, reflecting increased regulatory revenue, including the final recognition in underlying earnings of prior year revenue cap adjustments, partly offset by higher direct costs. Coal earnings are expected to be lower than FY 2026, reflecting reduced contracted volumes and yield, with whole volumes expected to be broadly flat.
Andrew Harding: Thanks, Ian. FY 2027 group underlying EBITDA is expected to be between AUD 1.725 billion and AUD 1.775 billion, with full-year dividends of AUD 0.23 to AUD 0.24 per share. Non-growth CapEx is expected to be between AUD 590 million and AUD 660 million, including AUD 25 million of transformation capital.
Speaker #1: Non-growth capex is expected to be between $590 million and $660 million, including $25 million of transformation capital. Growth capex is expected to be between $70 million and $120 million.
Andrew Harding: Growth CapEx is expected to be between AUD 70 million and AUD 120 million. Network earnings are expected to be higher than FY 2026, reflecting increased regulatory revenue, including the final recognition in underlying earnings of prior year revenue cap adjustments, partly offset by higher direct costs. Coal earnings are expected to be lower than FY 2026, reflecting reduced contracted volumes and yield, with whole volumes expected to be broadly flat.
Speaker #1: Network earnings are expected to be higher than FY2026, reflecting increased regulatory revenue, including the final recognition in underlying earnings of prior-year revenue cap adjustments.
Speaker #1: Partly offset by higher direct costs. Coal earnings are expected to be lower than FY2026, reflecting reduced contracted volumes and yield, with haul volumes expected to be broadly flat.
Speaker #1: Bulk earnings are expected to be higher than FY2026, driven by full-year contributions from new customer growth and the non-recurrence of one-off costs, offset by reduced INOR volumes in South Australia.
Andrew Harding: Bulk earnings are expected to be higher than FY 2026, driven by full-year contributions from new customer growth and non-recurrence of one-off costs, offset by reduced iron ore volumes in South Australia. Other earnings are expected to be higher than FY 2026, with containerized freight expected to break even on an EBITDA basis. As usual, guidance assumes no significant disruptions to supply chains or customers, including major derailments, extreme or prolonged wet weather, or inability to access fuel. Overall, the FY 2027 outlook reflects stronger network earnings, continued bulk growth, improvement in containerized freight, and a reset in coal as contracted volumes become more closely aligned with customer production plans. To conclude, FY 2026 was a strong year for Aurizon. We delivered earnings growth, strong cash flow, a higher dividend, and completion of the AUD 250 million buyback.
Andrew Harding: Bulk earnings are expected to be higher than FY 2026, driven by full-year contributions from new customer growth and non-recurrence of one-off costs, offset by reduced iron ore volumes in South Australia. Other earnings are expected to be higher than FY 2026, with containerized freight expected to break even on an EBITDA basis. As usual, guidance assumes no significant disruptions to supply chains or customers, including major derailments, extreme or prolonged wet weather, or inability to access fuel.
Speaker #1: Other earnings are expected to be higher than FY2026, with containerized freight expected to break even on an EBITDA basis. As usual, guidance assumes no significant disruptions to supply chains or customers, including major derailments, extreme or prolonged wet weather, or inability to access.
Speaker #1: Fuel. Overall, the FY2027 outlook reflects stronger Network earnings, continued Bulk growth, improvement in containerized freight, and a reset in Coal as contracted volumes become more closely aligned with customer production plans.
Andrew Harding: Overall, the FY 2027 outlook reflects stronger network earnings, continued bulk growth, improvement in containerized freight, and a reset in coal as contracted volumes become more closely aligned with customer production plans. To conclude, FY 2026 was a strong year for Aurizon. We delivered earnings growth, strong cash flow, a higher dividend, and completion of the AUD 250 million buyback.
Speaker #1: To conclude, FY2026 was a strong year for Aurizon. We delivered earnings growth, strong cash flow, a higher dividend, and completed the $2.05 billion buyback.
Speaker #1: Bulk continued to demonstrate as strategy in delivering new customer contracts and earnings growth. We secured over a quarter of the coal contract book. We progressed UT5 Plus, with the QCA draft decision supporting the material components of the proposed undertaking and providing a pathway to final approval.
Andrew Harding: Bulk continued to demonstrate our strategy in delivering new customer contracts and earnings growth. We secured over a quarter of the coal contract book. We progressed UT5+ with the QCA draft decision supporting the material components of the proposed undertaking and providing a pathway to final approval. The progress against our strategic aims can be seen on this slide, with Aurizon's resilient network and coal businesses continuing to support growth in bulk and containerized freight, while at the same time supporting shareholder returns. Thank you, and I'll hand over to the operator for questions.
Andrew Harding: Bulk continued to demonstrate our strategy in delivering new customer contracts and earnings growth. We secured over a quarter of the coal contract book. We progressed UT5+ with the QCA draft decision supporting the material components of the proposed undertaking and providing a pathway to final approval. The progress against our strategic aims can be seen on this slide, with Aurizon's resilient network and coal businesses continuing to support growth in bulk and containerized freight, while at the same time supporting shareholder returns. Thank you, and I'll hand over to the operator for questions.
Speaker #1: The progress against our strategic aims can be seen on this slide, with Aurizon's resilient network and coal businesses continuing to support growth in bulk and containerized freight, while at the same time supporting shareholder returns.
Speaker #1: Thank you, and I'll hand over to the operator for questions.
Speaker #2: Thank you. If you would like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. If you would like to cancel your request, please press star two.
Operator: Thank you. If you would like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. If you would like to cancel your request, please press star two. If you are on a speakerphone, please pick up the handset to ask your question. Your first question today comes from Anthony Moulder from Jefferies. Please go ahead.
Operator: Thank you. If you would like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. If you would like to cancel your request, please press star two. If you are on a speakerphone, please pick up the handset to ask your question. Your first question today comes from Anthony Moulder from Jefferies. Please go ahead.
Speaker #2: If you are on a speakerphone, please pick up the handset to ask your question. Your first question today comes from Anthony Mulder from Jefferies.
Speaker #2: Please go ahead.
Speaker #3: Good morning, all. A few questions, if I can, on coal. The BMA contract—if I start with that—65 million tonnes is what I remember it’s signed at previously.
Anthony Moulder: Good morning, all. A few questions, if I can, on coal. The BMA contract, if I start with that, 65 million tonnes is what I remember it signed at previously. It is now down to 37 million tonnes. I appreciate that includes the sale of Blackwater and Daunia. But should there also be some lower nominations that they are making for that reduction from 65 less those contract or those sale of the mines down to 37, please?
Anthony Moulder: Good morning, all. A few questions, if I can, on coal. The BMA contract, if I start with that, 65 million tonnes is what I remember it signed at previously. It is now down to 37 million tonnes. I appreciate that includes the sale of Blackwater and Daunia. But should there also be some lower nominations that they are making for that reduction from 65 less those contract or those sale of the mines down to 37, please?
Speaker #3: It's now down to 37 million tons. Appreciate that includes the sale of Blackwater and Dornea, but should there also be some lower nominations that they're making for that reduction from 65, less those contracts or those sale of mines, down to 37, please?
Speaker #1: Oh, hi, Anthony. I'll get Ed to give you some background on the BMA contract.
Andrew Harding: Oh, hi, Anthony. I will get Ed to give you some background on the BMA contract.
Andrew Harding: Oh, hi, Anthony. I will get Ed to give you some background on the BMA contract.
Speaker #4: Thanks, Andrew. And thanks for the question. Think about BMA at the 65 million tons as with their current nomination. I won't get into the specifics of their actual nominations.
Edward McKeiver: Thanks, Andrew, and thanks for the question, Anthony. The way you think about BMA and the 65 million tonnes is with their current nomination. I will not get into the specifics of their actual nominations. But if you add back in, as you rightly say, the volume associated with the divestment of Blackwater and Daunia to Whitehaven Coal, but also the previous divestment of BMC, that is how you will get back to the 65 million tonne portfolio.
Edward McKeiver: Thanks, Andrew, and thanks for the question, Anthony. The way you think about BMA and the 65 million tonnes is with their current nomination. I will not get into the specifics of their actual nominations. But if you add back in, as you rightly say, the volume associated with the divestment of Blackwater and Daunia to Whitehaven Coal, but also the previous divestment of BMC, that is how you will get back to the 65 million tonne portfolio.
Speaker #4: But if you add back in, as you rightly say, the volume associated with the diversion of Blackwater and Dornea to Whitehaven, but also the previous diversion of BMC, that's how you'll get back to the 65-million-ton portfolio.
Speaker #3: Right, okay. So, no change—importantly, no nomination changes from BMA on the mines that they've still got.
Anthony Moulder: Right. Okay. Importantly, no nomination changes from BMA on the mines that they have still got.
Anthony Moulder: Right. Okay. Importantly, no nomination changes from BMA on the mines that they have still got.
Edward McKeiver: That is commercially sensitive for BMA. I will not get into that. Suffice to say, nominations can go up or down, and that is with our portfolio of contractors, which is what our customers seek.
Edward McKeiver: That is commercially sensitive for BMA. I will not get into that. Suffice to say, nominations can go up or down, and that is with our portfolio of contractors, which is what our customers seek.
Speaker #4: That's commercially sensitive for BMA, so I won't get into that. Suffice it to say, nominations can go up or down, and that's within our portfolio of contractors, which is what our customers seek.
Speaker #3: Yeah. Secondly, if I can on still on coal, that re-signing you've re-signed 60 million tons of coal contracts in the last 12 months. Can you comment then on the competitive intensity that you're seeing and the yield pressures that you're seeing more broadly across that re-contracting phase, please?
Anthony Moulder: Yeah. Secondly, if I can, still on coal, that re-signing. You have re-signed 60 million tonnes of coal contracts in the last 12 months. Can you comment then on the competitive intensity that you are seeing and the yield pressures that you are seeing more broadly across that recontracting phase, please?
Anthony Moulder: Yeah. Secondly, if I can, still on coal, that re-signing. You have re-signed 60 million tonnes of coal contracts in the last 12 months. Can you comment then on the competitive intensity that you are seeing and the yield pressures that you are seeing more broadly across that recontracting phase, please?
Speaker #4: Thanks again, Anthony. I can't get into the specifics of the contracts, of course, or the negotiations. But, as Andrew said in his speech, we've not seen material change in freight rates or deterioration during the recent contracting since July 25.
Edward McKeiver: Thanks again, Anthony. I cannot get into the specifics of the contracts, of course, and the negotiations. But as Andrew said in his speech, we have not seen material change in freight rates or deterioration during the recent contracting since 25 July. It remains a competitive market. Every renewal has its trade-offs around price, flexibility, risk sharing, and performance. However, as I said, across the portfolio, we are not seeing a material change in rate per tonne and flowing through to FY 2027.
Edward McKeiver: Thanks again, Anthony. I cannot get into the specifics of the contracts, of course, and the negotiations. But as Andrew said in his speech, we have not seen material change in freight rates or deterioration during the recent contracting since 25 July. It remains a competitive market. Every renewal has its trade-offs around price, flexibility, risk sharing, and performance. However, as I said, across the portfolio, we are not seeing a material change in rate per tonne and flowing through to FY 2027.
Speaker #4: It remains a competitive market. Every renewal has its trade-offs around price flexibility, re-sharing, and performance. However, as I said, across the portfolio, we're not seeing a material change in rate per ton flowing through to FY27.
Speaker #3: Right, okay. But some of these contracts are obviously signed for beyond 2027, so that's still potentially ahead. Is that fair to think?
Anthony Moulder: Right. Okay. But some of these contracts are obviously signed for beyond 2027, so that is still potentially ahead. Is that fair to think?
Anthony Moulder: Right. Okay. But some of these contracts are obviously signed for beyond 2027, so that is still potentially ahead. Is that fair to think?
Speaker #4: Yeah, that's fair to.
Edward McKeiver: Yeah, that's fair.
Edward McKeiver: Yeah, that's fair.
Speaker #3: If I can just ask quickly on the break-even that you're expecting through containerized freight, it sounds like it's not currently break-even, but is expected to get to that point throughout FY27.
Anthony Moulder: If I can just ask quickly on the breakeven that you're expecting through containerized freight. Sounds like it's not currently breakeven, but expected to get to that point throughout FY 2027. Will it exit FY 2027 breakeven, or will it report a breakeven result throughout FY 2027 on average, please?
Anthony Moulder: If I can just ask quickly on the breakeven that you're expecting through containerized freight. Sounds like it's not currently breakeven, but expected to get to that point throughout FY 2027. Will it exit FY 2027 breakeven, or will it report a breakeven result throughout FY 2027 on average, please?
Speaker #3: So, will it exit FY27 at break-even, or will it report a break-even result throughout FY27 on average, please?
Andrew Harding: I might get George to talk about that, Anthony.
Andrew Harding: I might get George to talk about that, Anthony.
Speaker #1: Mike, I'll get George to talk about that. Anthony?
Speaker #5: Hi, Anthony. We're expecting over the full FY27 for it to be break-even at an EBITDA level. Maybe just to give you a bit of a sense on the three things we need to deliver that.
George Lippiatt: Hey, Anthony. We're expecting over the full FY 2027 for it to be breakeven at an EBITDA level. Maybe just to give you a bit of a sense on the three things we need to deliver that. The first one is volumes. We grew volumes by 25% in FY 2026. We need to grow volumes again by 25% in FY 2027 to hit that. We're expecting half of that growth to come from new contracted volumes, including CEVA, where we're moving cars in containers and also general freight, and then the other half to come from non-contracted customers. We're expecting to see that growth come through. The second lever is on the cost side. I've talked before about our new terminal in Perth, Kewdale.
George Lippiatt: Hey, Anthony. We're expecting over the full FY 2027 for it to be breakeven at an EBITDA level. Maybe just to give you a bit of a sense on the three things we need to deliver that. The first one is volumes. We grew volumes by 25% in FY 2026. We need to grow volumes again by 25% in FY 2027 to hit that.
Speaker #5: The first one is volumes. So, we grew volumes by 25% in FY26. We need to grow volumes again by 25% in FY27 to hit that.
Speaker #5: We're expecting half of that growth to come from new contracted volumes, including SEVA, where we're moving cars in containers and also general freight. The other half is expected to come from non-contracted customers.
George Lippiatt: We're expecting half of that growth to come from new contracted volumes, including CEVA, where we're moving cars in containers and also general freight, and then the other half to come from non-contracted customers. We're expecting to see that growth come through. The second lever is on the cost side. I've talked before about our new terminal in Perth, Kewdale.
Speaker #5: So we're expecting to see that growth come through. The second lever is on the cost side. I've talked before about our new terminal in Perth, Kewdale.
Speaker #5: Maybe to remind everyone, we currently operate at Forestfield, which is a 300-metre track. We'll be moving to Kewdale in September when it becomes operational, and we'll be able to bring in two 1,800-metre trains.
George Lippiatt: Maybe to remind everyone, we currently operate at Forrestfield, which is three 300-meter tracks. We will be moving to Kewdale in September when it will become operational, and we will be able to bring in two 1,800-meter trains. That will reduce shunting time, reduce train crew costs. That gives you a sense of some of the cost efficiencies that help support that earning shift from FY 2026 to 2027.
George Lippiatt: Maybe to remind everyone, we currently operate at Forrestfield, which is three 300-meter tracks. We will be moving to Kewdale in September when it will become operational, and we will be able to bring in two 1,800-meter trains. That will reduce shunting time, reduce train crew costs. That gives you a sense of some of the cost efficiencies that help support that earning shift from FY 2026 to 2027.
Speaker #5: So that'll reduce shunting time and reduce train crew costs. That gives you a sense of some of the cost efficiencies that help support the earnings shift from FY26 to FY27.
Speaker #3: Very good. Thank you.
Anthony Moulder: Very good. Thank you.
Anthony Moulder: Very good. Thank you.
Speaker #2: Thank you. Your next question comes from Andre Vermeer from UBS. Please go ahead.
Operator: Thank you. Your next question comes from Andre Fromyhr from UBS. Please go ahead.
Operator: Thank you. Your next question comes from Andre Fromyhr from UBS. Please go ahead.
Speaker #1: Thank you. Maybe if I could pick up on that question around containerized freight. I guess if I look broadly at the Other segment—which includes it—we're seeing a minus $3 million EBITDA move year to year. But I think if you take out the legal settlement benefits from last year, it would have been more like plus $17 million.
Andre Fromyhr: Thank you. Maybe if I could pick up on that question around containerized freight. I guess if I look broadly at the other segment that includes it, we are seeing minus AUD 3 million EBITDA move year to year. But I think if you take out the legal settlement benefits from last year, it would have been more like plus 17. I am just curious to understand how much of that plus 17 would have come from movements in corporate costs versus the movements in containerized freight itself. I guess whether or not what is required, as George laid out, to get to break even in FY 2027 is as big a step as what we saw as an improvement in 2026.
Andre Fromyhr: Thank you. Maybe if I could pick up on that question around containerized freight. I guess if I look broadly at the other segment that includes it, we are seeing minus AUD 3 million EBITDA move year to year. But I think if you take out the legal settlement benefits from last year, it would have been more like plus 17.
Speaker #1: So I'm just curious to understand how much of that plus $17 would have come from movements in corporate costs versus the movements in containerized freight itself.
Andre Fromyhr: I am just curious to understand how much of that plus 17 would have come from movements in corporate costs versus the movements in containerized freight itself. I guess whether or not what is required, as George laid out, to get to break even in FY 2027 is as big a step as what we saw as an improvement in 2026.
Speaker #1: And I guess whether or not what's required, as George laid out, to get to break even in FY27 is as big a step as what we saw as an improvement in '26.
Andrew Harding: Ian, I might get you to try and help Andre with that.
Andrew Harding: Ian, I might get you to try and help Andre with that.
Speaker #1: Mike gets you to try and help Andre with that.
Speaker #5: Yeah. So, when you unpack it, Andre, the costs include—so you've quite rightly identified the legal settlement in other income. And then, when you unpack the costs, there's corporate costs or unallocated corporate costs in there, and so that'll give you a better idea of what the EBITDA contribution from CF was, which for the year was obviously a loss, which we've called out.
George Lippiatt: Yeah. So when you unpack it, Andre, the costs include, so you have quite rightly identified the legal settlement in other income. Then when you unpack the cost, is corporate costs or unallocated corporate costs in there? So that will give you a better idea of what the EBITDA contribution from the CF was, which for the year was obviously a loss, which we have called out, an EBITDA loss.
Ian Wells: Yeah. So when you unpack it, Andre, the costs include, so you have quite rightly identified the legal settlement in other income. Then when you unpack the cost, is corporate costs or unallocated corporate costs in there? So that will give you a better idea of what the EBITDA contribution from the CF was, which for the year was obviously a loss, which we have called out, an EBITDA loss.
Speaker #5: An EBITDA loss.
Speaker #1: Anything else? I guess I'm just talking about the scale of improvement. If it improved by $10 to $15 million, is that the same order of magnitude that you've got to improve by in FY27 as well?
Andre Fromyhr: I guess I am just talking about the scale of improvement. If it improved by 10 to 15 million, is that the same order of magnitude that you have got to improve by in FY 2027 as well?
Andre Fromyhr: I guess I am just talking about the scale of improvement. If it improved by 10 to 15 million, is that the same order of magnitude that you have got to improve by in FY 2027 as well?
Speaker #5: George, do you want to say something else?
Andrew Harding: George, do you want to see if you can help?
Andrew Harding: George, do you want to see if you can help?
Speaker #3: Yeah, sure, Andre. No, it needs to be a bigger improvement from an earnings perspective in '27 compared to what we saw in '26. A few things I'd call out that are behind that.
George Lippiatt: Yeah, sure, Andre. No, it needs to be a bigger improvement from an earnings perspective in 2027 compared to what we saw in 2026. A few things that I'd call out that are behind that. The first one is, we only started moving the CEVA volumes in April, contracted in June, so we'll get the full benefit in FY 2027 of that. Secondly, we'll get Kewdale online in September, which will drive the cost benefit. Then the other thing I'd say is in the H2 of FY 2026, in containerized freight, we had multiple weeks of track outages, which we're not assuming to repeat, and that's consistent with how we provide our guidance to the market.
George Lippiatt: Yeah, sure, Andre. No, it needs to be a bigger improvement from an earnings perspective in 2027 compared to what we saw in 2026. A few things that I'd call out that are behind that. The first one is, we only started moving the CEVA volumes in April, contracted in June, so we'll get the full benefit in FY 2027 of that.
Speaker #3: The first one is, we only started moving the SEVA volumes in April, contracted in June. So we'll get the full benefit in FY27 of that.
Speaker #3: Secondly, we'll get Kewdale online in September, which will drive the cost benefit. And then, the other thing I'd say is, in the second half of FY26 in containerized freight, we had multiple weeks of track outages, which we're not assuming to repeat—and that's consistent with how we provide our guidance to the market.
George Lippiatt: Secondly, we'll get Kewdale online in September, which will drive the cost benefit. Then the other thing I'd say is in the H2 of FY 2026, in containerized freight, we had multiple weeks of track outages, which we're not assuming to repeat, and that's consistent with how we provide our guidance to the market.
Speaker #1: Sure. No, that's perfect. And then maybe one for Ian, just to pick up on the comments he was making earlier in the prepared remarks about the capital intensity.
Andre Fromyhr: Sure. No, that's perfect. Then maybe one for Ian, just to pick up on the comments he was making earlier, in the prepared remarks about the capital intensity. I guess if we look at the above rail coal maintenance CapEx to D&A, I know this is a topic we've spoken about before, but it fell again year-on-year to only 39% for FY 2026. So I guess I'm curious to understand, how much of that is a factor of where you are in the cycle and reflecting the investments that you've made in terms of asset productivity, but also a more broad question about what's a more normal rate going forward, and is that a combination of CapEx coming up and D&A coming down because you're now a less capital-intensive business? Or just how we should think about that.
Andre Fromyhr: Sure. No, that's perfect. Then maybe one for Ian, just to pick up on the comments he was making earlier, in the prepared remarks about the capital intensity. I guess if we look at the above rail coal maintenance CapEx to D&A, I know this is a topic we've spoken about before, but it fell again year-on-year to only 39% for FY 2026.
Speaker #1: I guess if we look at the above-rail coal maintenance capex to DNA, I know this is a topic we've spoken about before, but it fell again year on year to only 39% for FY26.
Speaker #1: So, I guess I'm curious to understand how much of that is a factor of where you are in the cycle and reflecting the investments that you've made, in terms of asset productivity, but also a broader question about what's a more normal rate going forward.
Andre Fromyhr: So I guess I'm curious to understand, how much of that is a factor of where you are in the cycle and reflecting the investments that you've made in terms of asset productivity, but also a more broad question about what's a more normal rate going forward, and is that a combination of CapEx coming up and D&A coming down because you're now a less capital-intensive business? Or just how we should think about that.
Speaker #1: And is that a combination of capex coming up and D&A coming down because you're now a less capital-intensive business, or just how we should think about that?
Speaker #5: Yeah, okay. Well, there's a few moving parts. So firstly, I'd say with respect to coal, it is part of the cycle—and that's point number one.
George Lippiatt: Yeah. Okay. Well, there's a few moving parts. So firstly, I'd say with respect to coal, that it is part of the cycle. That's point number one. Point number two, if you separate sustaining capital from growth, which I think that what you're looking at, is that we are investing at less than depreciation, which as a major infrastructure company, that's what you would expect. However, we will go through peaks and troughs. A big part of coal, for example, is refurbishment programs, which you do over time. So this is all scheduled and known and taken into consideration of all of our operating and capital cost planning.
Ian Wells: Yeah. Okay. Well, there's a few moving parts. So firstly, I'd say with respect to coal, that it is part of the cycle. That's point number one. Point number two, if you separate sustaining capital from growth, which I think that what you're looking at, is that we are investing at less than depreciation, which as a major infrastructure company, that's what you would expect. However, we will go through peaks and troughs. A big part of coal, for example, is refurbishment programs, which you do over time. So this is all scheduled and known and taken into consideration of all of our operating and capital cost planning.
Speaker #5: And point number two, if you separate sustaining capital from growth—which I think when you look at it—is that we are investing at less than depreciation, which is significant for a major infrastructure company.
Speaker #5: That's what you would expect. However, we will go through peaks and troughs. A big part of coal, for example, is refurbishment programs, which you do over time.
Speaker #5: But this is all scheduled and known, and taken into consideration in all of our operating and capital cost planning.
Speaker #1: Okay. Thank you.
Andre Fromyhr: Okay. Thank you.
Andre Fromyhr: Okay. Thank you.
Speaker #2: Thank you. Your next question comes from Matt Ryan from Barron Joey. Please go ahead.
Operator: Thank you. Your next question comes from Matt Ryan from Barrenjoey. Please go ahead.
Operator: Thank you. Your next question comes from Matt Ryan from Barrenjoey. Please go ahead.
Speaker #1: Well, thank you. I just had a question on the contracted coal volume expectations for the next four months, and I guess specifically around those customers that have right-sized their coal contract nominations.
Matt Ryan: Well, thank you. I just had a question on the contracted coal volume expectations for the next 12 months, and I guess specifically around those customers that have right-sized their coal contract nominations. I guess I'm trying to sort of interpret what's happening here. I'm just interested in your thoughts on whether this is being driven by the expectations for haulage being lower or whether it's perhaps driven by some sort of cost-saving initiative. And the expectation is maybe that they potentially will haul but won't have the certainty of volume, so they could potentially move into the spot market, for example.
Matt Ryan: Well, thank you. I just had a question on the contracted coal volume expectations for the next 12 months, and I guess specifically around those customers that have right-sized their coal contract nominations. I guess I'm trying to sort of interpret what's happening here. I'm just interested in your thoughts on whether this is being driven by the expectations for haulage being lower or whether it's perhaps driven by some sort of cost-saving initiative. And the expectation is maybe that they potentially will haul but won't have the certainty of volume, so they could potentially move into the spot market, for example.
Speaker #1: So I guess I'm trying to sort of interpret what's happening here. And just interested in your thoughts on whether this is being driven by the expectations for haulage being lower or whether it's perhaps driven by some sort of cost-saving initiative and the expectation is maybe that they potentially will haul, but won't have the certainty of volumes they could potentially move into the spot market, for example.
Speaker #1: So, it's interesting to hear your thoughts on what's happening there.
Andrew Harding: Yeah.
Andrew Harding: Yeah.
Matt Ryan: Just interested in your thoughts on what's happening there.
Matt Ryan: Just interested in your thoughts on what's happening there.
Speaker #4: Sorry, that's a great question, Matt. Look, when I—I'd start at the top, actually. If you look at demand for the coal in the markets that Australia applies to, it's quite strong.
Andrew Harding: Sorry, that's a great question, Matt. Look, I'll start at the top, actually. If you look at demand for coal, in the markets that Australia supplies to, it's quite strong. And you can see Australia's actually losing market share in countries like India, and we're losing it to Russia, et cetera. If you step back and say, well, if that's happening, there's something probably a Challenge with supply. If you look in both states, there's different reasons for why supply is not keeping up with demand. If you look at the, just by way of example, and I mentioned it very briefly in my speech, if you look at the Queensland coal royalty situation, then you've clearly got a lot of angst being expressed by our customers publicly, quite strongly.
Andrew Harding: Sorry, that's a great question, Matt. Look, I'll start at the top, actually. If you look at demand for coal, in the markets that Australia supplies to, it's quite strong. And you can see Australia's actually losing market share in countries like India, and we're losing it to Russia, et cetera. If you step back and say, well, if that's happening, there's something probably a Challenge with supply.
Speaker #4: And you can see Australia is actually losing market share in countries like India, and we're losing it to Russia, etc. And if you step back and say, well, if that's happening, there's probably a challenge with supply.
Speaker #4: And if you look in both states, there are different reasons for why supply is not keeping up with demand. And then, if you look at—just by way of example, and I mentioned that very briefly in my speech—if you look at the Queensland coal royalty situation, then you've clearly got a lot of angst being expressed by our customers, publicly, quite strongly.
Andrew Harding: If you look in both states, there's different reasons for why supply is not keeping up with demand. If you look at the, just by way of example, and I mentioned it very briefly in my speech, if you look at the Queensland coal royalty situation, then you've clearly got a lot of angst being expressed by our customers publicly, quite strongly.
Speaker #4: So you’ve really got a policy setting and supply-side settings driving Australian supply into a higher demand market. So, if I think of having managed a lot of mines in the past, if I think about my reaction to those sorts of situations, and if I put myself in Queensland, particularly, and I'm taking a view that actually the royalty situation is not conducive to investment, then— and I add in a second thing, which is cost pressures, which the customers are clearly under and have talked about regularly in public communications.
Andrew Harding: You've really got a policy setting and supply side settings driving Australian supply into a higher demand market. If I think of my having managed a lot of mines in the past, if I think about my reaction to those sort of situation, and if I put myself in Queensland, particularly, I know I'm taking a view that actually, the royalty situation is not conducive to investment. Adding a second thing, which is cost pressures, which the customers are clearly under and have talked about regularly, in public communications, you'd be reacting to that. To your very point, one of the ways that you can actually manage your cost exposure, if you take a view that, from a contracting point of view, you might risk reducing the volumes that you contract closer to your actual mine plan.
Andrew Harding: You've really got a policy setting and supply side settings driving Australian supply into a higher demand market. If I think of my having managed a lot of mines in the past, if I think about my reaction to those sort of situation, and if I put myself in Queensland, particularly, I know I'm taking a view that actually, the royalty situation is not conducive to investment. Adding a second thing, which is cost pressures, which the customers are clearly under and have talked about regularly, in public communications, you'd be reacting to that.
Speaker #4: You'd be reacting to that. So, to your very point, one of the ways that you can actually manage your cost exposure, if you take a view that, from a contracting point of view, you might risk reducing the volumes that you contract to be closer to your actual mine plan—which mine plans are updated, all assumptions that our business will make about its near, medium-term, to longer-term future.
Andrew Harding: To your very point, one of the ways that you can actually manage your cost exposure, if you take a view that, from a contracting point of view, you might risk reducing the volumes that you contract closer to your actual mine plan.
Andrew Harding: Mine plans are updated all the time, and they reflect all the assumptions that a business will make about its near and medium term to longer term future. You make that cost decision. No decision's risk-free. One of the risks that you actually get when you actually make a decision like that is, if the world turns out to the upside from a production point of view, then you'll have to compensate for those decisions, probably, for example, in the spot market and those sort of things. Hopefully that gives you some color as to what we believe is happening. Look, it just occurred to me that, when Ed finished his answer to Anthony, I think it was, I should make it clear that there is no material change in haulage rates for the 60 million tonnes recontracted since July 2025.
Andrew Harding: Mine plans are updated all the time, and they reflect all the assumptions that a business will make about its near and medium term to longer term future. You make that cost decision. No decision's risk-free. One of the risks that you actually get when you actually make a decision like that is, if the world turns out to the upside from a production point of view, then you'll have to compensate for those decisions, probably, for example, in the spot market and those sort of things.
Speaker #4: So you make that you make that cost decision. No decisions risk-free. So one of the risks that you actually get when you actually make a decision like that is if there is the world turns out to be to the upside from a production point of view, then you'll have to compensate for those decisions probably for example, in the spot market and those sort of things.
Speaker #4: So hopefully that gives you some color as to what we believe is happening. And, look, I should also— it just occurred to me that when Ed finished his answer to Anthony, I think it was— I should make it clear that there is no material change in haulage rates for the 60 million tonnes we've recontracted since July 2025.
Andrew Harding: Hopefully that gives you some color as to what we believe is happening. Look, it just occurred to me that, when Ed finished his answer to Anthony, I think it was, I should make it clear that there is no material change in haulage rates for the 60 million tonnes recontracted since July 2025.
Speaker #4: It just reflected that that might have been a possibility of misconstruing what he said. And then, if you think about what's seen on the contract expiry chart, which he was talking to at the time, we still have contracts to renew, and the outcome of those negotiations will, of course, impact coal earnings in future years. But you've got to get through the contract negotiation cycle to actually get to that point.
Andrew Harding: Just reflected that that might have been a possibility of misconstruing what he said. If you think about what's seen on the contract expiry chart, which he was talking to at the time, we still have contracts to renew and that the outcome of those negotiations will, of course, impact our coal earnings in future years. You've got to get through the contract negotiation cycle to actually get to that point.
Andrew Harding: Just reflected that that might have been a possibility of misconstruing what he said. If you think about what's seen on the contract expiry chart, which he was talking to at the time, we still have contracts to renew and that the outcome of those negotiations will, of course, impact our coal earnings in future years. You've got to get through the contract negotiation cycle to actually get to that point.
Speaker #1: And just to be clear, on those right-sized contracts within your guidance, you've effectively taken a hit for the capacity charge that you would receive going down, but you haven't assumed anything for spot volumes that would offset that at all?
Matt Ryan: Just to be clear on those right-sized contracts, though. Within your guidance, you've effectively taken a hit for the capacity charge that you would receive going down, but you haven't assumed anything for spot volumes that would offset that at all?
Matt Ryan: Just to be clear on those right-sized contracts, though. Within your guidance, you've effectively taken a hit for the capacity charge that you would receive going down, but you haven't assumed anything for spot volumes that would offset that at all?
Speaker #4: So it's exactly—if you think about what happens in the way that the coal business gets its revenue, it gets it from the supply of capacity.
Andrew Harding: It is exactly, if you think about what happens in the way that the coal business gets its revenue, it gets it from the supply of capacity. The capacity sits there and it is just available, and you have got to be able to supply it on demand. Then you get a payment that is associated with how many tonnes you actually move, and that is to incentivize the moving of the volume. When we talk about capacity contracted volume going down, being the driver of revenue, you can see that in the volumes, we are talking about the volume being flat from year to year. It is actually that capacity charge that is actually being reduced. Yeah, stop there.
Andrew Harding: It is exactly, if you think about what happens in the way that the coal business gets its revenue, it gets it from the supply of capacity. The capacity sits there and it is just available, and you have got to be able to supply it on demand.
Speaker #4: So the capacity sits there and it's just available. And you've got to be able to supply it on demand, and then you get a payment that's associated with how many tons you actually move.
Andrew Harding: Then you get a payment that is associated with how many tonnes you actually move, and that is to incentivize the moving of the volume. When we talk about capacity contracted volume going down, being the driver of revenue, you can see that in the volumes, we are talking about the volume being flat from year to year. It is actually that capacity charge that is actually being reduced. Yeah, stop there.
Speaker #4: And that's to incentivize the moving of the volume. So when we talk about the capacity contracted volume going down, being the driver of revenue, you can see that in that the volumes—we're talking about the volume being flat from year to year.
Speaker #4: So it's actually that capacity charge that's actually being reduced. And, yeah, I'll stop there.
Speaker #1: Fair enough. And then just on the decision not to announce another buyback today?
Matt Ryan: Fair enough. Just the decision not coming out for another buyback today?
Matt Ryan: Fair enough. Just the decision not coming out for another buyback today?
Speaker #4: So, the decision-making behind buybacks, from a process point of view—if you look at the way the Board's done it in the past—you make it based on your assessment of where things are.
Andrew Harding: The decision-making behind buybacks from a process point of view, if you look at the way the board has done it in the past, you make it based on your assessment of where things are at moment in time and where you think the world will be. I mean, that is pretty generic sort of statement. If you look at Aurizon's practice with announced buybacks, at the full year end, at the half year end, we are not necessarily trying to establish a pattern as to what time of the year that we would actually announce a buyback. The board will consider the matters that lead into a decision like that, and make a decision at the right time.
Andrew Harding: The decision-making behind buybacks from a process point of view, if you look at the way the board has done it in the past, you make it based on your assessment of where things are at moment in time and where you think the world will be. I mean, that is pretty generic sort of statement. If you look at Aurizon's practice with announced buybacks, at the full year end, at the half year end, we are not necessarily trying to establish a pattern as to what time of the year that we would actually announce a buyback. The board will consider the matters that lead into a decision like that, and make a decision at the right time.
Speaker #4: At the moment in time and where you think the world will be—I mean, it's a pretty generic sort of statement. If you look at Aurizon's practice with announced buybacks, at the full year-end, at the half-year, and there's no—we're not necessarily trying to establish a pattern as to what time of the year that we would actually announce a buyback.
Speaker #4: So the board will consider the matters that lead into a decision like that, and make a decision at the right time.
Speaker #1: Got it. Thank you. I appreciate it.
Matt Ryan: Great. Thank you. Appreciate it.
Matt Ryan: Great. Thank you. Appreciate it.
Speaker #2: Thank you. Your next question comes from Jacob Kakanis from JARD, Australia. Please go ahead.
Operator: Thank you. Your next question comes from Jakob Cakarnis from Jarden Australia. Please go ahead.
Operator: Thank you. Your next question comes from Jakob Cakarnis from Jarden Australia. Please go ahead.
Speaker #5: Hi, Andrew. Hi, Ian. I just wanted to pick up on the other segment, if I could, please. It's probably not the first time that we've had the expectation that we'd get back to break-even for that division.
Jakob Cakarnis [VP of Equity Research: Hi, Andrew. Hi, Ian. I just wanted to pick up on the other segment, if I could, please. It's probably not the first time that we've had the expectation that we'd get back to breakeven for that division. But notwithstanding that, there's been really strong volume growth. I'm just trying to tie together the volume growth and the operating leverage in that business. It looks like FY 2026 EBITDA for containerized freight was at or around the FY 2024 levels. So what gets us back to breakeven from here? Appreciate that there's some costs, but how do we get confidence that volume's the driver that George was just describing, please?
Jakob Cakarnis: Hi, Andrew. Hi, Ian. I just wanted to pick up on the other segment, if I could, please. It's probably not the first time that we've had the expectation that we'd get back to breakeven for that division. But notwithstanding that, there's been really strong volume growth.
Speaker #5: But notwithstanding that, there's been really strong volume growth. So I'm just trying to tie together the volume growth and the operating leverage in that business.
Jakob Cakarnis: I'm just trying to tie together the volume growth and the operating leverage in that business. It looks like FY 2026 EBITDA for containerized freight was at or around the FY 2024 levels. So what gets us back to breakeven from here? Appreciate that there's some costs, but how do we get confidence that volume's the driver that George was just describing, please?
Speaker #5: It looks like FY26 EBITDA for containerized freight was at or around the FY24 levels. So, what gets us back to break-even from here? I appreciate that there's some cost, but how do we get confidence that volumes are the driver that George was just describing, please?
Speaker #1: Yeah, I might get George to talk through those details rather than Ian.
Andrew Harding: Yeah, I might get George to talk through those details rather than me.
Andrew Harding: Yeah, I might get George to talk through those details rather than me.
Speaker #2: Hey, Jake. Yeah, I'll start with '26, then I'll move to '27. So, there's three things to be aware of in '26. Yes, we had strong volume growth—25% higher TEUs—but we had three things that impacted the business.
George Lippiatt: Hey, Jake. Yeah. I'll start with 2026, then I'll move to 2027. There's three things to be aware of in 2026. Yes, we had strong volume growth, 25% higher TEUs, but we had three things that impacted the business. The first was we're paying SCT to do that drop and hook arrangement. We had to enter into that because we couldn't get into Brisbane for a quarter of the year with the Cross River Rail closures, which will continue for three years. So there's an extra cost to that we have to offset with volume. The second driver was, particularly in the second half, we had about three weeks of track outages, which impacted us on the revenue line, but we've still got to keep paying train crew and paying for track access in other parts of the country where the track wasn't out.
George Lippiatt: Hey, Jake. Yeah. I'll start with 2026, then I'll move to 2027. There's three things to be aware of in 2026. Yes, we had strong volume growth, 25% higher TEUs, but we had three things that impacted the business.
Speaker #2: The first was, we're paying SCT to do that hook-and-pull arrangement. Now, we had to enter into that because we couldn't get into Brisbane for a quarter of the year with the crossover rail closures, which will continue for three years.
George Lippiatt: The first was we're paying SCT to do that drop and hook arrangement. We had to enter into that because we couldn't get into Brisbane for a quarter of the year with the Cross River Rail closures, which will continue for three years. So there's an extra cost to that we have to offset with volume. The second driver was, particularly in the second half, we had about three weeks of track outages, which impacted us on the revenue line, but we've still got to keep paying train crew and paying for track access in other parts of the country where the track wasn't out.
Speaker #2: So there's an extra cost to that, that we have to offset with volume. The second driver was particularly in the second half—we had about three weeks of track outages.
Speaker #2: Which impacted us on the revenue line, but we've still got to keep paying train crew and paying for track access in other parts of the country where the track wasn't out.
Speaker #2: And the third thing to note is we stood up a new service. So we started the year running four Melbourne to Perth services. We're now running five Melbourne to Perth services.
Edward McKeiver: The third thing to note is we stood up a new service. We started the year running four Melbourne to Perth services. We are now running five Melbourne to Perth services, and it takes some time to utilize those. Those are the three things in FY 2026. When you look at the biggest step we have got to take now from an earnings perspective in 2027, you have got the contracted CEVA volumes, you have got cost efficiencies, and then you have got the broader market growth. That third one, we do not contract full volume. We do not have capacity charge in containerized freight, so it will depend on how the broader macro economy goes in Australia. But we have seen volumes in July up about 10% on the prior corresponding period. So we are getting there, but hopefully that gives you some color.
George Lippiatt: The third thing to note is we stood up a new service. We started the year running four Melbourne to Perth services. We are now running five Melbourne to Perth services, and it takes some time to utilize those. Those are the three things in FY 2026. When you look at the biggest step we have got to take now from an earnings perspective in 2027, you have got the contracted CEVA volumes, you have got cost efficiencies, and then you have got the broader market growth.
Speaker #2: And it takes some time to utilize those. So there are three things in FY26. When you look at the biggest step we’ve got to take now, from an earnings perspective in ’27, you’ve got the contracted SEVA volumes, you’ve got cost efficiencies, and then you’ve got the broader market growth.
Speaker #2: Now, that third one—we don't contract for volume, and we don't have a capacity charge in containerized freight. So it will depend on how the broader macroeconomy goes in Australia.
George Lippiatt: That third one, we do not contract full volume. We do not have capacity charge in containerized freight, so it will depend on how the broader macro economy goes in Australia. But we have seen volumes in July up about 10% on the prior corresponding period. So we are getting there, but hopefully that gives you some color.
Speaker #2: But we have seen volumes in July up about 10% on the prior corresponding period, so we're getting there. Hopefully, that gives you some color.
Speaker #5: Thanks, George. Yeah, so GDP growth is the right way to think about volumes for that business. Obviously, July is trending better than that. I'm just trying to draw the link between volume and the earnings, the balance probably being rate.
Jakob Cakarnis [VP of Equity Research: Thanks, George. GDP growth, is that the right way to think about volumes for that business? Obviously, July trending better than that. I am just trying to draw the link between volume and the earnings, the balance probably being rate. How do we think about that with utilization?
Jakob Cakarnis: Thanks, George. GDP growth, is that the right way to think about volumes for that business? Obviously, July trending better than that. I am just trying to draw the link between volume and the earnings, the balance probably being rate. How do we think about that with utilization?
Speaker #5: How should we think about that in terms of utilization?
Speaker #2: Yeah, rate's pretty consistent. It will be volume growth. So I mentioned about 10% growth versus the prior corresponding period. We need to see about 20% to 25% volume growth to hit that break-even earnings number.
George Lippiatt: Yeah. Rate is pretty consistent. It will be volume growth. So I mentioned about 10% growth versus the prior corresponding period. We need to see about 20% to 25% volume growth to hit that breakeven earnings number. What you tend to see in containerized freight is a strong October, November. It is called peak period, leading into Christmas, and then you see another mini peak coming into Easter. So October to November are kind of our grand final quarter, put it that way.
George Lippiatt: Yeah. Rate is pretty consistent. It will be volume growth. So I mentioned about 10% growth versus the prior corresponding period. We need to see about 20% to 25% volume growth to hit that breakeven earnings number. What you tend to see in containerized freight is a strong October, November. It is called peak period, leading into Christmas, and then you see another mini peak coming into Easter. So October to November are kind of our grand final quarter, put it that way.
Speaker #2: And what you tend to see in containerized freight is a strong October/November—it's called the peak period leading into Christmas. And then you see another mini peak coming into Easter.
Speaker #2: So October to November are kind of our grand final quarter, put it that way.
Speaker #5: Understood. Thanks for the color, George. Just one for Ed—it's been a while since we've seen the take-or-pay mix across the business generally, particularly for coal.
Jakob Cakarnis [VP of Equity Research: Understood. Thanks for the color, George. Just one for Ed. It has been a while since we have seen the take-or-pay mix across the business generally, particularly for coal. But can you just give us a sense where that stands from a portfolio perspective, just taking into account the recontracting, please?
Jakob Cakarnis: Understood. Thanks for the color, George. Just one for Ed. It has been a while since we have seen the take-or-pay mix across the business generally, particularly for coal. But can you just give us a sense where that stands from a portfolio perspective, just taking into account the recontracting, please?
Speaker #5: But could you just give us a sense of where that stands from a portfolio perspective, just taking into account the re-contracting, please?
Speaker #2: Yeah, thanks for the question. At a portfolio level, it hasn't changed materially, and we're still sitting between 50% and 60%.
Edward McKeiver: Yeah. Thanks for the question. At a portfolio level, it has not changed materially, and we are still sitting between 50% and 60%.
Edward McKeiver: Yeah. Thanks for the question. At a portfolio level, it has not changed materially, and we are still sitting between 50% and 60%.
Speaker #5: Thanks, Ed.
Jakob Cakarnis [VP of Equity Research: Thanks, Ed.
Jakob Cakarnis: Thanks, Ed.
Speaker #1: Thank you. Your next question comes from Justin Barrett from CLSA. Please go ahead.
Operator: Thank you. Your next question comes from Justin Barratt from CLSA. Please go ahead.
Operator: Thank you. Your next question comes from Justin Barratt from CLSA. Please go ahead.
Speaker #6: Hey guys, thanks very much for the opportunity today. Maybe a question for Andrew—just sort of coming back to your, I guess, holistic response to Matt's question on, I guess, coal shipments out of Australia.
Justin Barratt: Hey, guys. Thanks very much for the opportunity today. Maybe a question for Andrew. Just coming back to your, I guess, holistic response to Matt's question on, I guess, coal shipments out of Australia. I guess, given the context of everything that you said there, it to me reads like it may be difficult to get yield growth in that coal business for a couple of years or the next few years without meaningful volume growth. Is that fair to say, or have I guess, misread some of your comments there?
Justin Barratt: Hey, guys. Thanks very much for the opportunity today. Maybe a question for Andrew. Just coming back to your, I guess, holistic response to Matt's question on, I guess, coal shipments out of Australia. I guess, given the context of everything that you said there, it to me reads like it may be difficult to get yield growth in that coal business for a couple of years or the next few years without meaningful volume growth. Is that fair to say, or have I guess, misread some of your comments there?
Speaker #6: I guess given the context of everything that you sort of said there, it to me sort of reads like it may be difficult to get yield growth in that coal business for a couple of years or the next few years without meaningful volume growth.
Speaker #6: Is that fair to say, or have I, I guess, misread some of your comments there?
Speaker #4: I was talking about the potential for volume growth specifically. When I was answering the question, at the end of the day, when you're talking about any other factors that come into play, it'll depend on the competitive environment that you're in at that moment in time, the decisions that the customer is trying to make, and when they're trying to make those decisions.
Andrew Harding: I was talking about the potential for volume growth specifically, when I was answering the question. At the end of the day, when you are talking about any other factors that come into play, it will depend on the competitive environment that you are in at that moment in time, the decisions that the customer is trying to make and when they are trying to make those decisions. I was making comments about volume.
Andrew Harding: I was talking about the potential for volume growth specifically, when I was answering the question. At the end of the day, when you are talking about any other factors that come into play, it will depend on the competitive environment that you are in at that moment in time, the decisions that the customer is trying to make and when they are trying to make those decisions. I was making comments about volume.
Speaker #4: So, I was making comments about volume.
Speaker #6: Okay, understood. And then just with the Hunter Valley contracted volumes that you lost, I guess based on slide 18, which is super helpful, I guess I sort of read that there was a fair bit of take or pay that will help increase that utilization into FY27, but there's less volumes.
Justin Barratt: Okay. Understood. Then just with the Hunter Valley contracted volumes that you lost, I guess based on slide 18, which is super helpful. I guess I sort of read that there was a fair bit of take or pay that will help increase that utilization into FY 2027 with those lost volumes. With the BMA recontracting that you announced today, how should we think about utilization potentially into FY 2028? Do we think it would step up again? Is there a reduction in take or pay as part of that recontracting that should drive that utilization potentially higher again into 2028?
Justin Barratt: Okay. Understood. Then just with the Hunter Valley contracted volumes that you lost, I guess based on slide 18, which is super helpful. I guess I sort of read that there was a fair bit of take or pay that will help increase that utilization into FY 2027 with those lost volumes. With the BMA recontracting that you announced today, how should we think about utilization potentially into FY 2028? Do we think it would step up again? Is there a reduction in take or pay as part of that recontracting that should drive that utilization potentially higher again into 2028?
Speaker #6: And so, with the BMA recontracting that you announced today, how should we think about utilization potentially into FY28? Do we think it would step up again?
Speaker #6: Is there a reduction in take-or-pay as part of that recontracting that should drive that utilization potentially higher again into '28?
Speaker #4: Ed, do you want to talk about your contracting?
Andrew Harding: Ed, do you want to talk about your contracting?
Andrew Harding: Ed, do you want to talk about your contracting?
Speaker #2: Yeah, sure. Thanks for the question. I can't get into the specifics of the nomination in relation to any particular customer, including the cessation of that previously announced contract loss.
Edward McKeiver: Yeah, sure. Thanks for the question. I cannot get into the specifics of the nomination in relation to, well, any particular customer, including the cessation of that previously announced contract loss. What I can say is our customers value nomination flexibility, so ups and downs as their end user demand for their product changes. But at a macro level, as Andrew and Ian have outlined, whilst the headline contracted volume number has come down by 20 million tons, we actually expect hauled volumes to be broadly flat. And that will mean that contract utilization will rise from the low 80s to closer to 90%. So we will move the same volume, but the revenue mix will shift toward a lower yielding usage charge.
Edward McKeiver: Yeah, sure. Thanks for the question. I cannot get into the specifics of the nomination in relation to, well, any particular customer, including the cessation of that previously announced contract loss. What I can say is our customers value nomination flexibility, so ups and downs as their end user demand for their product changes.
Speaker #2: I mean, what I can say is our customers value the contractive nomination flexibility. So, ups and downs in their end-user demand for their product changes.
Speaker #2: But at a macro level, as Andrew and Evan have outlined, whilst the headline contracted volume number has come down by 20 million tonnes, we actually expect total volumes to be broadly flat.
Edward McKeiver: But at a macro level, as Andrew and Ian have outlined, whilst the headline contracted volume number has come down by 20 million tons, we actually expect hauled volumes to be broadly flat. And that will mean that contract utilization will rise from the low 80s to closer to 90%. So we will move the same volume, but the revenue mix will shift toward a lower yielding usage charge.
Speaker #2: And that will mean that contract utilization will rise from the low 80s to closer to 90%. So, we'll move the same volume, but the revenue mix will shift toward a lower yield and usage charge.
Speaker #6: Okay, great. Thanks for that.
Justin Barratt: Okay, great. Thanks for that.
Justin Barratt: Okay, great. Thanks for that.
Speaker #1: Thank you. Your next question comes from Rob Coe from Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.
Operator: Thank you. Your next question comes from Rob Koh from Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.
Operator: Thank you. Your next question comes from Rob Koh from Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.
Speaker #4: Good morning. I just wanted to make sure I understood some of your transformation and efficiency initiatives. In Coal, you've called out a $30 million three-year target.
Rob Koh: Good morning. I just wanted to make sure I understood some of your transformation and efficiency initiatives. In coal, you have called out a AUD 30 million, three-year target. I wonder if you could give us any color on the timing of that and the cost to achieve. Is that cost to achieve included in the AUD 25 million CapEx target?
Rob Koh: Good morning. I just wanted to make sure I understood some of your transformation and efficiency initiatives. In coal, you have called out a AUD 30 million, three-year target. I wonder if you could give us any color on the timing of that and the cost to achieve. Is that cost to achieve included in the AUD 25 million CapEx guidance this year for transformation. I guess there is also AUD 50 million transformation project costs scheduled for this year. I wonder if you could just help me understand which buckets I should be putting those numbers in, please.
Speaker #4: I wonder if you could give us any color on the timing of that and the cost to achieve. And is that cost to achieve included in the $25 million capex guidance this year for transformation?
Rob Koh: guidance this year for transformation. I guess there is also AUD 50 million transformation project costs scheduled for this year. I wonder if you could just help me understand which buckets I should be putting those numbers in, please.
Speaker #4: And then I guess there's also $50 million transformation project costs scheduled for this year. I wonder if you could just help me understand which buckets I should be putting those numbers in, please.
Speaker #4: Great. Ed, do you want to talk through the coal transformation program that you've launched?
Andrew Harding: Ed, do you want to talk through the coal transformation program that you are launching?
Andrew Harding: Ed, do you want to talk through the coal transformation program that you are launching?
Speaker #2: Yes, thank you, Andrew. And I can certainly talk to the capital for our program. So maybe just at a high level, I'll just reiterate what Ian said—that we're really focused on what we can control.
Edward McKeiver: Yes, thank you, Andrew. I can certainly talk to the capital for our program. Maybe just at a high level, I will just reiterate what Ian said, that we are really focused on what we can control, and we have got a track record for disciplined cost management. Starting with that, I wanted to make the point that we intend to hold cost flat again in nominal terms, which will be the third consecutive year. We should also keep in mind we are working hard to secure the contract pipeline and maximize those volumes. There are value levers in addition to the coal transformation program. We have already right-sized the workforce and locomotive fleet after the contract cessation in New South Wales, having retained some capacity for spot volumes, which we are trying to pick up at the moment.
Edward McKeiver: Yes, thank you, Andrew. I can certainly talk to the capital for our program. Maybe just at a high level, I will just reiterate what Ian said, that we are really focused on what we can control, and we have got a track record for disciplined cost management.
Speaker #2: And so we've got a track record for disciplined cost management. So, starting with that, I wanted to make the point that we intend to hold costs flat again in nominal terms, which would be the third consecutive year.
Edward McKeiver: Starting with that, I wanted to make the point that we intend to hold cost flat again in nominal terms, which will be the third consecutive year. We should also keep in mind we are working hard to secure the contract pipeline and maximize those volumes. There are value levers in addition to the coal transformation program. We have already right-sized the workforce and locomotive fleet after the contract cessation in New South Wales, having retained some capacity for spot volumes, which we are trying to pick up at the moment.
Speaker #2: We're also I didn't want to we should also keep in mind we're working hard to secure the contract pipeline and maximize those volumes. So there's levers value levers in addition to the coal transformation program.
Speaker #2: We've already right-sized the workforce and locomotive fleet after the contract cessation in New South Wales. We've retained some capacity for spot volumes, which we're trying to pick up at the moment.
Speaker #2: So in terms of the three-year coal transformation program, which you've rightly articulated as 30 million over three years, we're looking at to give you a bit of color, we're looking at opportunities in the deployment really the planning scheduling and deployment of our assets.
Edward McKeiver: In terms of the three-year coal transformation program, which you have rightly articulated as AUD 30 million over three years, to give you a bit of color, we are looking at opportunities in the deployment, really the planning, scheduling, and deployment of our assets. So a focus on productivity, on maintenance efficiency, on overheads, and general operating model improvements. In relation to the capital, the capital is phased over the three years. We have to approach it in a digestible way, and some improvement initiatives follow on from others. The first thing we are going to look at is some technology integration in our deployment center during the course of this year to enable us to make better decisions on the day of operations and make better use of the capacity deployed.
Edward McKeiver: In terms of the three-year coal transformation program, which you have rightly articulated as AUD 30 million over three years, to give you a bit of color, we are looking at opportunities in the deployment, really the planning, scheduling, and deployment of our assets. So a focus on productivity, on maintenance efficiency, on overheads, and general operating model improvements. In relation to the capital, the capital is phased over the three years. We have to approach it in a digestible way, and some improvement initiatives follow on from others.
Speaker #2: So, a focus on productivity, on maintenance efficiency, on overheads, and general operating model improvements. In relation to the capital, the capital is phased over the three years.
Speaker #2: So we have to approach it in a digestible way. And some improvement initiatives follow on from others. So the first thing we're going to look at is the integration of some technology integration in our deployment center during the course of this year to enable us to make better use of better decisions on the day of operations and make better use of the capacity deployed.
Edward McKeiver: The first thing we are going to look at is some technology integration in our deployment center during the course of this year to enable us to make better decisions on the day of operations and make better use of the capacity deployed.
Speaker #4: And Rob, you made reference to a $50 million transformation program. So there was the SSR program that was implemented and is flowing from the previous year.
Andrew Harding: Rob, you made reference to a AUD 50 million transformation program. There was the SSR program that was implemented and is flowing from previous year. I might.
Andrew Harding: Rob, you made reference to a AUD 50 million transformation program. There was the SSR program that was implemented and is flowing from previous year. I might.
Speaker #4: I might—you're not sure what the question is. Well, the only thing I can think of, Rob, is are you reflecting on the ERP technology upgrade and migration, which is—yeah, that.
Ian Wells: I'm not sure what the question is.
Edward McKeiver: I'm not sure what the question is.
Andrew Harding: Well, the only thing I can think of, Rob, is are you reflecting on the ERP technology upgrade and migration, which is a-
Andrew Harding: Well, the only thing I can think of, Rob, is are you reflecting on the ERP technology upgrade and migration, which is a-
Rob Koh: Yeah.
Rob Koh: Yeah.
Andrew Harding: Yeah, that's-
Andrew Harding: Yeah, that's-
Speaker #2: Yeah, it's on slide 13. You said you...
Rob Koh: It's on slide 13. You said here-
Rob Koh: It's on slide 13. You said here-
Speaker #4: Yeah, okay. So that is the replacement of the ERP program that occurs over a number of years, and which I think we announced 12 months ago.
Andrew Harding: Yeah. Okay. That is the replacement of the ERP program that occurs over a number of years, which I think we announced 12 months ago. That in itself is not a transformation program, Rob. We have SAP, we are replacing it with a better SAP with AI tools in it and changing some of the ways that the business processes interact with the ERP program to get more efficient operations. We will get some benefits from that point of view, but I do not want to be selling to you that the ERP upgrade is a transformation project by itself.
Andrew Harding: Yeah. Okay. That is the replacement of the ERP program that occurs over a number of years, which I think we announced 12 months ago. That in itself is not a transformation program, Rob. We have SAP, we are replacing it with a better SAP with AI tools in it and changing some of the ways that the business processes interact with the ERP program to get more efficient operations. We will get some benefits from that point of view, but I do not want to be selling to you that the ERP upgrade is a transformation project by itself.
Speaker #4: So that in itself is not a transformation program, Rob. That's—we have SAP, we're replacing it with a better SAP with AI tools in it.
Speaker #4: And changing some of the ways that the business processes interact with the ERP program to get more efficient operations. So, we'll get some benefits from that point of view, but I don't want to be selling to you that the ERP upgrade is a transformation project by itself.
Rob Koh: Okay. Yeah. Thank you.
Rob Koh: Okay. Yeah. Thank you.
Speaker #4: So, yeah, thank you. Just looking at the slide, Rob, what it is is the second part of transformation goes back to the SSR. And so there are some redundancy costs associated with that, which we've called out, which pretty much won't be happening going forward.
Ian Wells: Just looking at the slide, Rob, what it is is the second part of transformation goes back to the SSR, and there is some redundancy costs associated with that which we have called out, which pretty much will not be happening going forward.
Edward McKeiver: Just looking at the slide, Rob, what it is is the second part of transformation goes back to the SSR, and there is some redundancy costs associated with that which we have called out, which pretty much will not be happening going forward.
Speaker #2: Yeah, okay, okay. So the ERP project is $50 million, and then there's a separate $25 million for transformation, and then it sounded like Mr. McKeever's efficiency gains are actually pretty small and phased over the three years.
Rob Koh: Yeah. Okay. The ERP project is AUD 50 million, and then there is a separate AUD 25 million transformation, and then it sounded like Mr. McKeiver's efficiency gains is actually pretty small and phased over the three years.
Rob Koh: Yeah. Okay. The ERP project is AUD 50 million, and then there is a separate AUD 25 million transformation, and then it sounded like Mr. McKeiver's efficiency gains is actually pretty small and phased over the three years.
Speaker #4: You got it. Yeah, that's all operational, the stuff that Ed was talking about. Yeah.
Edward McKeiver: You got it. Yeah. That is all operational, the stuff that Ed was talking about.
Andrew Harding: You got it. Yeah. That is all operational, the stuff that Ed was talking about.
Rob Koh: Yeah. Lovely. Okay. If I can ask your shiny brand new CFO a question about debt. Just looking at slide 19, there is a reasonable debt tower coming up in FY 2028. You have plenty of time. Just wondering if you can give us a steer on how you are thinking about that refi and versus what it is hedged at now, would current market rates be higher or lower? Just any thoughts there, please.
Rob Koh: Yeah. Lovely. Okay. If I can ask your shiny brand new CFO a question about debt. Just looking at slide 19, there is a reasonable debt tower coming up in FY 2028. You have plenty of time. Just wondering if you can give us a steer on how you are thinking about that refi and versus what it is hedged at now, would current market rates be higher or lower? Just any thoughts there, please.
Speaker #2: Yeah, yeah, lovely. Okay. If I can ask your shiny, brand-new CFO a question about debt—just looking at slide 19, there's a reasonable debt tower coming up in FY28.
Speaker #2: You've got plenty of time. Just wondering if you can give us a steer on how you're thinking about that refi and would that versus what it's hedged at now, would that be would current market rates be higher or lower?
Speaker #2: Just any thoughts there, please.
Speaker #4: Yeah, yeah. So we'll approach that maturity concentration in advance, as you would have expected in the past, and we'll look at the various markets. I guess the big point that we've called out is that 70% of it is bank debt.
Ian Wells: Yep. We will approach that maturity concentration in advance, as you would have expected in the past, and we will look at the various markets. But I guess the big point that we have called out is that 70% of it is bank debt. We have got great relationships with our banks. It is always better when it is done, but nonetheless, high confidence in relation to that. In terms of the current interest rates, I guess naturally you would expect them to be higher because of a higher interest rate environment. But we are at a good credit rating, so therefore, we will look to reduce the cost as best we can. But then I would also note that at the same time, we are heading into UT5 territory and the regulatory reset on that and the WACC associated with the revenue that we earn on the network.
Ian Wells: Yep. We will approach that maturity concentration in advance, as you would have expected in the past, and we will look at the various markets. But I guess the big point that we have called out is that 70% of it is bank debt. We have got great relationships with our banks. It is always better when it is done, but nonetheless, high confidence in relation to that. In terms of the current interest rates, I guess naturally you would expect them to be higher because of a higher interest rate environment.
Speaker #4: We've got great relationships with our banks, so it's always better when it's done. But nonetheless, there's high confidence in relation to that. In terms of the current interest rates, I guess naturally you would expect them to be higher because of a higher interest rate environment.
Speaker #4: But we are at a good credit rating, so therefore, we'll look to reduce the cost as best we can. But then I'd also note that at the same time, we are heading into UT5 territory, and the regulatory reset on that and the WACC associated with the revenue that we earn on the network.
Ian Wells: But we are at a good credit rating, so therefore, we will look to reduce the cost as best we can. But then I would also note that at the same time, we are heading into UT5 territory and the regulatory reset on that and the WACC associated with the revenue that we earn on the network.
Speaker #4: So, all of these things are happening at the same time. So we've got, I guess, the natural hedge associated with current refinancing, as well as hedging that we'll do during that regulatory measurement period.
Ian Wells: All of these things are happening at the same time. So we have got, I guess, the natural hedge associated with current refinancing as well as hedging that we will do during that regulatory measurement period. So confident on the refi. Yes, interest costs are going up, but remember, a fundamental premise of our business is our protections, particularly under the regulatory regime.
Ian Wells: All of these things are happening at the same time. So we have got, I guess, the natural hedge associated with current refinancing as well as hedging that we will do during that regulatory measurement period. So confident on the refi. Yes, interest costs are going up, but remember, a fundamental premise of our business is our protections, particularly under the regulatory regime.
Speaker #4: We're confident about the refinancing. Yes, interest costs are going up, but remember, a fundamental premise of our business is our protections, particularly under the regulatory regime.
Speaker #2: Okay, cool. So, I mean, you could probably find it in the network accounts, but of the $1.69 billion, how much of that is network?
Rob Koh: Okay, cool. We could probably find it in the network accounts, but of the AUD 1.69 billion, how much of that is network?
Rob Koh: Okay, cool. We could probably find it in the network accounts, but of the AUD 1.69 billion, how much of that is network?
Speaker #4: About 70%, I think. Probably consistent with the bank that I—yeah, the guys are confirming, yeah, 70%.
Ian Wells: About 70%, I think. Probably consistent with the bank that I-
Ian Wells: About 70%, I think. Probably consistent with the bank that I-
Ian Wells: Yeah
Rob Koh: Yeah
Ian Wells: The guys are confirming. Yeah, 70%.
Ian Wells: The guys are confirming. Yeah, 70%.
Speaker #2: Yeah, okay. And that's where you've got the natural hedge in the revenue, so that's all good. All right, maybe just a final question. If I look at your coal volumes, I think for the second year in a row you're including a bit of grain volumes in the coal volumes.
Rob Koh: Yeah. Okay. That is where you have got the natural hedge in the revenue, so that is all good.
Rob Koh: Yeah. Okay. That is where you have got the natural hedge in the revenue, so that is all good. All right. Maybe just a final question. If I look at your coal volumes, I think for the second year in a row, you are including a bit of grain volumes in the coal volumes. I wonder if you could just talk a little bit about the wider exposure to agri this year in what is potentially an El Niño year, please.
Rob Koh: All right. Maybe just a final question. If I look at your coal volumes, I think for the second year in a row, you are including a bit of grain volumes in the coal volumes. I wonder if you could just talk a little bit about the wider exposure to agri this year in what is potentially an El Niño year, please.
Speaker #2: And I wonder if you could just talk a little bit about the wider exposure to agri this year, and what's potentially an El Niño year, please.
Speaker #4: Well, I think that's a question for you.
Andrew Harding: Roger, I think that is a question for you.
Andrew Harding: Roger, I think that is a question for you.
Speaker #2: Sure. Yeah, Rob, we do. A little bit of grain in New South Wales in Ed's business. Our main grain exposure is Western Australia and South Australia.
George Lippiatt: Sure. Rob, we do a little bit of grain in New South Wales in Ed's business. Our main grain exposure is Western Australia and South Australia. If you look at those two markets, Western Australia, depending on the year, is about 40% of Australian grain exports. South Australia, around 20%. But those two states are also where they get winter rain, so they tend to experience a lot less volatility than the East Coast. If you look at South Australia's grain outlook, I think there has been, GIWA is a good report to look at. South Australia looks like being at average or slightly above average for this next harvest. I think WA looks like being about on average for this next harvest, which of course is down from the record year last year.
George Lippiatt: Sure. Rob, we do a little bit of grain in New South Wales in Ed's business. Our main grain exposure is Western Australia and South Australia. If you look at those two markets, Western Australia, depending on the year, is about 40% of Australian grain exports. South Australia, around 20%. But those two states are also where they get winter rain, so they tend to experience a lot less volatility than the East Coast.
Speaker #2: If you look at those two markets, Western Australia, depending on the year, is about 40% of Australian grain exports. South Australia is around 20%. But those two states are also where they get winter rain.
Speaker #2: So, they tend to experience a lot less volatility than the East Coast. If you look at South Australia's grain outlook, I think GIWA is a good report to look at.
George Lippiatt: If you look at South Australia's grain outlook, I think there has been, GIWA is a good report to look at. South Australia looks like being at average or slightly above average for this next harvest. I think WA looks like being about on average for this next harvest, which of course is down from the record year last year.
Speaker #2: South Australia looks like being at average or slightly above average for this next harvest. I think WA looks like being about on average for this next harvest.
Speaker #2: Which, of course, is down from the record year last year. One of the things we'll benefit from in FY27 is that we have volume that we're still moving from the last harvest.
George Lippiatt: One of the things we will benefit though from in FY 2027 is we have volume that we are still moving from the last harvest. So our July grain volumes in WA were much stronger than the corresponding period. August is looking the same, and that is why Andrew and Ian made the comments that we expect to move more grain in FY 2027 than FY 2026.
George Lippiatt: One of the things we will benefit though from in FY 2027 is we have volume that we are still moving from the last harvest. So our July grain volumes in WA were much stronger than the corresponding period. August is looking the same, and that is why Andrew and Ian made the comments that we expect to move more grain in FY 2027 than FY 2026.
Speaker #2: So our July grain volumes in WA were much stronger than the corresponding period. August is looking the same. And that's why Andrew and Ian made the comments that we expect to move more grain in FY27 than FY26.
Speaker #4: Cool.
Rob Koh: Cool. All right. Sounds good. Thank you so much.
Rob Koh: Cool. All right. Sounds good. Thank you so much.
Speaker #2: All right, sounds good. Thank you so much.
Speaker #1: Thank you. Our next question comes from Sam Sia from Citi. Please go ahead.
Operator: Thank you. The next question comes from Sam Sia from Citi. Please go ahead.
Operator: Thank you. The next question comes from Sam Sia from Citi. Please go ahead.
Speaker #5: Good morning, guys. Thanks for letting me ask the question. I just wanted to ask, I guess, post-right-sizing, some of your contract book, that coal guide implies low-90% utilization.
Sam Sia: Morning, guys. Thanks for letting me ask the question. I just wanted to ask, I guess, post right-sizing some of your contract book, that coal guide implies low 90% utilization. I just want to understand how reflective that number is across the whole book, or how we should think about where those contractual volume ceilings are and where those spot opportunities may exist. Thanks.
Sam Seow: Morning, guys. Thanks for letting me ask the question. I just wanted to ask, I guess, post right-sizing some of your contract book, that coal guide implies low 90% utilization. I just want to understand how reflective that number is across the whole book, or how we should think about where those contractual volume ceilings are and where those spot opportunities may exist. Thanks.
Speaker #5: I just want to understand how reflective that number is across the whole book, or how we should think about where those contractual volume ceilings are, and maybe where those spot opportunities may exist.
Speaker #5: Thanks.
Speaker #4: Ed, do you want to see if he can help?
Andrew Harding: Ed, do you want to see if you can help?
Andrew Harding: Ed, do you want to see if you can help?
Speaker #3: Yeah, yeah, sure. Thanks for the question, Sam. I think you're asking me about I think you're asking me about the right sizing and how and whether or not we'll think it will be stable for the outlook.
Edward McKeiver: Yeah. Sure. Thanks for the question, Sam. I think you are asking me about the right-sizing and whether or not we will think it will be stable for the outlook. If not, please let me know. I think what I would say about the right-sizing is we see this as an isolated event for now, as some customers in Queensland have looked at that profile that Ian showed and have decided that to match their production pipeline, their production output with their rail contracts. We see the right-sizing driven, as Andrew said, by three factors. One is their cost focus. Two is that some mines have changed ownership, and the new owners are reviewing the production plans, cost structures, and other priorities that they inherited from the previous owners. And also the broader investment environment that Andrew spoke about.
Edward McKeiver: Yeah. Sure. Thanks for the question, Sam. I think you are asking me about the right-sizing and whether or not we will think it will be stable for the outlook. If not, please let me know. I think what I would say about the right-sizing is we see this as an isolated event for now, as some customers in Queensland have looked at that profile that Ian showed and have decided that to match their production pipeline, their production output with their rail contracts.
Speaker #3: If not, please let me know. I think what I'd say about the right sizing is we've seen—we see this as an isolated event for now.
Speaker #3: As our customers, some customers in Queensland have looked at that profile that Ian showed, and have decided that to match their production pipeline, their production output with their rail contracts.
Speaker #3: We see the right-sizing driven, as Andrew said, by three factors. One is their cost focus. Two is that some mines have changed ownership.
Edward McKeiver: We see the right-sizing driven, as Andrew said, by three factors. One is their cost focus. Two is that some mines have changed ownership, and the new owners are reviewing the production plans, cost structures, and other priorities that they inherited from the previous owners. And also the broader investment environment that Andrew spoke about.
Speaker #3: And the new owners are reviewing the production plans, cost structures, and other priorities that they inherited from the previous owners, and also the broader investment environment that Andrew spoke about.
Speaker #3: So at 90%, with the trimming then of those contracts to more align with their production, we really will see contract utilization lift to 90%.
George Lippiatt: At 90%, with the trimming then of those contracts to more align with their production, we really will see contract utilization lift to 90%. 90% then now is sustainable and we think that the risk of future right-sizing is reduced as whole tonnes will now be within 10% of contract tonnes.
Edward McKeiver: At 90%, with the trimming then of those contracts to more align with their production, we really will see contract utilization lift to 90%. 90% then now is sustainable and we think that the risk of future right-sizing is reduced as whole tonnes will now be within 10% of contract tonnes.
Speaker #3: Ninety percent now is sustainable, and we think that the risk of future right-sizing is reduced, as whole tons will now be within 10% of contract tons.
Speaker #5: I guess on the other side, can I ask about that 90%—is it particularly thin anywhere or expanded anywhere? I just want to try to understand, if you do have opportunities to spot tons, or if the market does turn, where they're probably most likely to appear.
Sam Sia: I guess on the other side could I ask, that 90%, is it particularly hidden anywhere or expanded anywhere? I just want to try to understand, if you do have opportunities to spot tonnes or the market does turn where they probably most likely will appear. Thanks.
Sam Seow: I guess on the other side could I ask, that 90%, is it particularly hidden anywhere or expanded anywhere? I just want to try to understand, if you do have opportunities to spot tonnes or the market does turn where they probably most likely will appear. Thanks.
Speaker #5: Thanks.
Speaker #3: Yeah, it's difficult to say in advance, Sam. That's the nature of spot volume—it is very localized and time-dependent. And so, I made the comment on an earlier question around investing in the deployment center.
George Lippiatt: Yeah. It is difficult to say in advance, Sam. That is the nature of spot volume. It is very localized and time dependent. I made the comment on an earlier question around investing in the deployment center. That is exactly the type of thing we are looking at to be able to take advantage of perishable capacity on the day of operation by taking advantage of emergent spot business. As the largest coal hauler in the country, we have assets deployed delivering to nine coal seaports. We have 25, well, 50 odd load points we collect from. And we are about 50% of the market share. So it is very dynamic, difficult to predict in advance.
Edward McKeiver: Yeah. It is difficult to say in advance, Sam. That is the nature of spot volume. It is very localized and time dependent. I made the comment on an earlier question around investing in the deployment center. That is exactly the type of thing we are looking at to be able to take advantage of perishable capacity on the day of operation by taking advantage of emergent spot business.
Speaker #3: I mean, that's exactly the type of thing we're looking at—to be able to take advantage of perishable capacity on the day of operation by leveraging emergent spot business.
Speaker #3: So, as the largest coal hauler in the country, we have assets deployed delivering to nine coal seaports. We've got 25—well, 50-odd load points.
Edward McKeiver: As the largest coal hauler in the country, we have assets deployed delivering to nine coal seaports. We have 25, well, 50 odd load points we collect from. And we are about 50% of the market share. So it is very dynamic, difficult to predict in advance.
Speaker #3: We collect from, and we're about 50% of the market share, so it's very dynamic and difficult to predict in advance.
Speaker #5: Got it. That's helpful. And then maybe just on the impairment, can we maybe just talk at a higher level about some of the underlying assumptions?
Sam Sia: Got it. That is helpful. Then maybe just on the impairment, can we maybe just talk at a high level to some of the underlying assumptions? I think obviously it is quite small versus the asset base. Is that just the contract or is there anything, other changes in forward assumptions that you would like to call out? Thanks.
Sam Seow: Got it. That is helpful. Then maybe just on the impairment, can we maybe just talk at a high level to some of the underlying assumptions? I think obviously it is quite small versus the asset base. Is that just the contract or is there anything, other changes in forward assumptions that you would like to call out? Thanks.
Speaker #5: I think, obviously, it's quite small versus the asset base, but is that just the contract, or are there any other changes in forward assumptions that you'd like to call out?
Speaker #5: Thanks.
Speaker #4: And Ian, do you want to talk through the impairment?
Andrew Harding: Ian, do you want to talk through the impairment?
Andrew Harding: Ian, do you want to talk through the impairment?
Ian Wells: Yes, sure. Quite simply, the trigger for an assessment is losing a major contract, which is what occurred. So you do a DCF, you look at your expectations for recontracting, and you look at your DCF relative to the asset base. As you say, the result is a AUD 50 million write-off, which is non-cash, and it is written off against hard assets. So it is as simple as that.
Ian Wells: Yes, sure. Quite simply, the trigger for an assessment is losing a major contract, which is what occurred. So you do a DCF, you look at your expectations for recontracting, and you look at your DCF relative to the asset base. As you say, the result is a AUD 50 million write-off, which is non-cash, and it is written off against hard assets. So it is as simple as that.
Speaker #2: Yeah, sure. Quite simply, the trigger for an assessment is losing a major contract, which is what occurred. And so then you do a DCF, you look at your expectations for re-contracting, and you look at your DCF relative to the asset base. And, as you say, the result is a $50 million write-off, which is non-cash and it's written off against hard assets.
Speaker #2: So it's as simple as that.
Speaker #5: Got it. Thanks for that, guys. Appreciate it.
Sam Sia: Got it. Thanks for that, guys. Appreciate it.
Sam Seow: Got it. Thanks for that, guys. Appreciate it.
Operator: Thank you. Your next question comes from Tom Peyton from RBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead.
Operator: Thank you. Your next question comes from Tom Peyton from RBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead.
Speaker #1: Thank you. Your next question comes from Tom Payton from RBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead.
Speaker #6: Hey guys—Andrew, Ian—and hope you're all sailing well. And thanks for the question. For FY2070, if I look at slide 20—and this is just me trying to interpret a chart that is clearly a draft.
Tom Peyton: Hey, guys. Andrew, Ian, Anne, hope you are all settling well, and thanks for the question. FY27, if I look at slide 20, and this is just me trying to interpret a chart that is clearly a draft. When we look at buybacks and dividends in FY27, the dotted line on the angle, am I to interpret that as FY27, we are just seeing dividends, so that dividend figure is growing to the full amount? Or, how should I think about that FY27 split between dividends and buybacks?
Tom Peyton: Hey, guys. Andrew, Ian, Anne, hope you are all settling well, and thanks for the question. FY27, if I look at slide 20, and this is just me trying to interpret a chart that is clearly a draft. When we look at buybacks and dividends in FY27, the dotted line on the angle, am I to interpret that as FY27, we are just seeing dividends, so that dividend figure is growing to the full amount? Or, how should I think about that FY27 split between dividends and buybacks?
Speaker #6: When we look at buybacks and dividends in FY27, the dotted line on the angle—am I to interpret that as in FY27 we're just seeing dividends?
Speaker #6: So, that dividend figure is growing to the full amount. Or, how should I think about that FY27 split between dividends and buybacks?
Speaker #2: So think about it as a proportion of shareholder returns, and that's going up to show the proportion of dividends will be higher. Because it doesn't reflect a buyback—we haven't done a buyback in '27, haven't announced a buyback in '27.
Ian Wells: Well, think about it as to proportion of shareholder returns. That is going up to show the proportion of dividends will be higher, because it does not reflect a buyback. We have not done a buyback in 2027, have not announced a buyback in 2027. So that is what the chart is meant to be showing.
Ian Wells: Well, think about it as to proportion of shareholder returns. That is going up to show the proportion of dividends will be higher, because it does not reflect a buyback. We have not done a buyback in 2027, have not announced a buyback in 2027. So that is what the chart is meant to be showing.
Speaker #2: So that's what the charts are meant to be showing.
Speaker #6: All right, awesome. Thank you. And just on the capex distribution, if I am correct, you're moving away from coal and into freight, but keeping the sort of headline capex figure consistent across periods.
Tom Peyton: All right. Awesome. Thank you. Just on the CapEx distribution, if I am correct, you are moving away from coal and into freight, but keeping the sort of headline CapEx figure consistent across periods. Is that a trend that we can expect to continue moving forward?
Tom Peyton: All right. Awesome. Thank you. Just on the CapEx distribution, if I am correct, you are moving away from coal and into freight, but keeping the sort of headline CapEx figure consistent across periods. Is that a trend that we can expect to continue moving forward?
Speaker #6: Is that a trend that we can expect to continue moving forward?
Speaker #2: Well, I think if you think George went through the capital program, particularly for the finished vehicles, and so we've spent some money on that in '26.
Ian Wells: Well, I think if you think, George went through the capital program, particularly for the finished vehicles. We have spent some money on that in 2026. We are going to have some more in 2027. Then, the balance will be in 2028. So the growth element is probably, I do not know, round numbers maybe going to be consistent in 2028. Not that we are guiding 2028 for the moment. But then the discussion on the existing business, that is not going to change particularly depending on the cycle that we are through and the lumpy capital is probably further out than in the medium term.
Ian Wells: Well, I think if you think, George went through the capital program, particularly for the finished vehicles. We have spent some money on that in 2026. We are going to have some more in 2027. Then, the balance will be in 2028. So the growth element is probably, I do not know, round numbers maybe going to be consistent in 2028. Not that we are guiding 2028 for the moment. But then the discussion on the existing business, that is not going to change particularly depending on the cycle that we are through and the lumpy capital is probably further out than in the medium term.
Speaker #2: We're going to have some more in '27, and then the balance will be in '28. So that growth element is probably—I don't know—round numbers, maybe going to be consistent in '28; not that we're guiding '28 for the moment.
Speaker #2: But then, the discussion on the existing business—that's not going to change, particularly depending on the cycle that we're through. And the lumpy capital is probably further out than in the medium term.
Speaker #6: Okay, thanks.
Tom Peyton: Okay. Thanks.
Tom Peyton: Okay. Thanks.
Speaker #1: Thank you. Your next question comes from Lara Fedrezek from Bank of America. Please go ahead.
Operator: Thank you. Your next question comes from Lara Tchelitcheff from Bank of America. Please go ahead.
Operator: Thank you. Your next question comes from Lara Tchelitcheff from Bank of America. Please go ahead.
Speaker #7: Hi, team. Thank you for taking my question. We have locomotive capacity becoming available from coal. Does that provide additional flexibility to accelerate growth opportunities in Bulk?
Lara Tchelitcheff: Hi, team. Thank you for taking my question. With locomotive capacity becoming available from coal, does that provide additional flexibility to accelerate growth opportunities in Bulk? How does it balance between the additional locomotive capacity that will be redeployed versus the new customer growth that Bulk is seeing? Will this additional capacity be used up straight away, or will there potentially be some softer utilization?
Lara Tufegdzic: Hi, team. Thank you for taking my question. With locomotive capacity becoming available from coal, does that provide additional flexibility to accelerate growth opportunities in Bulk? How does it balance between the additional locomotive capacity that will be redeployed versus the new customer growth that Bulk is seeing? Will this additional capacity be used up straight away, or will there potentially be some softer utilization?
Speaker #7: How does the balance look between the additional locomotive capacity that will be redeployed versus the new customer growth that Bulk is seeing? And will this additional capacity be used up straight away, or will there potentially be some softer utilization?
Speaker #5: Yeah, good question, Lara. I'll get George to talk through what he's doing with some of the extra capacity that has been sent his way from the coal business.
Andrew Harding: Yeah, good question, Lara. I will get George to talk through what he is doing with some of the extra capacity that has been sent his way from the coal business.
Andrew Harding: Yeah, good question, Lara. I will get George to talk through what he is doing with some of the extra capacity that has been sent his way from the coal business.
Speaker #2: Thanks, Andrew. Thanks, Lara. It's a combination of both. Some are deployed straight away—we've seen that in the early part of FY27. Some will be deployed over time.
George Lippiatt: Thanks, Andrew. Thanks, Lara. It is a combination of both. Some are deployed straight away. We have seen that in the early part of FY 2027. Some will be deployed over time. To give you a sense of those deployments, we have leased a couple of locomotives to SCT as part of our drop and hook arrangement. We have also deployed a handful of locomotives into our CF business, containerized freight, and handed back some locomotives that we had leased, as part of the startup exercise. Then there is a few locomotives that we expect to deploy in calendar year 2027 as we are seeing growth projects, particularly in the Northern Territory. Some high-grade iron ore, some phosphate rock projects that are coming on there. So it is a combination of deployed straight away and deployed over time.
George Lippiatt: Thanks, Andrew. Thanks, Lara. It is a combination of both. Some are deployed straight away. We have seen that in the early part of FY 2027. Some will be deployed over time. To give you a sense of those deployments, we have leased a couple of locomotives to SCT as part of our drop and hook arrangement. We have also deployed a handful of locomotives into our CF business, containerized freight, and handed back some locomotives that we had leased, as part of the startup exercise.
Speaker #2: To give you a sense of those deployments, we've leased a couple of locomotives to SCT as part of our hook-and-pull arrangement. We've also deployed a handful of locomotives into our CF business, containerised freight, and handed back some locomotives that we had leased as part of the start-up exercise.
Speaker #2: And then there are a few locomotives that we expect to deploy in calendar year '27, as we're seeing growth projects, particularly in the Northern Territory.
George Lippiatt: Then there is a few locomotives that we expect to deploy in calendar year 2027 as we are seeing growth projects, particularly in the Northern Territory. Some high-grade iron ore, some phosphate rock projects that are coming on there. So it is a combination of deployed straight away and deployed over time.
Speaker #2: Some higher grade iron ore, some phosphate rock projects that are coming on there. So it's a combination of being deployed straight away and deployed over time.
Speaker #7: Great. That was so helpful, thank you. And just one more, if I may. To what extent, in containerized freight, is there a benefit from the existing terminal locomotive capacity already within the group versus adding volume to grow?
Lara Tchelitcheff: Great. That was so helpful. Thank you. Just one more, if I may.
Lara Tufegdzic: Great. That was so helpful. Thank you. Just one more, if I may.
Andrew Harding: Yeah.
Andrew Harding: Yeah.
Andrew Harding: To what extent in containerized freight is there a benefit from the existing terminal locomotive capacity already within the group versus as volumes grow, how capital efficient do you think this business can become relative to bulk and coal?
Andrew Harding: To what extent in containerized freight is there a benefit from the existing terminal locomotive capacity already within the group versus as volumes grow, how capital efficient do you think this business can become relative to bulk and coal?
Speaker #7: How capital-efficient do you think this business can become relative to Bulk and Coal?
Speaker #2: Do you want me to answer that one, Andrew?
George Lippiatt: You want me to answer that one, Andrew?
George Lippiatt: You want me to answer that one, Andrew?
Speaker #4: Yes, please.
Andrew Harding: Yes, please.
Andrew Harding: Yes, please.
Speaker #2: I think when you're talking about containerized freight, you're moving volumes over thousands of kilometers. And so you won't ever get the same type of productivity or, say, tonnage moved per train set as you do in coal, where the average haul length is about 250 kilometers.
George Lippiatt: I think when you are talking about containerized freight, you are moving volumes over thousands of kilometers, so you will not ever get the same type of productivity or say, tonnage moved, per train set as you do in coal, where the average haul length is about 250 kilometers. What I would say is we are making incremental improvements each year. So FY27, we are bringing on Kewdale, which will be a big step change in our Perth terminal. To remind you, we have got eight services a week that run from the East Coast into Perth, so it is a really important end destination for us. Then in FY28, we have got auto wagons coming online, which Andrew mentioned. We called out AUD 100 million of capital that we are spending on those auto wagons backed by the CEVA and NYK Group contracts. The great thing about that capital is that is just the auto wagons.
George Lippiatt: I think when you are talking about containerized freight, you are moving volumes over thousands of kilometers, so you will not ever get the same type of productivity or say, tonnage moved, per train set as you do in coal, where the average haul length is about 250 kilometers. What I would say is we are making incremental improvements each year. So FY27, we are bringing on Kewdale, which will be a big step change in our Perth terminal.
Speaker #2: But what I would say is we're making incremental improvements each year. So, FY27, we're bringing on QDAL, which will be a big step change in our perf terminal.
Speaker #2: To remind you, we've got eight services a week that run from the East Coast into Perth. So it's a really important end destination for us.
George Lippiatt: To remind you, we have got eight services a week that run from the East Coast into Perth, so it is a really important end destination for us. Then in FY28, we have got auto wagons coming online, which Andrew mentioned. We called out AUD 100 million of capital that we are spending on those auto wagons backed by the CEVA and NYK Group contracts. The great thing about that capital is that is just the auto wagons.
Speaker #2: Then in FY28, we've got auto wagons coming online, which Andrew mentioned. We called out $100 million of capital that we're spending on those auto wagons, backed by the Seaver and NYK contracts.
Speaker #2: The great thing about that capital is that that's just the auto wagons. You actually put those auto wagons on the back of our existing containerized freight services.
George Lippiatt: You actually put those auto wagons on the back of our existing containerized freight services. You are just lengthening the train sets. You do not need extra locos, you do not need extra train crew. We are seeing incremental improvements each year, and we have got other targets for FY29 and FY30.
George Lippiatt: You actually put those auto wagons on the back of our existing containerized freight services. You are just lengthening the train sets. You do not need extra locos, you do not need extra train crew. We are seeing incremental improvements each year, and we have got other targets for FY29 and FY30.
Speaker #2: So you're just lengthening the train sets. You don't need extra locos. You don't need extra train crew. And so we're seeing incremental improvements each year, and we've got other targets for FY29 and FY30.
Speaker #7: Perfect. Thank you very much.
Lara Tchelitcheff: Perfect. Thank you very much.
Lara Tufegdzic: Perfect. Thank you very much.
Speaker #1: Thank you. Your next question comes from Ian Miles from Macquarie. Please go ahead.
Operator: Thank you. Your next question comes from Ian Myles from Macquarie. Please go ahead.
Operator: Thank you. Your next question comes from Ian Myles from Macquarie. Please go ahead.
Speaker #5: Hey guys, just on the last point—firstly, can you just tell me the length of the contracts with Seaver and NYK for the $100 million spend?
Ian Myles: Hey, guys. Just on the last point, firstly, can you just tell me the length of the contracts with CEVA or NYK for AUD 100 million spend?
Ian Myles: Hey, guys. Just on the last point, firstly, can you just tell me the length of the contracts with CEVA or NYK for AUD 100 million spend?
Speaker #2: Ian, I cannot tell you that because it’s commercial-in-confidence. What I would say is, one is a very long-term contract, not dissimilar to our coal and bulk contracts.
George Lippiatt: Ian, I cannot tell you that because it is commercial in confidence. What I would say is one is a very long-term contract, not dissimilar to our coal and bulk contracts. The other one is a broader partnership. We do not just look at the haulage contract itself, we have also looking at landside logistics with NYK. We have got a broader partnership with NYK, and we are looking to grow their volumes in our auto wagons, supported not just by the haulage but also landside logistics. One of the things that makes me excited about that is what NYK have committed to Aurizon, and we have called it out in Andrew's slide, at 7,000 vehicles per annum, is less than 4% of the volume they bring into Australia today. There is lots of room to grow for us and NYK to change that supply chain going forward.
George Lippiatt: Ian, I cannot tell you that because it is commercial in confidence. What I would say is one is a very long-term contract, not dissimilar to our coal and bulk contracts. The other one is a broader partnership. We do not just look at the haulage contract itself, we have also looking at landside logistics with NYK. We have got a broader partnership with NYK, and we are looking to grow their volumes in our auto wagons, supported not just by the haulage but also landside logistics.
Speaker #2: The other one is a broader partnership. So we don't just look at the haulage contract itself; we're also looking at landside logistics with NYK.
Speaker #2: And so, we've got a broader partnership with NYK, and we're looking to grow their volumes in our auto wagons, supported not just by the haulage but also landside logistics.
Speaker #2: One of the things that makes me excited about that is what NYK have committed to Horizon, and we've called it out in Andrew's slide—at 7,000 vehicles per annum, it's less than 4% of the volume they bring into Australia today.
George Lippiatt: One of the things that makes me excited about that is what NYK have committed to Aurizon, and we have called it out in Andrew's slide, at 7,000 vehicles per annum, is less than 4% of the volume they bring into Australia today. There is lots of room to grow for us and NYK to change that supply chain going forward.
Speaker #2: So, there's lots of room to grow, for us and NYK, to change that supply chain going forward.
Speaker #5: Does that mean you have to buy some land and actually set up a—thought of a better word—service center in each of the individual capital cities?
Ian Myles: Does that mean you have to buy some land and actually set up a, for want of a better word, service center in each of the individual capital cities?
Ian Myles: Does that mean you have to buy some land and actually set up a, for want of a better word, service center in each of the individual capital cities?
Speaker #2: Keep going, George. All right. We will have different terminals because we'll need car parks in each capital city. I've mentioned Forrestfield and QDAL a few times in Perth.
Andrew Harding: Keep going, George.
Andrew Harding: Keep going, George.
George Lippiatt: All right. We will have different terminals because we will need car parks in each capital city. I have mentioned Forrestfield and Kewdale a few times in Perth. Forrestfield will become our car park in Perth, so our containers will move to Kewdale, and Forrestfield will become the finished vehicles logistics center in Perth. The other thing we have done is already bought significant landside land in South Australia. So we have about 800 hectares of land in South Australia that with NYK, we are looking to turn into a vehicle logistics precinct. Before you ask, Ian, yes, that has been included in our growth CapEx. But given where the land is located, it was a fraction of the price that you would get in a capital city.
George Lippiatt: All right. We will have different terminals because we will need car parks in each capital city. I have mentioned Forrestfield and Kewdale a few times in Perth. Forrestfield will become our car park in Perth, so our containers will move to Kewdale, and Forrestfield will become the finished vehicles logistics center in Perth.
Speaker #2: Forrestfield will become our car park in Perth. So our containers will move to QDAL, and Forrestfield will become the finished vehicle logistics center in Perth.
Speaker #2: The other thing we've done is already bought significant landside land in South Australia. So we've got about 800 hectares of land in South Australia that, with NYK, we're looking to turn into a vehicle logistics precinct.
George Lippiatt: The other thing we have done is already bought significant landside land in South Australia. So we have about 800 hectares of land in South Australia that with NYK, we are looking to turn into a vehicle logistics precinct. Before you ask, Ian, yes, that has been included in our growth CapEx. But given where the land is located, it was a fraction of the price that you would get in a capital city.
Speaker #2: Before you ask, Ian, yes, that has been included in our growth capex. But given where the land is located, it was a fraction of the price that you'd get in a capital city.
Speaker #5: I can imagine. But does that mean you've got another, above and beyond the $100? You've got to spend another—I'm going to make up a number—$50 to get all these sites up to speed?
Ian Myles: I can imagine. But does that mean you have got another above and beyond 100, you have got to spend another, I am going to make up a number, 50 to get all these sites up to speed?
Ian Myles: I can imagine. But does that mean you have got another above and beyond 100, you have got to spend another, I am going to make up a number, 50 to get all these sites up to speed?
Speaker #2: What I would say is, when we started up containerized freight, we said that startup would be about $425 million of capital. Now, we've spent already—if you include FY26—about $350 million of that $425 million.
George Lippiatt: What I would say is when we started up containerized freight, we said that startup would be about AUD 425 million of capital. We have spent already, if you include FY 2026, about AUD 350 of that AUD 425. What we are saying is add AUD 100 to that AUD 425, and that should be sufficient to move the volume we have announced for NYK Group and CEVA. Obviously, if their volumes grow, and we hope they will, or we attract new customers, then we will need to expand those terminals. Yes, there will be more CapEx attached to it, but we will tie that to future contracts.
George Lippiatt: What I would say is when we started up containerized freight, we said that startup would be about AUD 425 million of capital. We have spent already, if you include FY 2026, about AUD 350 of that AUD 425. What we are saying is add AUD 100 to that AUD 425, and that should be sufficient to move the volume we have announced for NYK Group and CEVA. Obviously, if their volumes grow, and we hope they will, or we attract new customers, then we will need to expand those terminals. Yes, there will be more CapEx attached to it, but we will tie that to future contracts.
Speaker #2: Now, what we're saying is add 100 to that 425, and that should be sufficient to move the volume we've announced for NYK and Seaver. Obviously, if their volumes grow—and we hope they will—or if we attract new customers, then we will need to expand those terminals, and yes, there'll be more capex attached to it.
Speaker #2: But we'll tie that to future contracts.
Speaker #5: And one more on that issue. The amount of wagons you've ordered, how many cars would that facilitate the movement of per annum?
Ian Myles: One more on that issue. The amount of wagons you have ordered, how many cars would that facilitate the movement of per annum?
Ian Myles: One more on that issue. The amount of wagons you have ordered, how many cars would that facilitate the movement of per annum?
George Lippiatt: I would say, think about it as if we can move about 1,000 vehicles a week with the wagons that we have bought. Of course, it depends on the origin and destination pair. If you are moving from Darwin to Melbourne, it is fewer. If you are moving from Melbourne to Adelaide or Sydney to Adelaide because you are relocating, Ian, then it would be more.
George Lippiatt: I would say, think about it as if we can move about 1,000 vehicles a week with the wagons that we have bought. Of course, it depends on the origin and destination pair. If you are moving from Darwin to Melbourne, it is fewer. If you are moving from Melbourne to Adelaide or Sydney to Adelaide because you are relocating, Ian, then it would be more.
Speaker #2: I would say, think about it as if we can move about 1,000 vehicles a week with the wagons that we have bought. But of course, it depends on the origin and destination pair.
Speaker #2: If you're moving from Darwin to Melbourne, it's fewer. If you're moving from Melbourne to Adelaide, or Sydney to Adelaide, because you're relocating, Ian, then it would be more.
Speaker #5: Okay, that's great. No plans to go to South Australia just yet. In terms of the BHP contract renewal, one of the comments you always made was it had a very high take-or-pay relative to the rest of the contracts.
Ian Myles: Okay. That is great. No plans to go to South Australia just yet. In terms of the BHP contract renewal, one of the comments you always made was it had a very high take or pay relative to the rest of the contracts. Has that renewal seen a normalization, that take or pay to what would be typically seen in your other contracts?
Ian Myles: Okay. That is great. No plans to go to South Australia just yet. In terms of the BHP contract renewal, one of the comments you always made was it had a very high take or pay relative to the rest of the contracts. Has that renewal seen a normalization, that take or pay to what would be typically seen in your other contracts?
Speaker #5: Has that renewal seen a normalization in that take-or-pay to what would be typically seen in your other contracts?
Speaker #2: Thanks for the question, Ian. As you would expect, I can't talk about the specific terms within that contract. Thank you.
Edward McKeiver: Thanks for the question, Ian. As you would expect, I cannot talk about the specific terms within that contract. Thank you.
Edward McKeiver: Thanks for the question, Ian. As you would expect, I cannot talk about the specific terms within that contract. Thank you.
Speaker #5: Okay. And can you clarify? I wasn't quite understanding the beginning. That 65 million tonnes would have been, sort of, 43 still with BMA. And you said that the 37 is the same amount.
Ian Myles: Okay. Can you clarify, I was not quite understanding the beginning, that 65 million tons would have been 43 still with BMA, and you said that the 37 is the same amount. I was just a bit confused on how that maths worked.
Ian Myles: Okay. Can you clarify, I was not quite understanding the beginning, that 65 million tons would have been 43 still with BMA, and you said that the 37 is the same amount. I was just a bit confused on how that maths worked.
Speaker #5: I was just a bit confused about how that maths worked.
Speaker #2: Yeah. When the contract was last tendered, back in 2012, actually, it started in 2016 or 2015, 2016. It was prior to it was contracted prior to the commencement of BMA Rail.
Edward McKeiver: Well, when the contract was last tendered, back in 2012, actually, it started in 2016 or 2015, 2016. It was contracted prior to the commencement of BMA Rail. So you have got to also factor in the BMA Rail volume as well. Broadly, Aurizon's contract was a 65-million-ton headline contract. There has been changes in nominations over the years, ups and downs. If you add back in the divestment of the Blackwater Daunia assets and also the BMS, the BMC, South Walker Creek, Poitrel assets, you get back to something in the vicinity of the original volume.
Edward McKeiver: Well, when the contract was last tendered, back in 2012, actually, it started in 2016 or 2015, 2016. It was contracted prior to the commencement of BMA Rail. So you have got to also factor in the BMA Rail volume as well. Broadly, Aurizon's contract was a 65-million-ton headline contract. There has been changes in nominations over the years, ups and downs. If you add back in the divestment of the Blackwater Daunia assets and also the BMS, the BMC, South Walker Creek, Poitrel assets, you get back to something in the vicinity of the original volume.
Speaker #2: So you've got to also factor in the BMA rail volume as well. Broadly, Aurizon's contract was a 65 million tonne headline contract, and there have been changes in nominations over the years—ups and downs.
Speaker #2: And if you add back in the divestment of the Blackwater Dornier assets, and also the BMC, South Walker Creek, and Poitrel assets, you get back to something in the vicinity of the original volume.
Speaker #5: Okay. Okay. And in terms of cost reductions, you're going to drive less operations. Have you been able to retain that within your recontracting, or has that been passed back through to your customers?
Ian Myles: Okay. In terms of cost reductions, you are going to driverless operations. Have you been able to retain that within your recontracting, or has that been passed back through to your customers to going to a single driver operation?
Ian Myles: Okay. In terms of cost reductions, you are going to driverless operations. Have you been able to retain that within your recontracting, or has that been passed back through to your customers to going to a single driver operation?
Speaker #5: Do you go into a single-driver operation?
Speaker #2: I'm sorry, could you restate the question, please?
Edward McKeiver: I am sorry. Could you restate the question, please, Ian?
Edward McKeiver: I am sorry. Could you restate the question, please, Ian?
Ian Myles: You have been moving to a single driver operation up in the Goonyella and the Blackwater corridors.
Ian Myles: You have been moving to a single driver operation up in the Goonyella and the Blackwater corridors.
Speaker #5: So you think you've been moving to a single-driver operation up in the Goonyella and the Blackwater corridors. You've gone through and recontracting.
Edward McKeiver: Yeah.
Edward McKeiver: Yeah.
Ian Myles: You have gone through recontracting. Have you been able to retain that productivity benefit, or are you passing that back through to your customers?
Ian Myles: You have gone through recontracting. Have you been able to retain that productivity benefit, or are you passing that back through to your customers?
Speaker #5: Have you been able to retain that productivity benefit? Are you passing that back through to your customers?
Speaker #2: A little bit of both. I mean, it's a competitive market, and we have to—first, what I'll say is that the train yard investment we've made stands alone on its own business case, and we've seen, obviously, the productivity and the safety benefits associated with that.
Edward McKeiver: A little bit of both. It is a competitive market, and we have to, firstly, what I will say is that the TrainGuard investment we have made stands alone on its own business case, and we have seen obviously the productivity and the safety benefits associated with that. When you get into a competitive process, as you would appreciate, we have really reset our structured cost base. I will say, as I said earlier in the call, that more broadly based on the basket of contracts we have renegotiated since 25 July, we have not seen a material change in our rate, haulage rate.
Edward McKeiver: A little bit of both. It is a competitive market, and we have to, firstly, what I will say is that the TrainGuard investment we have made stands alone on its own business case, and we have seen obviously the productivity and the safety benefits associated with that. When you get into a competitive process, as you would appreciate, we have really reset our structured cost base. I will say, as I said earlier in the call, that more broadly based on the basket of contracts we have renegotiated since 25 July, we have not seen a material change in our rate, haulage rate.
Speaker #2: When you get into a competitive process, as you'd appreciate, we've really reset our structured cost base. And so, I will say, as I said earlier in the call, that more broadly, based on the basket of contracts we've renegotiated since July 25, we've not seen a material change in the rate or its rate.
Speaker #5: Okay. And so, as we're coming into this FY28, I presume we should be seeing most of those contracts get rolled this year, or is that— and I guess where I'm coming from is, when you look at the broader market, is it really just AZJ which carries spare loco capacity, or is there still spare capacity across the industry?
Ian Myles: Okay. We are coming into this FY 2028. I presume we should be seeing most of those contracts get rolled this year. Is it, I guess where I am coming from is when you look at the broader market, is it really just Aurizon which carries spare loco capacity, or is there still spare capacity across the industry?
Ian Myles: Okay. We are coming into this FY 2028. I presume we should be seeing most of those contracts get rolled this year. Is it, I guess where I am coming from is when you look at the broader market, is it really just Aurizon which carries spare loco capacity, or is there still spare capacity across the industry?
Speaker #2: Yeah, it's difficult to say. I can't speak about our customers' capacity. I mean, we always focused on keeping our capacity utilized. And up until the cessation of the previously announced contract in the Hunter Valley, we were—it was finely balanced.
Edward McKeiver: Yeah. It is difficult to say. I cannot speak about our customers' capacity. We are always focused on keeping our capacity utilized. Up until the cessation of the previously announced contract in the Hunter Valley, it was finely balanced, our capacity. We are looking, as we have talked about earlier in that regard to deploy to bulk and also retain for growth because we have got some customers, including MACH Energy, they got their Mod 8 application through on Friday, looking to actually increase volume. There is some spot, there is some growth, and there is some redeployment. Rather than talk about more broadly the industry, there has not been a material change in the fleet deployed in coal haulage.
Edward McKeiver: Yeah. It is difficult to say. I cannot speak about our customers' capacity. We are always focused on keeping our capacity utilized. Up until the cessation of the previously announced contract in the Hunter Valley, it was finely balanced, our capacity.
Speaker #2: Our capacity—so we're looking, as we've talked about earlier in that regard, to deploy to bulk and also retain for growth, because we've got some customers, including Mack Energy, that got their Mod 8 application through on Friday.
Edward McKeiver: We are looking, as we have talked about earlier in that regard to deploy to bulk and also retain for growth because we have got some customers, including MACH Energy, they got their Mod 8 application through on Friday, looking to actually increase volume. There is some spot, there is some growth, and there is some redeployment. Rather than talk about more broadly the industry, there has not been a material change in the fleet deployed in coal haulage.
Speaker #2: Looking to actually increase volume. So there’s some spot, there’s some growth, and there’s some redeployment. And so rather than talk more broadly, the industry—there’s not been a material change in the fleet deployed in coal haulage.
Speaker #2: In relation to the stack—the FY27, 28 stack on the slide that Andrew spoke to—what I can say is we're in live tenders or late-stage negotiations for all of that remaining contract volume expiring over that period.
Edward McKeiver: In relation to the stack, the FY 2027, 2028 stack on the slide that Andrew spoke to, what I can say is we are in live tenders or late-stage negotiations for all of that remaining contract volume expiring over that period. I obviously cannot get into customer-specific details. We are also, though, just to remind you, we are competing for contestable competitive volume that is not actually shown in that current pipeline at the moment as well. The difference between the near-term recontracting and the contracting we have just announced is that it is around 10 smaller volume contracts rather than another large baseload recontract like the one announced today.
Edward McKeiver: In relation to the stack, the FY 2027, 2028 stack on the slide that Andrew spoke to, what I can say is we are in live tenders or late-stage negotiations for all of that remaining contract volume expiring over that period. I obviously cannot get into customer-specific details. We are also, though, just to remind you, we are competing for contestable competitive volume that is not actually shown in that current pipeline at the moment as well.
Speaker #2: So I obviously can't get into customer-specific details. We're also, though, just to remind you, competing for contestable, competitive volume that isn't actually shown in that current pipeline at the moment as well.
Speaker #2: So, the difference between the near-term recontracting and the contracting we've just announced is that the near-term activity is around 10 smaller volume contracts, rather than another large base load recontract like the one announced today.
Edward McKeiver: The difference between the near-term recontracting and the contracting we have just announced is that it is around 10 smaller volume contracts rather than another large baseload recontract like the one announced today.
Speaker #5: Okay, that's great. And then one final question on the capex side: the drop in the capex spend for coal in FY26 for the sustainable side, is that a reflection that you just didn't need to do the maintenance on Holleton wagons and locos because contracts are coming to an end and you're going to park them in sheds and the equivalent?
Ian Myles: Okay, that is great. One final question on the CapEx side. The drop in the CapEx spend for coal in FY for the sustainable side in FY 2026, is that a reflection that you just did not need to do the maintenance on a whole lot of wagons and locos because the contract is coming to an end and you are going to park them in sheds and the equivalent, so it is just a permanent step down?
Ian Myles: Okay, that is great. One final question on the CapEx side. The drop in the CapEx spend for coal in FY for the sustainable side in FY 2026, is that a reflection that you just did not need to do the maintenance on a whole lot of wagons and locos because the contract is coming to an end and you are going to park them in sheds and the equivalent, so it is just a permanent step down?
Speaker #5: And so, it's just a permanent step down.
Speaker #2: Not at all, Ian. It's partly cyclical in timing, and also, I may suggest, the result of good planning over the last decade. I mean, to give you some color, we have done the midlife overhauls for our entire 105-strong electric loco fleet in Queensland over the last 10 years.
Edward McKeiver: Not at all, Ian. It is partly cyclical in timing and also, I may suggest, the result of good planning over the last decade. To give you some color, we have done the mid-life overhauls for our entire 105-strong electric loco fleet in Queensland over the last 10 years. We also built our own Jilalan wheel overhaul facility in Jilalan, and we are now halfway through our 5,500 wagon mid-life overhauls. We have invested in Southeast Queensland or the West Moreton Corridor to grow with our customers there. So our fleet has been renewed there as well, and now we are starting on our overhauls in New South Wales as well. So we have changed. On previous call, one of the ways we are able to get more capital efficiency is by we move from monolithic overhauls of our locomotives to component-level change out of components.
Edward McKeiver: Not at all, Ian. It is partly cyclical in timing and also, I may suggest, the result of good planning over the last decade. To give you some color, we have done the mid-life overhauls for our entire 105-strong electric loco fleet in Queensland over the last 10 years. We also built our own Jilalan wheel overhaul facility in Jilalan, and we are now halfway through our 5,500 wagon mid-life overhauls. We have invested in Southeast Queensland or the West Moreton Corridor to grow with our customers there.
Speaker #2: We've also built our own Jilalan wheel overhaul facility in Jilalan, and we're now halfway through our five and a half thousand wagon midlife overhauls.
Speaker #2: We've invested in the southeast Queensland or the West Moreton corridor to grow with our customers there, so our fleet has been renewed there as well.
Edward McKeiver: So our fleet has been renewed there as well, and now we are starting on our overhauls in New South Wales as well. So we have changed. On previous call, one of the ways we are able to get more capital efficiency is by we move from monolithic overhauls of our locomotives to component-level change out of components.
Speaker #2: And now we're starting on our overhauls in New South Wales as well. So we've changed, on privilege call, one of the ways we're able to get more capital efficiency is by moving from monolithic overhauls of our locomotives to component-level change-out of those components, so we're not replacing things early that don't need to be replaced.
Edward McKeiver: So we are not replacing things early that don't need to be replaced. The other thing we are doing a lot better in recent years and certainly still a focus for us is making sure the periodicity of our maintenance intervals are optimized, and that is by fleet, also by the corridor where those particular assets are deployed.
Edward McKeiver: So we are not replacing things early that don't need to be replaced. The other thing we are doing a lot better in recent years and certainly still a focus for us is making sure the periodicity of our maintenance intervals are optimized, and that is by fleet, also by the corridor where those particular assets are deployed.
Speaker #2: And the other thing we've done—and we're doing a lot better in recent years, and certainly it's still a focus for us—is making sure the periodicity of our maintenance intervals is optimized.
Speaker #2: And that is by fleet, also by the corridor where those particular assets are deployed.
Speaker #3: And if I could add in, optimized means longer periods.
Andrew Harding: If I could add in, optimized means longer periods.
Andrew Harding: If I could add in, optimized means longer periods.
Speaker #2: Yes.
Edward McKeiver: Yes
Edward McKeiver: Yes
Speaker #3: Between interventions.
Andrew Harding: Between interventions.
Andrew Harding: Between interventions.
Speaker #5: So can I extrapolate—because that was a lot of information, and I'm a bit dim—can I extrapolate that you're actually having in coal a capex number which is sustainably lower than what it's been for, say, the average of the last five years?
Ian Myles: Can I extrapolate, because that was a lot of information. I am a bit dim. Can I extrapolate that you are actually having in coal a CapEx number which is sustainably lower than what it has been for, say, the average of the last 5 years?
Ian Myles: Can I extrapolate, because that was a lot of information. I am a bit dim. Can I extrapolate that you are actually having in coal a CapEx number which is sustainably lower than what it has been for, say, the average of the last 5 years?
Speaker #2: I think the short answer is yes. I wouldn't depart too far from that. There's a timing impact associated with it, and it'll be dependent again on recontracting and customer nominations. It'll remain in the zone.
Edward McKeiver: I think the short answer is yes. I would not depart too far from the. There is a timing impact associated with it, and it will be dependent again on recontracting and customer nominations. It will remain in the zone.
Edward McKeiver: I think the short answer is yes. I would not depart too far from the. There is a timing impact associated with it, and it will be dependent again on recontracting and customer nominations. It will remain in the zone.
Speaker #3: But Ian, probably to possibly the heart of your question is that there have been deliberate changes to the way maintenance is done in coal and in bulk that takes better drops the level of planning down to a component level from a unit level and in doing that, we and application of the right technology, information technology, you can actually make really good decisions to push out the inspection and replacement intervals and can move to more condition-based for your fleet.
Andrew Harding: But Ian, possibly the heart of your question is that there have been deliberate changes to the way maintenance is done in coal and in bulk that takes better, drops the level of planning down to a component level from a unit level. In doing that, and application of the right technology, information technology, you can actually make really good decisions to push out the inspection and replacement intervals and can move to more condition-based for your fleet. In doing that, to something that Ed was trying to point to, you see an immediate impact because you are just pushing the time frames out. But over the longer term, because you have pushed those time frames out, you also see some benefit in the future. But the key benefit you see is in the first couple of years that you actually do that work.
Andrew Harding: But Ian, possibly the heart of your question is that there have been deliberate changes to the way maintenance is done in coal and in bulk that takes better, drops the level of planning down to a component level from a unit level. In doing that, and application of the right technology, information technology, you can actually make really good decisions to push out the inspection and replacement intervals and can move to more condition-based for your fleet.
Speaker #3: And in doing that, you'll see, and to something that Ed was trying to point to, is you see an immediate impact because you're just pushing the timeframes out. But over the longer term, because you've pushed those timeframes out, you also see some benefit in the future.
Andrew Harding: In doing that, to something that Ed was trying to point to, you see an immediate impact because you are just pushing the time frames out. But over the longer term, because you have pushed those time frames out, you also see some benefit in the future. But the key benefit you see is in the first couple of years that you actually do that work.
Speaker #3: But the key benefit you see is in the first couple of years that you actually do that work.
Speaker #2: Ian, I'd say if you take a five-year view, we're probably spending $100 million a year. This was $82 million or something last year.
Edward McKeiver: Ian, I would say if you take a 5-year view, we are probably spending AUD 100 million a year. This is AUD 82 or something last year. So that is the cycle. So it is going to be a bit more in the future to cover that off, but not a material change. So do not assume it is a steps change. We are still shipping 192 million tons. So in theory, you should be spending the same amount of money. Plus, you have probably got inflationary pressures as well. So it is not a material drop.
Edward McKeiver: Ian, I would say if you take a 5-year view, we are probably spending AUD 100 million a year. This is AUD 82 or something last year. So that is the cycle. So it is going to be a bit more in the future to cover that off, but not a material change. So do not assume it is a steps change. We are still shipping 192 million tons. So in theory, you should be spending the same amount of money. Plus, you have probably got inflationary pressures as well. So it is not a material drop.
Speaker #2: So that's the cycle. It's going to be a bit further into the future to cover that off, but it's not a material change. So don't assume it's a step change.
Speaker #2: We're still shipping 192 million tons, so in theory, we should be spending the same amount of money. Plus, you've probably got inflationary pressures as well.
Speaker #2: So, it's not a material drop.
Speaker #5: Okay. Look, that's great. Thank you.
Ian Myles: Okay. That is great. Thank you.
Ian Myles: Okay. That is great. Thank you.
Speaker #2: Welcome. Thank you.
Edward McKeiver: Welcome. Thank you.
Edward McKeiver: Welcome. Thank you.
Speaker #1: Thank you. Your next question comes from Cameron McDonald from ANP. Please go ahead.
Operator: Thank you. Your next question comes from Cameron McDonald from AMP. Please go ahead.
Operator: Thank you. Your next question comes from Cameron McDonald from AMP. Please go ahead.
Speaker #5: And just on the coal transformation of the 30 million benefit, are we is that the right number to be sort of thinking about the earnings headwind that you then trying to offset because of the recontracting and the yield pressure that you're seeing come through in '27?
Cameron McDonald: Just on the coal transformation of the AUD 30 million benefit, is that the right number to be thinking about the earnings headwind that you are then trying to offset because of the recontracting and the yield pressure that you are seeing come through in 2027?
Cameron McDonald: Just on the coal transformation of the AUD 30 million benefit, is that the right number to be thinking about the earnings headwind that you are then trying to offset because of the recontracting and the yield pressure that you are seeing come through in 2027?
Speaker #3: Do you want to talk about it?
Edward McKeiver: Do you want to talk to that, Ed?
Edward McKeiver: Do you want to talk to that, Ed?
Edward McKeiver: Yes. Yes. Short answer is yes, Cameron.
Edward McKeiver: Yes. Yes. Short answer is yes, Cameron.
Speaker #2: Yeah, yeah. Yes, short answer is yes, Cameron.
Speaker #5: Yep. Okay, so it’s going to take you three years to get back to FY26 earnings, effectively, all other things being equal.
Cameron McDonald: Yep. Okay, so it is going to take you 3 years to get back to FY 2026 earnings effectively, all other things being equal.
Cameron McDonald: Yep. Okay, so it is going to take you 3 years to get back to FY 2026 earnings effectively, all other things being equal.
Speaker #2: No. No, no. No, no. So maybe, Ed, I can help with that. So we've told you about the recontracting, and the—so what are you going to do about it?
Andrew Harding: No.
Edward McKeiver: No.
Andrew Harding: No. Maybe, Ed, I can help with that. We have told you about the recontracting, so what are you going to do about it? This transformation is about improving the underlying cost and productivity to get back. The plan is AUD 30 million per annum is what we are targeting. Therefore, that run rate, you take that forward.
Andrew Harding: No. Maybe, Ed, I can help with that. We have told you about the recontracting, so what are you going to do about it? This transformation is about improving the underlying cost and productivity to get back. The plan is AUD 30 million per annum is what we are targeting. Therefore, that run rate, you take that forward.
Speaker #2: So, this transformation is about improving the underlying costs and productivity to get back. The plan is $30 million per annum, is what we're targeting.
Speaker #2: So, therefore, you take that run rate forward.
Speaker #5: Yeah, but if that is an earnings headwind in '27 and it takes you three years to get to that run rate, all other things being equal, you're saying coal earnings will be lower for the next three years than they were in '26.
Cameron McDonald: Yeah. If that is an earnings headwind in 2027 and it takes you 3 years to get to that run rate, all other things being equal, you are saying coal earnings will be lower for the next 3 years than they were in 2026?
Cameron McDonald: Yeah. If that is an earnings headwind in 2027 and it takes you 3 years to get to that run rate, all other things being equal, you are saying coal earnings will be lower for the next 3 years than they were in 2026?
Speaker #2: No, we're saying that the transformation benefits—we’re putting them in to protect earnings going forward, from the 2027 level.
Andrew Harding: No. We are saying that the transformation benefits, we are putting them in to protect earnings going forward,
Andrew Harding: No. We are saying that the transformation benefits, we are putting them in to protect earnings going forward,
Cameron McDonald: Yeah
Cameron McDonald: Yeah
Andrew Harding: from the 2027 level.
Andrew Harding: from the 2027 level.
Speaker #4: Yeah. We don't give guidance by business unit, Cameron. As you know, and as Andrew has noted, we know earnings will be lower in FY27 because of the lower contract volume and lower yield.
Edward McKeiver: We do not give guidance by business unit, Cameron, as you know. As Andrew has noted, earnings will be lower in FY 2027 because of the lower contract volume and lower yield. We have got more recontracting to do. It will depend. We are very focused on, I am very focused personally, on rebuilding earnings and recovering earnings. That is why we are announcing the transformation plan today.
Edward McKeiver: We do not give guidance by business unit, Cameron, as you know. As Andrew has noted, earnings will be lower in FY 2027 because of the lower contract volume and lower yield. We have got more recontracting to do. It will depend. We are very focused on, I am very focused personally, on rebuilding earnings and recovering earnings. That is why we are announcing the transformation plan today.
Speaker #4: We've got more recontracting to do. It will depend. We're very focused—and I'm very focused personally—on rebuilding earnings and recovering earnings. That's why we're announcing the transformation plan today.
Speaker #5: Okay, great. Then just on the network: next year, or this year, FY27 is the final year of getting some previous period revenue cap adjustments coming through.
Cameron McDonald: Okay, great. Just on the network, this year, FY 2027 is the final year of getting some previous period revenue cap adjustments coming through. What is that number expected to be in 2027, please? Because on the slides you have something between AUD 60 million and AUD 101 million.
Cameron McDonald: Okay, great. Just on the network, this year, FY 2027 is the final year of getting some previous period revenue cap adjustments coming through. What is that number expected to be in 2027, please? Because on the slides you have something between AUD 60 million and AUD 101 million.
Speaker #5: What is that number expected to be in '27, please? Because on the slides, you've got something between 60 and 101.
Speaker #2: Yeah, the number in '27 is 60, 60. And we expect about 60% of that to drop to EBITDA.
Andrew Harding: Yeah, the number in 2027 is AUD 60 million, six, zero.
Andrew Harding: Yeah, the number in 2027 is AUD 60 million, six, zero.
Cameron McDonald: Yep.
Cameron McDonald: Yep.
Andrew Harding: We expect about 60% of that to drop to EBITDA.
Andrew Harding: We expect about 60% of that to drop to EBITDA.
Speaker #5: Okay, so 60 in '27. Yeah, 60% EBITDA. Yep, cool, thank you. Just in terms of where you're at in terms of the building—and this is the BHP South Australia contract—you're building a depot at Pimba to facilitate all of that?
Cameron McDonald: Okay, so AUD 60 million in 2027.
Cameron McDonald: Okay, so AUD 60 million in 2027.
Andrew Harding: So it
Andrew Harding: So it
Cameron McDonald: Yeah, 60% EBITDA. Yep. Cool. Thank you. Just in terms of where you are in terms of the building, and this is the BHP South Australia contract. You are building a depot at Pimba to facilitate all that. Where are you in that process, and how much more is to spend in FY 2027?
Cameron McDonald: Yeah, 60% EBITDA. Yep. Cool. Thank you. Just in terms of where you are in terms of the building, and this is the BHP South Australia contract. You are building a depot at Pimba to facilitate all that. Where are you in that process, and how much more is to spend in FY 2027?
Speaker #5: Where are you in that process, and how much more is there to spend in FY27?
Speaker #2: So, just to go back a little bit to where we started the contract, we started with a temporary terminal, and then we talked about moving from that as the volumes built. We would have to exit the temporary terminal and move into the permanent terminal.
Andrew Harding: Just to go back a little bit into where we started the contract. We started with a temporary terminal, and we then we talked about as the volumes built, we would have to exit the temporary terminal and move into the permanent terminal. George, do you want to just talk about where we are in that process?
Andrew Harding: Just to go back a little bit into where we started the contract. We started with a temporary terminal, and we then we talked about as the volumes built, we would have to exit the temporary terminal and move into the permanent terminal. George, do you want to just talk about where we are in that process?
Speaker #2: So, George, do you want to just talk about where we are in that process?
Speaker #4: Yeah, thanks, Andrew. The team did a fantastic job getting that temporary terminal up and running in what was three months, Cameron, for the first train to run on the 1st of October.
George Lippiatt: Yeah. Thanks, Andrew. The team did a fantastic job getting that temporary terminal up and running in what was 3 months, Cameron, for the first train to run on 1 October. We are now going through the approval process with the South Australian Government and also an indigenous land use agreement to then build the permanent terminal adjacent to the temporary terminal. How much of that permanent terminal we get built and how much CapEx we spend in FY 2027 will depend on how quickly those approvals and LUAs get in place. But I would be saying it could be AUD 10 million to AUD 20 million, and we will have a better idea when we come to the H1 results, so happy to give an update then. But that range I mentioned is reflected in our FY 2027 CapEx guidance.
George Lippiatt: Yeah. Thanks, Andrew. The team did a fantastic job getting that temporary terminal up and running in what was 3 months, Cameron, for the first train to run on 1 October. We are now going through the approval process with the South Australian Government and also an indigenous land use agreement to then build the permanent terminal adjacent to the temporary terminal. How much of that permanent terminal we get built and how much CapEx we spend in FY 2027 will depend on how quickly those approvals and LUAs get in place.
Speaker #4: We're now going through the approval process with the South Australian Government and also an Indigenous Land Use Agreement to then build the permanent terminal adjacent to the temporary terminal.
Speaker #4: How much of that permanent terminal we get built, and how much capex we spend in FY27, will depend on how quickly those approvals and bill of uses get in place.
Speaker #4: But I'd be saying it could be $10 to $20 million, and we'll have a better idea when we come to the half-year results. I'm happy to give an update then.
George Lippiatt: But I would be saying it could be AUD 10 million to AUD 20 million, and we will have a better idea when we come to the H1 results, so happy to give an update then. But that range I mentioned is reflected in our FY 2027 CapEx guidance.
Speaker #4: But that range I mentioned is reflected in our FY27 CapEx guidance.
Speaker #5: Okay, great. And then, Andrew, just while you've got the floor—TGE has been in the press either looking for a new owner or looking for some capital support with a partner.
Cameron McDonald: Okay, great. Andrew, just while you have the floor, TGE has been in the press either looking for a new owner or looking for some capital support with a partner. Can you either confirm or rule out that Aurizon would be looking to inject capital of any description into TGE?
Cameron McDonald: Okay, great. Andrew, just while you have the floor, TGE has been in the press either looking for a new owner or looking for some capital support with a partner. Can you either confirm or rule out that Aurizon would be looking to inject capital of any description into TGE?
Speaker #5: Can you either confirm or rule out that Horizon would be looking to inject capital of any description into TGE?
Andrew Harding: It is not a particularly fair question, is it, talking about one of my customers. What I would say is when we started the contract and the business of containerized freight, which was based on the key customer of TGE, we said we had learned a number of things from the past, where we had made mistakes and we were not looking to repeat them. Amongst those decisions, or those learnings, one of them was that we would not be a freight forwarder and compete with our customers.
Andrew Harding: It is not a particularly fair question, is it, talking about one of my customers. What I would say is when we started the contract and the business of containerized freight, which was based on the key customer of TGE, we said we had learned a number of things from the past, where we had made mistakes and we were not looking to repeat them. Amongst those decisions, or those learnings, one of them was that we would not be a freight forwarder and compete with our customers.
Speaker #2: It's not a particularly fair question, is it? Talking about one of my customers. But what I would say is, when we started the contract with—and the business of—containerized freight, which was based on the key customer of TGE, we said we'd learned a number of things from the past.
Speaker #2: And we weren't, where we'd made mistakes, we weren't looking to repeat them. And among those decisions, or those learnings, one of them was that we would not be a freight forwarder and compete with our customers.
Speaker #5: Okay. Great. Thank you.
Cameron McDonald: Okay, great. Thank you.
Cameron McDonald: Okay, great. Thank you.
Speaker #1: Thank you. Your next question comes from Nathan Lead from Morgans. Please go ahead.
Operator: Thank you. Your next question comes from Nathan Lead from Morgans. Please go ahead.
Operator: Thank you. Your next question comes from Nathan Lead from Morgans. Please go ahead.
Speaker #5: Hi, gents. Thanks for your presentations. Just the first one for me—the FY27 EBITDA guidance range—what are the factors that swing it from top to bottom?
Nathan Lead: Hi, gents. Thanks for your presentations. Just first one from me, the FY 2027 EBITDA guidance range. Just what are the factors that swing it from top to bottom?
Nathan Lead: Hi, gents. Thanks for your presentations. Just first one from me, the FY 2027 EBITDA guidance range. Just what are the factors that swing it from top to bottom?
Speaker #3: Do you want to talk through it in factors?
Andrew Harding: Do you want to talk through any of the factors?
Andrew Harding: Do you want to talk through any of the factors?
Speaker #2: I can do. I can do. I think if you go through each of the business units, they'll have different reasons for the risks and the opportunities, if you wanted to frame it that way.
George Lippiatt: I can do. I think you go through each of the business units, and they will have different reasons for, I guess, the risks and the opportunities if you wanted to frame it that way. Network, we know is consistent and predictable.
Ian Wells: I can do. I think you go through each of the business units, and they will have different reasons for, I guess, the risks and the opportunities if you wanted to frame it that way. Network, we know is consistent and predictable.
Speaker #2: The network, we know, is consistent and predictable. In terms of coal—we've talked a lot about coal today—the pluses and minuses associated with that.
Andrew Harding: Yep.
Nathan Lead: Yep.
George Lippiatt: In terms of coal, we have talked a lot about coal today. The pluses and minuses associated with that.
Ian Wells: In terms of coal, we have talked a lot about coal today. The pluses and minuses associated with that. But similarly, off the base of a predictable hauled tonnage. George has spoken about bulk as well. The key things there are probably mostly the things that we cannot control, which would be weather, track access, those types of things. CF is in largely the same boat, albeit we are in a much stronger position from the perspective this year than we were last year.
Speaker #2: But similarly, off the base of a predictable hauled tonnage, George has spoken about bulk as well. And so the key things there are probably mostly the things that we cannot control, which would be weather, track access, those types of things.
Ian Wells: But similarly, off the base of a predictable hauled tonnage. George has spoken about bulk as well. The key things there are probably mostly the things that we cannot control, which would be weather, track access, those types of things. CF is in largely the same boat, albeit we are in a much stronger position from the perspective this year than we were last year. So there are the pluses and minuses, and that is the balanced position. When we look at probably the balance is the corporate costs. You would expect corporate costs will be consistent. If not, we will be trying for lower, but nonetheless. So there are the things that we have put in place, probably nothing different than what you have heard in previous years.
Speaker #2: And CF is in largely the same boat, albeit we're in a much stronger position from the perspective this year than we were last year.
Speaker #2: So they're the pluses and minuses, and that's the balanced position. When we look at probably the balance, it's the corporate costs. You'd expect corporate costs will be consistent, if not we'll be trying for lower. But nonetheless...
Ian Wells: So there are the pluses and minuses, and that is the balanced position. When we look at probably the balance is the corporate costs. You would expect corporate costs will be consistent. If not, we will be trying for lower, but nonetheless. So there are the things that we have put in place, probably nothing different than what you have heard in previous years.
Speaker #2: So they're the things that we've put in place—probably nothing different than what you've heard in previous years.
Speaker #5: Yep. Okay, great. Second question is: with the new coal haulage contracts, you've spoken about the sort of mix of capacity revenue and volume-based revenue.
Nathan Lead: Yep. Okay, great. Second question is with the new coal haulage contracts. You have spoken about the mix of capacity revenue and volume-based revenue. I just wanted to, and also you have talked about the haulage rates, but just wanted to just get confidence that the escalation type formula for these long-dated contracts has not changed, or if there is anything going on on that front.
Nathan Lead: Yep. Okay, great. Second question is with the new coal haulage contracts. You have spoken about the mix of capacity revenue and volume-based revenue. I just wanted to, and also you have talked about the haulage rates, but just wanted to just get confidence that the escalation type formula for these long-dated contracts has not changed, or if there is anything going on on that front.
Speaker #5: I just wanted to—and also, you've talked about the haulage rates, but I just wanted to get confidence that the escalation-type formula for these long-dated contracts hasn't changed, or if there's anything going on on that front?
Ian Wells: If you mean CPI escalation and fuel,
Ian Wells: If you mean CPI escalation and fuel,
Speaker #3: If you mean CPI escalation and fuel and energy pass-through, Nathan?
Nathan Lead: Yeah
Nathan Lead: Yeah
Ian Wells: and energy pass through, Nathan?
Ian Wells: and energy pass through, Nathan?
Speaker #5: Yeah. Yep.
Nathan Lead: Yeah.
Nathan Lead: Yeah.
Ian Wells: Yeah. No, no material change.
Ian Wells: Yeah. No, no material change.
Speaker #2: Yeah. No, no, no—no material change.
Speaker #5: Okay. Great. I'm just sort of thinking about that, I suppose, from the sort of the credit quality of the coal segment. Our final one from me, just for you, Ian, I suppose, just you've had a chance to look into the capital management of the business.
Nathan Lead: Okay, great. I am just thinking about that, I suppose, from the credit quality of the Coal segment. A final one from me, just for you, Ian, I suppose, just you have had a chance to look into the capital management of the business. How much debt capacity do you think the group overall has within its current credit ratings?
Nathan Lead: Okay, great. I am just thinking about that, I suppose, from the credit quality of the Coal segment. A final one from me, just for you, Ian, I suppose, just you have had a chance to look into the capital management of the business. How much debt capacity do you think the group overall has within its current credit ratings?
Speaker #5: How much debt capacity do you think the group overall has within its current credit ratings?
Speaker #2: Yeah, yeah. Well, we've got roughly $1 billion of available capacity, so that's probably an area that I'd sort of look at that's available.
Ian Wells: Well, we have got roughly AUD 1 billion of available capacity. That is probably an area that I would look at that is available. That is, I suppose, the balance sheet, the extent to which the capacity we have, I guess, if you like. We generally use that capacity for refinancing, we will use that as part of our refinancing as well. If you said, what was the hard number of what we could raise within the credit rating boundaries, that would be around that number.
Ian Wells: Well, we have got roughly AUD 1 billion of available capacity. That is probably an area that I would look at that is available. That is, I suppose, the balance sheet, the extent to which the capacity we have, I guess, if you like. We generally use that capacity for refinancing, we will use that as part of our refinancing as well. If you said, what was the hard number of what we could raise within the credit rating boundaries, that would be around that number.
Speaker #2: But that's the, I suppose, the balance sheet—the extent to which the capacity we have, I guess, if you like. We generally use that capacity for refinancing, and we'll use that as part of our refinancing as well.
Speaker #2: But if you said, what was the hard number of what we could raise within the credit rating boundaries, that would be around that number.
Speaker #5: Around a billion dollars. I suppose the question then goes back to what's stopping you from doing more buyback?
Nathan Lead: Around AUD 1 billion. I suppose the question then goes back to what is stopping you doing more buyback?
Nathan Lead: Around AUD 1 billion. I suppose the question then goes back to what is stopping you doing more buyback?
Speaker #3: So Nathan, I deliberately spoke about and went through the process that the Board uses to make a decision. I didn't say anything about stopping or starting a buyback.
Andrew Harding: Nathan, I deliberately said and went to the process that the board uses to make a decision. I didn't say anything about stopping or starting a buyback. The board makes a decision on buybacks based on all the information it has at the time. If you look at the history, we've made decisions, and only last year, at the half and at the prior full year. Then not randomly, but different times, through previous periods. The board will make a decision based on the information it has at the time.
Andrew Harding: Nathan, I deliberately said and went to the process that the board uses to make a decision. I didn't say anything about stopping or starting a buyback. The board makes a decision on buybacks based on all the information it has at the time. If you look at the history, we've made decisions, and only last year, at the half and at the prior full year. Then not randomly, but different times, through previous periods. The board will make a decision based on the information it has at the time.
Speaker #3: The Board makes a decision on buybacks based on all the information it has at the time. If you look at the history, we've made decisions, and only last year at the half and at the prior full year.
Speaker #3: And then, not randomly, but at different times through previous periods. So the Board will make a decision based on the information it has at the time.
Speaker #5: Okay. Great.
Nathan Lead: Okay, great.
Nathan Lead: Okay, great.
Speaker #2: Nathan, I was really hoping you'd ask me about the capital allocation framework. That would be a much more exciting discussion, but the point being, what Andrew's saying is that we've got a very clear and disciplined capital allocation framework in which the objective is to maximize shareholder returns.
Ian Wells: Nathan, I was really hoping you'd ask me about the capital allocation framework. That would be a way more exciting discussion. But the point being, what Andrew's saying is that we've got a very clear and disciplined capital allocation framework, in which the objective is to maximize shareholder returns. And we'll look at all of the opportunities to do that through that lens.
Ian Wells: Nathan, I was really hoping you'd ask me about the capital allocation framework. That would be a way more exciting discussion. But the point being, what Andrew's saying is that we've got a very clear and disciplined capital allocation framework, in which the objective is to maximize shareholder returns. And we'll look at all of the opportunities to do that through that lens.
Speaker #2: And we'll look at all of the opportunities to do that through that lens.
Speaker #5: Well, just on, I suppose, on capital allocation. I mean, Andrew, you've previously said how painful it had been to reduce the payout ratio.
Nathan Lead: Well, just on, I suppose, on capital allocation, I mean, Andrew, you've previously said about how painful it had been to reduce the payout ratio. Can we assume that 90% is steady state at the moment and franking, you can continue at that 90% or above?
Nathan Lead: Well, just on, I suppose, on capital allocation, I mean, Andrew, you've previously said about how painful it had been to reduce the payout ratio. Can we assume that 90% is steady state at the moment and franking, you can continue at that 90% or above?
Speaker #5: Can we assume that 90% is kind of a steady state at the moment, and franking—you can kind of continue with that 90% or above?
Speaker #2: So, I think the way I've answered that question before, Nathan—and there's no reason to change it—is that we want a payout ratio that is a good reflection of where the business is, which is a business that is not ex-growth.
Andrew Harding: I think, the way I have answered that question before, Nathan, and there is no reason to change it, is that we want a payout ratio that is a good reflection of where the business is, which is we are a business that is not X growth. We need to take that into account. But we are also a business that generates an awful lot of cash from our network and our coal businesses. The payout ratio at 90% reflects that judgment. When it comes to franking, I am not an expert in all of the stuff that goes into generating the franking calculation, but equally, you do not want to forecast franking too far into the future, but rather look at what we have done in the past. We have been fairly well franked in the past, and I think that is some indication of where we could be in the future.
Andrew Harding: I think, the way I have answered that question before, Nathan, and there is no reason to change it, is that we want a payout ratio that is a good reflection of where the business is, which is we are a business that is not X growth. We need to take that into account. But we are also a business that generates an awful lot of cash from our network and our coal businesses.
Speaker #2: So we need to take that into account. But we are also a business that generates an awful lot of cash from our Network and our Coal businesses.
Speaker #2: So the payout ratio at 90% reflects that judgment. When it comes to franking—so, I'm not an expert in all of the stuff that goes into generating the franking calculation.
Andrew Harding: The payout ratio at 90% reflects that judgment. When it comes to franking, I am not an expert in all of the stuff that goes into generating the franking calculation, but equally, you do not want to forecast franking too far into the future, but rather look at what we have done in the past. We have been fairly well franked in the past, and I think that is some indication of where we could be in the future. Did you want to add anything to that?
Speaker #2: But equally, you don't want to forecast franking too far into the future, but rather look at what we've done in the past.
Speaker #2: And we've been fairly well-franked in the past, and I think that's some indication of where we could be in the future. Did you want to add anything to that?
Andrew Harding: Did you want to add anything to that?
Ian Wells: Yeah. I think it is important to note, if you have a look at our free cash flow to equity or bottom line free cash flow, and have a look, if you look at it either statutory or underlying, the two NPAT and free cash flow are quite aligned. That means reinvesting back into the business at or around depreciation, which we have discussed about today. Then we have probably got a pick up on tax because we are currently paying less tax than earnings, so that is good news, but that also limits the franking. Two things. One is NPAT and free cash flow align, therefore, a 90% payout of NPAT also means a 90% payout of free cash flow. That is important.
Ian Wells: Yeah. I think it is important to note, if you have a look at our free cash flow to equity or bottom line free cash flow, and have a look, if you look at it either statutory or underlying, the two NPAT and free cash flow are quite aligned.
Speaker #3: Yeah, I think it's important to note, if you have a look at our free cash flow to equity, or bottom line free cash flow, and have a look—if you look at either our statutory or underlying, the two, NPAT and free cash flow, are quite aligned.
Speaker #3: So that means reinvesting back into the business at or around depreciation, which we've discussed about today. And then we've probably got a pickup on tax because we're currently paying less tax than earnings, which—the good news is that's good news—but that also limits the franking.
Ian Wells: That means reinvesting back into the business at or around depreciation, which we have discussed about today. Then we have probably got a pick up on tax because we are currently paying less tax than earnings, so that is good news, but that also limits the franking. Two things. One is NPAT and free cash flow align, therefore, a 90% payout of NPAT also means a 90% payout of free cash flow. That is important. The second part is franking is a function of accelerated depreciation, which is good because it means we pay less tax, which means we have more capital to allocate.
Speaker #3: So, two things. One is that NPAT and free cash flow are aligned, so therefore a 90% payout of NPAT also means a 90% payout of free cash flow.
Speaker #3: That's important. And the second part is, franking is a function of accelerated depreciation, which is good because it means we pay less tax, which means we have more capital to allocate.
Ian Wells: The second part is franking is a function of accelerated depreciation, which is good because it means we pay less tax, which means we have more capital to allocate.
Speaker #5: Great. Thank you.
Nathan Lead: Great. Thank you.
Nathan Lead: Great. Thank you.
Speaker #1: Thank you. Once again, if you'd like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced.
Operator: Thank you. Once again, if you would like to ask a question, please press star 1 on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. Your next question comes from Scott Ryle, from Rimor Equity Research. Please go ahead.
Operator: Thank you. Once again, if you would like to ask a question, please press star 1 on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. Your next question comes from Scott Ryle, from Rimor Equity Research. Please go ahead.
Speaker #1: Your next question comes from Scott Ryle from Remor Equity Research. Please go ahead.
Speaker #4: Hi, thank you. Just a very quick question, hopefully, so I'll just rattle through. On slide 16, George, this is probably for you. Could you just tell me, over a three- to five-year timeframe, of those business unit splits that you've put—hopefully down on the bottom left-hand side—which are the ones that excite you most over a three- to five-year timeframe, please?
Scott Ryle: Hi there. Thank you. I have very quick questions, hopefully, so I will just rattle through. On slide 16, George, this is probably for you. Could you just tell me over a 3-to-5-year timeframe, of those business unit splits that you have put helpfully down on the bottom left-hand side, which is the ones that excite you most over a 3-to-5-year timeframe, please?
Scott Ryall: Hi there. Thank you. I have very quick questions, hopefully, so I will just rattle through. On slide 16, George, this is probably for you. Could you just tell me over a 3-to-5-year timeframe, of those business unit splits that you have put helpfully down on the bottom left-hand side, which is the ones that excite you most over a 3-to-5-year timeframe, please?
Speaker #2: Yeah. Scott, if I heard you right, it's the chart that shows revenue broken down by commodities. Is that right?
George Lippiatt: Yeah. Scott, if I heard you right, it is the chart that shows revenue broken down by commodities. Is that right?
George Lippiatt: Yeah. Scott, if I heard you right, it is the chart that shows revenue broken down by commodities. Is that right?
Speaker #4: Correct. Yes.
Scott Ryle: Correct. Yeah.
Scott Ryall: Correct. Yeah.
Speaker #2: Yeah, got it. Okay. I mean, look, when I think about growth of the bulk business, there are three broad categories by which we drive growth. The first one is better operational performance.
George Lippiatt: Yeah. Got it. Okay. When I think about growth of the bulk business, there are three broad categories we drive growth. The first one is in better operational performance. The second one is in relation to growing with our existing customers, and the third one is new customers. If I tackle it that way, then I will circle back to your question. So we improved our cancellation performance in bulk quite significantly in FY 2027. Just in WA alone, we took 1,300 cancellations in FY 2025, and we dropped it down by 300. We want to do that again in FY 2027, and then further improvements across the business for the next two years. The second lever I mentioned is grow with our existing customers. There are two that have public growth targets out there.
George Lippiatt: Yeah. Got it. Okay. When I think about growth of the bulk business, there are three broad categories we drive growth. The first one is in better operational performance. The second one is in relation to growing with our existing customers, and the third one is new customers. If I tackle it that way, then I will circle back to your question. So we improved our cancellation performance in bulk quite significantly in FY 2027.
Speaker #2: The second one is in relation to growing with our existing customers, and the third one is new customers. If I tackle it that way, then I'll circle back to your question.
Speaker #2: So we improved our cancellation performance in bulk quite significantly in FY27, just in WA alone. We took 1,300 cancellations in FY25 and we dropped it down by 300.
George Lippiatt: Just in WA alone, we took 1,300 cancellations in FY 2025, and we dropped it down by 300. We want to do that again in FY 2027, and then further improvements across the business for the next two years. The second lever I mentioned is grow with our existing customers. There are two that have public growth targets out there.
Speaker #2: We want to do that again in FY27, and then further improvements across the business in the next two years. The second lever I mentioned is growing with our existing customers.
Speaker #2: There are two that have public growth targets out there. The first one is CBH, which wants to increase its average harvest and also push more of that harvest out in the first six months of the year post-harvest.
George Lippiatt: The first one is CBH, that wants to increase its average harvest and also push more of that harvest out in the first six months of the year post-harvest. The second one is BHP Copper, who have public aspirations out there, of course, subject to investment decisions. The third one is growing with new customers. I mentioned earlier in the call, iron ore, I mentioned phosphate rock, and I mentioned rare earths. So if you step back to your question then, Scott, grain. I am excited about the growth in grain, particularly in Western Australia and South Australia. The second one is copper. South Australia has two-thirds of Australia's copper reserves. That is the reason why we invested in the One Rail business a few years ago. The third I would mention is phosphate rock and rare earths.
George Lippiatt: The first one is CBH, that wants to increase its average harvest and also push more of that harvest out in the first six months of the year post-harvest. The second one is BHP Copper, who have public aspirations out there, of course, subject to investment decisions. The third one is growing with new customers. I mentioned earlier in the call, iron ore, I mentioned phosphate rock, and I mentioned rare earths. So if you step back to your question then, Scott, grain. I am excited about the growth in grain, particularly in Western Australia and South Australia.
Speaker #2: The second one is BHP Copper, who have public aspirations out there—of course, subject to investment decisions. The third one is growing with new customers.
Speaker #2: And I mentioned earlier in the call iron ore, I mentioned phosphate rock, and I mentioned rare earths. So, if you step back to your question then, Scott—grain. I'm excited about the growth in grain, particularly in Western Australia and South Australia.
Speaker #2: The second one is copper. South Australia has two-thirds of Australia's copper reserves. That's the reason why we invested in the One Rail business a few years ago.
George Lippiatt: The second one is copper. South Australia has two-thirds of Australia's copper reserves. That is the reason why we invested in the One Rail business a few years ago. The third I would mention is phosphate rock and rare earths.
Speaker #2: And the third one I’d mention is phosphate rock and rare earths. And when we talk about rare earths, they’re not big volumetrically in terms of exports, but much like copper projects, they need imports into the mining process.
George Lippiatt: When we talk about rare earths, they are not big volumetrically in terms of exports, but much like copper projects, they need imports, inputs into the mining process. Some of the rare earths projects, particularly in the center of Australia, but also Western Australia, we are excited to look to partner with long-term. So if I was to project five years down the track, I would love to see a bigger percentage of grain, bigger percentage of copper, and a bigger percentage of rare earths in that diagram. I think containerized freight volumes will hopefully grow with GDP longer-term. If you were to combine it with containerized freight, I expect you will see a big wedge there called vehicles, post our investment in auto wagons, which as you can tell, I am pretty excited about.
George Lippiatt: When we talk about rare earths, they are not big volumetrically in terms of exports, but much like copper projects, they need imports, inputs into the mining process. Some of the rare earths projects, particularly in the center of Australia, but also Western Australia, we are excited to look to partner with long-term. So if I was to project five years down the track, I would love to see a bigger percentage of grain, bigger percentage of copper, and a bigger percentage of rare earths in that diagram.
Speaker #2: And some of the rare earth projects, particularly in the center of Australia, but also Western Australia, we're excited to look to partner with long-term.
Speaker #2: So, if I was to project five years down the track, I'd love to see a bigger percentage of grain, a bigger percentage of copper, and a bigger percentage of rare earths in that diagram.
Speaker #2: And I think containerized freight volumes will hopefully grow with GDP longer term. And then if you were to combine it with containerized freight, I expect you'll see a big wedge there called vehicles post our investment in auto wagons, which, as you can tell, I'm pretty excited about.
George Lippiatt: I think containerized freight volumes will hopefully grow with GDP longer-term. If you were to combine it with containerized freight, I expect you will see a big wedge there called vehicles, post our investment in auto wagons, which as you can tell, I am pretty excited about.
Speaker #4: Yep. All right. Thank you. Ed, on coal on slide 17—I'm a simple person, and I love waterfall charts. So can I just summarize?
Scott Ryle: All right. Thank you. Ed, on coal on slide 17. I am a simple person and I love waterfall charts. Can I just summarize? You have given a number of answers to this over the course of the call. You talked about if I could look forward to FY 2027 and look at what has changed relative to 2026. You said volumes are about the same, tonne hauls are about the same. Operating costs, you said a similar kind of expectation for 2027. I am thinking price indexation should not change too much, but most of the yield change should be the red bar, the customer mix. I am not sure that net access and fuel actually having a gain year on year is achievable again. Can you just correct me on anything I have said there? I am trying to wrap it all into one package for my simple brain.
Scott Ryall: All right. Thank you. Ed, on coal on slide 17. I am a simple person and I love waterfall charts. Can I just summarize? You have given a number of answers to this over the course of the call. You talked about if I could look forward to FY 2027 and look at what has changed relative to 2026. You said volumes are about the same, tonne hauls are about the same. Operating costs, you said a similar kind of expectation for 2027.
Speaker #4: You've given a number of answers to this over the course of the call. So you've talked about, if I look forward to fiscal '27 and look at what's changed relative to '26, you've said volumes are about the same, tons hauled about the same.
Speaker #4: Operating costs—you've said a similar curve. Expectations for '27: I'm thinking price indexation shouldn't change too much, but most of the yield change should be the red bar, the customer mix.
Scott Ryall: I am thinking price indexation should not change too much, but most of the yield change should be the red bar, the customer mix. I am not sure that net access and fuel actually having a gain year on year is achievable again. Can you just correct me on anything I have said there? I am trying to wrap it all into one package for my simple brain. Thank you.
Speaker #4: And then, I'm not sure that net access and fuel actually having a gain year on year is achievable again. So can you just correct me on anything I've said there?
Speaker #4: I'm just trying to wrap it all into one package for my simple brain. Thank you.
Scott Ryle: Thank you.
Speaker #2: Thanks, Scott. I think you summarized it very well, especially the bit about net access and fuel not repeating in FY27.
Edward McKeiver: Thanks, Scott. I think you summarized it very well. Especially the bit about net access and fuel not repeating in FY 2027.
Edward McKeiver: Thanks, Scott. I think you summarized it very well. Especially the bit about net access and fuel not repeating in FY 2027.
Speaker #4: All right. Fantastic. Thank you. And then, Andrew, just last question for you—you mentioned the ERP earlier on the call. Can you just remind us when that goes live, please?
Scott Ryle: All right. Fantastic. Thank you. Andrew, just last question for you. You mentioned the ERP earlier on the call. Can you just remind us when that goes live, please?
Scott Ryall: All right. Fantastic. Thank you. Andrew, just last question for you. You mentioned the ERP earlier on the call. Can you just remind us when that goes live, please?
Speaker #3: So that's June next year? Yes, 1st of July 2027.
Andrew Harding: So that is June
Andrew Harding: So that is June
George Lippiatt: June next year.
George Lippiatt: June next year.
Andrew Harding: June, yes. 1 July 2027.
Andrew Harding: June, yes. 1 July 2027.
Speaker #4: Okay, so a year away. Okay. Thank you, that's all I had.
Scott Ryle: Okay, so a year away. Okay, thank you. That is all I had.
Scott Ryall: Okay, so a year away. Okay, thank you. That is all I had.
Speaker #3: Thank you.
Andrew Harding: Thank you.
Andrew Harding: Thank you.
Operator: Thank you. There are no further questions at this time. That does conclude our conference for today. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.
Operator: Thank you. There are no further questions at this time. That does conclude our conference for today. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.
