Cathie Wood Goes Bargain Hunting: 3 Stocks She Just Bought
Source: The Motley Fool
Cathie Wood added to Broadcom, Cerebras Systems, and Cloudflare despite all three trading 14%–53% below recent all-time highs. For Broadcom, ARK flags accelerating AI-driven revenue (forecast 85% YoY revenue growth and +92% EPS) alongside a valuation of 18x next fiscal-year earnings versus 60x trailing. The article is broadly supportive of growth re-acceleration, but tempered by post-peak drawdowns and Cerebras’ 53% decline since its IPO.
Analysis
AVGO is the cleanest event-driven setup, but also the most dangerous consensus long. The market is effectively paying for uninterrupted AI monetization and will not reward merely solid execution; the upside case is a guide that confirms 2026 AI demand is still accelerating, while the downside is a classic multiple reset if growth remains strong but not strong enough to justify the forward reset. Near term, that makes this a volatility and guidance trade, not a simple directional long.
CBRS is a different animal: it trades like a leveraged call option on AI inference adoption, but the real risk is customer and jurisdiction concentration. Any delay in a small number of large accounts, export-control friction, or evidence that hyperscalers can internalize similar workloads faster will hit the equity harder than revenue growth alone can support. Over 1-3 months this looks fragile; over 6-18 months, the question is whether the company can broaden demand before the market runs out of patience.
NET is the highest-quality name here and may be the best relative long if software multiple compression pauses. The market is still assuming AI threatens every security/networking vendor equally, but the more durable mechanism is budget consolidation around platforms that already sit in the traffic path. Contrarian risk: the move down in the group may be overdone for NET, but underdone for CBRS; investors are currently treating both as the same AI beta when the underlying balance-sheet, concentration, and customer-optionalities are very different.
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Key Decisions for Investors
- Long AVGO vs. short SMH into next week's earnings: use the report as the catalyst. Favors a clean beat-and-raise; risk is a sharp de-rating if guidance is merely in line despite strong headline growth. Falsify if forward revenue growth or AI commentary decelerates.
- Avoid initiating fresh CBRS longs here; if liquidity allows, lean short on rallies or hedge any exposure with long NVDA/AVGO. This is a binary customer-concentration story more than a broad AI trade. Falsify if the next filing shows meaningful customer diversification or backlog converts across multiple geographies.
- Buy NET on weakness as a 1-3 month relative-quality long versus the broader software basket/XLK proxy. Best risk-reward is if the market rotates back to durable recurring revenue and away from pure AI hardware beta. Falsify if revenue growth slips materially below the current acceleration path.
- Set an alert for AVGO post-earnings implied move versus realized: if the stock gaps up but forward guide does not materially lift consensus, take profits quickly rather than chase. The stock can win operationally and still lose on valuation.
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