Looking for a Crypto ETF With Upside Potential? These 2 ETFs Are Worth a Closer Look.
Source: The Motley Fool
The Grayscale Zcash ETF's assets grew from $260 million at its ETF conversion roughly one month ago to $995.7 million as of Sept. 25, highlighting strong investor demand for Zcash exposure. The Bitwise Hyperliquid ETF, launched in May, has accumulated $204.7 million in AUM, while Hyperliquid processed $204.1 billion of the $597.8 billion global perpetual-futures volume over the past 30 days. The article cites highly speculative upside cases for Zcash and Hyperliquid, but both tokens have already more than tripled, increasing valuation and momentum risks.
Analysis
The apparent Zcash ETF asset-growth signal is not clean evidence of incremental token demand: a trust-to-ETF conversion can mechanically retain legacy assets while reducing the discount and broadening brokerage access. The actionable variable is post-conversion net creations versus secondary-market turnover, which should be monitored daily over the next 30-60 days. Privacy-coin exposure carries asymmetric regulatory and exchange-delisting risk; a single adverse AML, sanctions, or listing-policy development could cause authorized participants to widen spreads and force a materially sharper drawdown than in BTC-linked products.
Hyperliquid’s valuation depends less on headline perpetual-futures volume than on durable fee capture, token-holder economics, and whether volume is organic rather than incentive-driven. Its concentration advantage makes it vulnerable to a reflexive unwind: rising token price attracts liquidity and volume, but a security incident, adverse funding-rate regime, or competing venue subsidy can reverse both simultaneously. Over 6-18 months, the more investable second-order beneficiaries of sustained retail and institutional derivatives adoption are regulated access points such as COIN, HOOD and CME, which monetize trading activity without assuming single-protocol token risk.
Consensus is likely over-extrapolating early ETF AUM and momentum into adoption. For ZEC, utility growth must overcome the structural constraint that regulated venues often restrict privacy-enhanced assets; for HYPE, turnover leadership is not equivalent to equity-like cash-flow ownership. Neither long-dated price target provides a useful underwriting anchor without transparent supply emissions, token unlocks, fee distribution, and verified ETF holdings data.
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Key Decisions for Investors
- Do not initiate a directional position in ZCSH or BHYP until listing status, prospectus structure, custodian, daily creations/redemptions, and underlying-token ownership are independently verified; treat promotional AUM figures as an alert, not a catalyst.
- For a 1-3 month liquid expression of continued crypto-trading activity, favor a modest long COIN versus short IBIT pair: COIN benefits from higher spot and derivatives activity while the short leg reduces broad Bitcoin-beta exposure. Exit if COIN retail transaction revenue guidance or market-share data deteriorates; size for high volatility rather than a pure beta-neutral outcome.
- Use HOOD as the lower-volatility watch-list beneficiary of expanding retail crypto participation, but only add following evidence of sustained crypto notional growth in monthly operating data. The thesis is falsified by declining funded accounts, lower transaction take rate, or a regulatory restriction on crypto offerings.
- Avoid chasing HYPE momentum after large upside moves; if verified derivatives volume remains elevated for 60 days while protocol fees and token-holder capture do not rise proportionately, consider a tactical short through the most liquid available instrument with a tight stop above the prior high. This is a high-borrow, high-gap-risk trade and should not be initiated without confirmed instrument liquidity.
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