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Market Impact: 0.42

Coffee Prices Surge on Global Supply Risks

Geopolitics & WarCommodities & Raw MaterialsCommodity FuturesTransportation & LogisticsMarket Technicals & Flows

May arabica coffee rose 12.50 cents (+4.33%) and May ICE robusta coffee gained 100 points (+2.89%), with robusta hitting a 3.5-week high. Prices are being driven higher by concerns that a prolonged US-Iran war could keep the Strait of Hormuz closed and disrupt global coffee shipping flows. The move is supportive for coffee futures in the near term, though the article frames the catalyst as geopolitical supply disruption rather than demand strength.

Analysis

May arabica coffee rose 12.50 cents (+4.33%) and May ICE robusta coffee gained 100 points (+2.89%), with robusta hitting a 3.5-week high. Prices are being driven higher by concerns that a prolonged US-Iran war could keep the Strait of Hormuz closed and disrupt global coffee shipping flows. The move is supportive for coffee futures in the near term, though the article frames the catalyst as geopolitical supply disruption rather than demand strength.

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Market Sentiment

Overall Sentiment

moderately positive

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0.35