3 Stocks Berkshire Hathaway Owns That I'd Buy Right Now, Including One It's Selling
Source: The Motley Fool
Berkshire Hathaway's portfolio commentary highlights American Express, Alphabet and Ally Financial as attractive opportunities, despite Berkshire trimming its Ally stake by about 7% in Q2. Alphabet's Google Cloud posted 82% quarterly revenue growth and has a $514 billion backlog, supporting the case for its AI exposure and relative valuation. Ally, which has more than $100 billion in retail deposits, trades below book value and could benefit from wider net interest margins in a higher-for-longer rate environment, although it carries greater consumer-credit sensitivity.
Analysis
This is low-information retail commentary rather than a new fundamental catalyst; Berkshire ownership changes should not be treated as directional signals without reconciling the relevant 13F, ownership-percent calculations, and subsequent repurchase activity. The only potentially tradable implication is relative: a small reduction near a regulatory ownership threshold is mechanically different from a risk-driven exit, so ALLY should not inherit the negative read-through attached to larger bank disposals. That distinction is likely already understood by specialist financials investors, limiting immediate alpha.
GOOG remains the highest-quality expression of the group, but the key debate is not headline cloud growth: it is whether AI infrastructure depreciation and inference costs absorb incremental gross profit faster than monetization scales. Over the next 1-3 quarters, ad pricing, Search query-share data, Cloud operating-margin progression, and capex guidance matter more than backlog claims. A sustained capex acceleration without corresponding Services or Cloud margin leverage would compress the valuation premium and favor MSFT; evidence of stable Search economics plus margin expansion would support multiple expansion.
AXP is more exposed to a slowdown in discretionary travel, entertainment, and small-business spend than its affluent-customer framing implies, but its closed-loop model gives it superior visibility into payment volume and credit behavior versus network-only peers. ALLY offers greater upside if funding costs decline, yet it is a convex bet on used-car values, loss severity, and deposit retention; a modest NIM benefit can be overwhelmed by higher provisions. The contrarian view is that the apparently cheapest bank may remain cheap until auto-credit normalization is visible in net charge-offs and reserve releases, not merely because rates begin falling.
Near term, avoid chasing a sentiment move from this article. The 6-18 month structural winner is likely GOOG if AI monetization becomes measurable; the main second-order loser could be lower-scale software and internet firms facing higher AI compute costs without comparable distribution or advertising data advantages.
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Overall Sentiment
moderately positive
Sentiment Score
0.42
Ticker Sentiment
Key Decisions for Investors
- Maintain/establish long GOOG versus short MSFT in equal dollar size over a 3-6 month horizon only if GOOG's next earnings show Cloud margin expansion alongside contained capex growth. Target 10-15% relative upside; exit if Cloud profitability deteriorates materially or management raises annual capex without a monetization bridge.
- Use ALLY as a watch-list long, not an immediate recommendation: initiate only after quarterly net charge-offs and used-vehicle residual-value trends stabilize for two consecutive reporting periods. The upside case is book-value discount closure and lower funding costs; invalidate below a 10% deterioration in tangible book value or a material upward revision to credit-loss guidance.
- Prefer AXP over COF as a 6-12 month consumer-finance quality pair, sized modestly. AXP should outperform if premium spend remains resilient while COF remains more sensitive to normalization in card losses; close the pair if AXP billed-business growth decelerates below COF's for two consecutive quarters or AXP reserve builds accelerate.
- Do not trade BRK.A/BRK.B on the reported portfolio activity. Confirmed changes in Berkshire stakes are generally lagging disclosures, and the portfolio is too diversified for these positions to alter Berkshire's earnings power or near-term valuation.
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