S&P 500 Is Hitting The Upper Circuit: Here's What Happens Next

The S&P 500 has rallied 13% since March 30 to all-time highs, but the article warns that downside risk remains elevated until there is a durable resolution to the Iran war. The author downgrades SPY to hold, citing only 1.5%-2% upside versus potential 15%-20% downside. The message is risk-off and suggests geopolitical uncertainty could pressure broad equities and volatility.

Analysis

The S&P 500 has rallied 13% since March 30 to all-time highs, but the article warns that downside risk remains elevated until there is a durable resolution to the Iran war. The author downgrades SPY to hold, citing only 1.5%-2% upside versus potential 15%-20% downside. The message is risk-off and suggests geopolitical uncertainty could pressure broad equities and volatility.