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Market Impact: 0.35

Traders Unwind Brazil Real Hedges as Election Seen Fueling Rally

Source: Bloomberg

Elections & Domestic PoliticsCurrency & FXEmerging MarketsDerivatives & VolatilityInvestor Sentiment & Positioning

Demand for hedges against Brazilian-real depreciation has dropped to a six-year low as polls indicate rising odds that Flávio Bolsonaro could defeat incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in October. The shift signals improved investor confidence in Brazil’s currency outlook tied to the election scenario, though political uncertainty remains ahead of the vote.

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